IMO, if we go .500 in the league (assuming we win the rest of our home games and lose the rest of our road games), we'll need a win and maybe two in the ACC tourney to feel comfortable. The bad losses out of conference kill us in that scenario and we'd be hoping that there aren't any major upsets in the conference championships with non-tourney teams going on a run and getting the automatic bid.
To feel really comfortable, we'd need to go over .500 in the league. I don't think we're going to beat Syracuse in the Carrier Dome, but I could be wrong. I don't feel like we snuck up on them like we did with some of the other good teams on our schedule. Notre Dame won't be easy either. They'll have revenge on their minds and will have adjusted their game plan. If we beat Cuse, we'd have beaten a team we may be competing with for a bid twice. If we beat Notre Dame, that's another signature victory, on the road, against a top-25 team. We've shown we're a tough team at home, but we need a good conference win on the road.