That's a strong statement considering our 2nd win would be against UVA. I kind of agree with you but there's the "flavor of the week" factor and we're playing really good ball as of late. I hope we can still have this debate Friday morning. If we win 2 I like our chancesWe're not going to the NCAA without winning the ACC tourney. Even with 2 more wins, we' won't deserve it. There are more deserving teams. Teams that have shown they can win all season long.
That's a strong statement considering our 2nd win would be against UVA. I kind of agree with you but there's the "flavor of the week" factor and we're playing really good ball as of late. I hope we can still have this debate Friday morning. If we win 2 I like our chances
We'll point to wins over UVA, ND, & Pitt and anyone else can point to losses to ETSU, UGA, Clemson, ND, Pitt, VT, Cuse...
Didn't realize Clemson was sub-100 RPI. Thanks for clarifying.Assuming we beat BOTH Clemson and Virginia, I believe we're in. I agree it's a body of work, our resume would be pretty solid for a bubble team:
- strong strength of schedule (top ~25 at that point?)
- good wins: Virginia (2x...!), Pitt, ND, VCU
- bad losses: none
- 10 wins against ACC competition
- 7-3 in last 10 (assumes Ws v Clemson and Virginia and a loss to Miami).
Clemson away was the only sub-100 RPI team we lost to this year. Clemson away isn't a bad loss.
ETSU, Georgia are both sub 100 RPI teams. There is no shame in splitting the series against Pitt and ND. That's even a positive since both those teams are dancing. Syracuse away isn't a bad loss.
It's hard to say where our RPI would be if we win the next two, but I'd guess low 50's. It may even go down from there by losing to Miami.
I understand there are other more worthy teams, but we only need to be better than the team competing for the last spot -- and I guarantee that team competing for the last spot won't have the same level of quality wins.
Let's just win and whatever happens happens.
/
IMO, America's love for the Cinderella is hurting P5 bubble teams like Syracuse and possibly us. Take Monmouth for instance - their good wins are listed as USC (neutral), Notre Dame (neutral), and @ Georgetown (14-17); bad losses are Canisius, Army, and Manhattan. I think both our good wins and bad losses are better than theirs; not to mention their SOS is at 199 where ours is at 25. They lost their conference tourney last night, so they would be fighting for an at-large bid just like us and Cuse. I'm not sure how much a reg season champ means to the committee, but outside of that I think our resume checks more boxes than theirs. Monmouth is reaping the benefit of being in an underdog role and beating teams they weren't supposed to beat early (including some who turned out to be not very good).
I won't argue with you that the excitement is definitely there with the Cinderella's - my argument is do those Cinderella's deserve to be in over a 4th or 5th team from a P5 conference? Even a garbage year in those P5 leagues is probably still tougher than some of the mid-major leagues.Count me as among those who'd love to see a couple more Cinderella teams over middling P5 teams. The parity this year has been somewhat remarkable and I'd personally rather watch a good story that's legit dangerous instead of a 4th AAC team or a 5th SEC team that managed to do well in a garbage year for a P5 conference. I watched that game last night & you can give me Monmouth all day.