lv20gt
Helluva Engineer
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I love the optimism but I don’t think 17-14 and 11-9 gets the nod this year in the ACC.
Pretty much agree.
OU made it two years ago as an at large with 18 but it seems like 19 is the lower bound for teams that make it most years. That means we need 12 more wins out of the 16 games +ACCT that we have left. The 3 hardest games we have left are UVA, UL, and @UL. I think it's pretty much a must win that we win one of them. I think realistically we need to hold home court and beat them both at home to have a chance. I'd say in terms of making the NCAAT we'll need to win at least 11 of the 16 regular season games we have left and then win 1 or 2 in the ACCT. 10 wins puts us at 12-8 in ACC play which would probably be in the 6-8 range seeding. I think we would really want to avoid the 8 or 9 seeds because that gets 1 game and then has to face, likely, Duke as the second game. So if we can go 11-5 the rest of the way, get say a 6th/7th seed, beat whoever wins the round 1 game then we'd have to upset probably one of UVA, FSU, UL. Something like that is probably our best path to the NCAAT at the moment.
No matter how you slice it, we have a lot of work to do to.
That being said, I think this team certainly could do it, but it will need to play consistently like it has the past 2 games.