Coastal Chaos

[MikeJackets1967]

Wake Forest's win last night still keeps 12 teams in the ACC alive for bowl games.

I think Wake Forest just played themselves into the Birmingham Bowl against Memphis

 

[g0lftime]

I think Wake Forest just played themselves into the Birmingham Bowl against Memphis

Gotta like Wake. They have a bigger hill to climb than us. They have a darn good coach. Will probably lose him to a bigger program .

 

[MikeJackets1967]

Gotta like Wake. They have a bigger hill to climb than us. They have a darn good coach. Will probably lose him to a bigger program .

If i were Kansas i would hire Dave Clawson

 

[g0lftime]

Wake won at State on senior night with a backup QB. Doesn't get any better than that.

 

[JacketFromUGA]

I much prefer Coastal chaos to a team winning the division as early as Clemson wins the Atlantic every year.


....unless it's GT then we can win the coastal as early as possible.

 

[tsrich]

Wake won at State on senior night with a backup QB. Doesn't get any better than that.

And a backup RB, and like 10 other guys out for the season.

State doing State stuff

 

[Sarrick]

Hopefully that means they will have momentum going into Pitt.

 

[CuseJacket]

 

[Deleted member 2897]

Yea I mean we only have 2 games left. We can finish somewhere between tied for first and tied for last, STILL. LOL.

 

[GTNavyNuke]

That is the first time in Wake Forest history they have come back from a double digit fourth quarter deficit and won the game.

Damn, we blow double digit leads and overcome double digit deficits in th fourth quarter every year. So much for 3 yards and a cloud of dust while bending (over).

 

[RedPete]

For those who didn’t click on the tweet, here’s the more important part...

WITH HokiesFB WIN
Virginia Tech: 33%
Virginia: 30%
Georgia Tech: 21%
Miami: 15%
Pitt: 13%

 

[RedPete]

All the discussions about Coastal scenarios and odds keep overlooking the most likely outcome. According to ESPN’s projections for each remaining ACC game, Tech appears to have the inside track to come out on top.

Here’s the breakdown (from ESPN predictions) when each favored team wins each game....

PITT: 4-1 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsVT (46%)-L @WF (45%)-L @Mia(16%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia: 4-2 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsLiberty, GT (27%)-L @VT (37%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia Tech: 3-2 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
@Pit (53%)-W vsMi (42%)-L vVa (63%)-W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Georgia Tech: 3-3 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
vs Mia (51%)-W vs UVa (73%)- W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Duke: 2-3 ACC, 2-3 Coastal.
vsNC (85%)-W @Clem (5%)-L vs WF (81%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Miami: 2-3 ACC, 1-2 Coastal.
@GT (49%)-L @VT (58%)-W vsPitt (84%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

That’s the Coastal scenario playing-out with no upsets. If the expected team wins each game, GT ends up in a tie with VT and holding the head to head tie-breaker. Even if Pitt beats Wake to force a 3-way tie, that’s a “triangle tie” so to speak and GT still wins due to Coastal record.
Someone feel free to cross-reference a different set of college football projections if you want, but given these predictions as the most realistic starting point, it’s easy to like our chances.

 

[MikeJackets1967]

All the discussions about Coastal scenarios and odds keep overlooking the most likely outcome. According to ESPN’s projections for each remaining ACC game, Tech appears to have the inside track to come out on top.

Here’s the breakdown (from ESPN predictions) when each favored team wins each game....

PITT: 4-1 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsVT (46%)-L @WF (45%)-L @Mia(16%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia: 4-2 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsLiberty, GT (27%)-L @VT (37%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia Tech: 3-2 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
@Pit (53%)-W vsMi (42%)-L vVa (63%)-W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Georgia Tech: 3-3 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
vs Mia (51%)-W vs UVa (73%)- W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Duke: 2-3 ACC, 2-3 Coastal.
vsUNC(85%)-W @Clem(5%)-L vsWF(81%)W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Miami: 2-3 ACC, 1-2 Coastal.
@GT (49%)-L @VT (58%)-W vsPitt (84%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

That’s the Coastal scenario playing-out with no upsets. If the expected team wins each game, GT ends up in a tie with VT and holding the head to head tie-breaker. Even if Pitt beats Wake to force a 3-way tie, that’s a “triangle tie” so to speak and GT still wins due to Coastal record.
Someone feel free to cross-reference a different set of college football projections if you want, but given these predictions as the most realistic starting point, it’s easy to like our chances.

I will be happy and satisfied if GT finished 2018 with a 5-3 ACC record

 

[tech_wreck47]

All the discussions about Coastal scenarios and odds keep overlooking the most likely outcome. According to ESPN’s projections for each remaining ACC game, Tech appears to have the inside track to come out on top.

Here’s the breakdown (from ESPN predictions) when each favored team wins each game....

PITT: 4-1 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsVT (46%)-L @WF (45%)-L @Mia(16%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia: 4-2 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsLiberty, GT (27%)-L @VT (37%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia Tech: 3-2 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
@Pit (53%)-W vsMi (42%)-L vVa (63%)-W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Georgia Tech: 3-3 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
vs Mia (51%)-W vs UVa (73%)- W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Duke: 2-3 ACC, 2-3 Coastal.
vsNC (85%)-W @Clem (5%)-L vs WF (81%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Miami: 2-3 ACC, 1-2 Coastal.
@GT (49%)-L @VT (58%)-W vsPitt (84%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

That’s the Coastal scenario playing-out with no upsets. If the expected team wins each game, GT ends up in a tie with VT and holding the head to head tie-breaker. Even if Pitt beats Wake to force a 3-way tie, that’s a “triangle tie” so to speak and GT still wins due to Coastal record.
Someone feel free to cross-reference a different set of college football projections if you want, but given these predictions as the most realistic starting point, it’s easy to like our chances.

I’ve been saying this all week. Imo, at the least Miami and VT are better than Pitt and beat them. VT is also better than UVA, and Miami is better than VT. That puts us in if we win out and Duke losses one more.

 

[MikeJackets1967]

I’ve been saying this all week. Imo, at the least Miami and VT are better than Pitt and beat them. VT is also better than UVA, and Miami is better than VT. That puts us in if we win out and Duke losses one more.

I don't think VT is better than Virginia this season and probably next season

 

[tech_wreck47]

I don't think VT is better than Virginia this season and probably next season

I think they are more talented is what I should probably say. I do think they putt out a win, I don’t see UVA scoring much and VT can squeak a close one out.

 

[JacketFromUGA]

So it’s game over with a Pitt wintoday right?

 

[bobongo]

All the discussions about Coastal scenarios and odds keep overlooking the most likely outcome. According to ESPN’s projections for each remaining ACC game, Tech appears to have the inside track to come out on top.

Here’s the breakdown (from ESPN predictions) when each favored team wins each game....

PITT: 4-1 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsVT (46%)-L @WF (45%)-L @Mia(16%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia: 4-2 ACC, 3-1 Coastal.
vsLiberty, GT (27%)-L @VT (37%)-L
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Virginia Tech: 3-2 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
@Pit (53%)-W vsMi (42%)-L vVa (63%)-W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Georgia Tech: 3-3 ACC, 2-2 Coastal.
vs Mia (51%)-W vs UVa (73%)- W
Final record -———> 5-3 (4-2)

Duke: 2-3 ACC, 2-3 Coastal.
vsNC (85%)-W @Clem (5%)-L vs WF (81%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

Miami: 2-3 ACC, 1-2 Coastal.
@GT (49%)-L @VT (58%)-W vsPitt (84%)-W
Final record ———> 4-4 (3-3)

That’s the Coastal scenario playing-out with no upsets. If the expected team wins each game, GT ends up in a tie with VT and holding the head to head tie-breaker. Even if Pitt beats Wake to force a 3-way tie, that’s a “triangle tie” so to speak and GT still wins due to Coastal record.
Someone feel free to cross-reference a different set of college football projections if you want, but given these predictions as the most realistic starting point, it’s easy to like our chances.

I think Pitt is better than all three of its remaining opponents. Hope I'm wrong.

 

[bobongo]

I think they are more talented is what I should probably say. I do think they putt out a win, I don’t see UVA scoring much and VT can squeak a close one out.

I think Virginia will probably beat VT. The revenge factor is going to be big in this one. Hope I'm wrong.

 

[bobongo]

So it’s game over with a Pitt wintoday right?

Yes. If Pitt wins, it's curtains for our Coastal Division chances. We are mathematically eliminated.