What kind of evidence would you expect to find? Based on pretty much every national outlet the expectation was that after the Big10 announced that was the end of college football for the fall. They were clearly wrong but that has no bearing on what the Big10 thought. Could be why they seemed so shocked at the pushback they have received.
It’s possible, more likely probable we’ve established the thresholds way too low on these rapid tests and the data’s not what everyone thinks it is since the inception/proliferation of the rapid tests. I’m really not sure why we don’t use the rapid tests to understand the possible pool of those infected, then perform the more lengthy and more accurate tests on just those people to determine if they’re actually infected. I’m seeing this at work. We’ve had the last 40+ people positive from the rapid tests immediately tested afterwards & zero have come back positive. Small sample size but explains a lot. The positive news is we’re getting them back to work in 2-3 days now instead of waiting 2+ weeks to finish an incubation period.
Your Coronavirus Test Is Positive. Maybe It Shouldn’t Be. (Published 2020)
The usual diagnostic tests may simply be too sensitive and too slow to contain the spread of the virus.www.nytimes.com
www.cdc.gov
Doesn't there have to be a case zero for each cluster? I think students are having symptoms, but just how sick is not clear.
I think when you roll all of this stuff up, this is why only about 10,000 deaths have been solely because of COVID. There are a lot of asymptomatic cases, a lot of false positives, and having bad underlying conditions is the big risk. Here is the CDC link to that 10,000 number by the way (they state it in death percentage terms: only 6% Of reported COVID deaths were solely because of COVID.) This is why it’s also difficult to impossible to compare data between countries - we are extremely aggressive with how we count and include data. It’s also why (I think) you get extremely different opinions between conferences, states, and even inside our own health organizations like the CDC.
COVID-19 Provisional Counts - Weekly Updates by Select Demographic and Geographic Characteristics
Tabulated data on provisional COVID-19 deaths by age, sex, race and Hispanic origin, and comorbidities. Also includes an index of state-level and county-level mortality data available for download.
The Alabama cases were from Aug 19 through this past Friday. All since the school opened on Aug 17. The university system recommended, but did not require, testing before arriving on campus. That first week they had over 500 new cases from a variety of clusters on and off campus. This is what prompted Saban to beg the students to follow the mask wearing and gathering rules. It is also why the mayor of Tuscaloosa closed the bars and restaurants with bar service. All this happened after classes started.
I agree. What a mess. Especially if those people who had tested positive before moving in were allowed to mingle with other students. But, according to this link they should not be moving in with other students. That said, this has little to do with the Alabama football team or, it seems, the SEC or ACC decisions to play. This is essentially being ignored by the conferences and universities.
