Excess projected deaths through week en 5/23 is now up to about 192,000 up from the 153,000 when I posted two weeks ago. Post above had links to data so I won't bother to repeat.
The projected excess death rate as well as COVID death rate is slowly decreasing. Let's see what happens. The only thing I'm confident of is the US will remain #1 in total reported COVID deaths given our large population and lax response.
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The excess deaths are largley COVID. One problem with COVID death reporting is that each of the many thousands of doctors reporting deaths has to decide on cause(s) of death and which to put in whichever order of importance of causes.
There is fairly good agreement between the currently reported excess deaths and currently reported COVID deaths. Below is the comparison. The data makes sense to me that earlier on the number of COVID deaths reported would be lower than the excess deaths given the lack of testing.
Too many people are dying too soon. (We are all going to die, it's only a question of when.)
Back in two weeks maybe.
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