Postseason Chances?

[lv20gt]

IMO the reason this game was so big for our tournament chances is that we if we just defend the home court, that would put us at 18-13 (9-9) with several quality wins. To me that alone puts us in a position to play our way in with a good ACCT showing. On top of that, while any road win is hard in the ACC, we still have Clemson, Wake, and Miami on the road, all of which are winnable road games. Even the other two, Cuse and ND, aren't unimaginable now, although they will be extremely tough.

Lots of work left to be done, and it's always a concern how little depth we have, but if we can steal one of the next two road games, and then get rested before BC, we are in the best position we have been in at this point in a season in a long time.

Also, the last two years we got our 4th win against FSU and 5th win against ND. Last year we got win #6 against Clemson, 7th against BC. Man what an exciting time.

 

[MikeJackets]

Things are looking bright for GT I can't wait to watch and listen to the rest of the season. The loss to Tennessee isn't looking so bad because Tennessee beat Kentucky 82-80 and Kansas State 70-58 the last two games bringing their record to 12-9(4-4 in the SEC).

 

[Techster]

Looking WAAAAY ahead, but here's an interesting scenario:

GT makes it to the NCAA tournament, and we end up facing Memphis down the road in our bracket.

 

[orientalnc]

To make the NCAA Tournament we likely need to hold service at home and win a game on the road. The best chances for that road win are coming up this week. Clemson and Wake have only five ACC wins between them (one was Clemson beating Wake).

 

[RamblinRed]

I think 5 more ACC wins likely gets you in.
FWIW, only FSU has more wins against the Top 25 in the ACC, and only FSU and UNC have more wins against the Top 50.

What hurts GT is its SoS. It had the 2nd worst SoS OOC, it has made up some of that in the league but it still in the bottom third.
Needs to find a way to go 5-4 in the ACC the rest of the way.

 

[CuseJacket]

For those thinking we can just slide in at 8 or 9 ACC wins, Lunardi tweeted his updated seed line 2 hours ago. No Georgia Tech. He may be wrong, he's off by a few each year, however this is evidence we are nowhere near a lock with our resume right now. Easy to make a case against us based on RPI and non-con SOS.







Note: We were in "Last 8 Not In" on Thursday, so we have to be knocking on the door for him:
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology/_/iteration/210

 

[Peacone36]

Looking WAAAAY ahead, but here's an interesting scenario:

GT makes it to the NCAA tournament, and we end up facing Memphis down the road in our bracket.

They like to do stuff like that too

 

[bigsands]

To make the NCAA Tournament we likely need to hold service at home and win a game on the road. The best chances for that road win are coming up this week. Clemson and Wake have only five ACC wins between them (one was Clemson beating Wake).

Completely agree. A win or two this week is key for NCAA hopes. Hope team can stay focused and have solid outings this week on the road.

Two wins over Clemson enough to take their presumed spot in the tourney?

 

[jeffgt14]

Perhaps I'm missing something but how are Wake and Clemson always ahead of us? Why should a team get that big of a boost for essentially scheduling a loss against Villanova and Xavier?

 

[BigDaddyBuzz]

the beauty of college hoops is you control your own destiny. How many times have we seen a bubble team win their conference tourney or make a run to get off the bubble. I am just stoked we are even having these threads in almost February. We have a legit chance. If we go 5-4 in back half to finish 10-8 we have to be in.

 

[BleedingGold]

Perhaps I'm missing something but how are Wake and Clemson always ahead of us? Why should a team get that big of a boost for essentially scheduling a loss against Villanova and Xavier?

Because that's how RPI works. You literally get bonus points for scheduling tough opponents, even if you lose. Ignore the fact that Wake is 0-8 against opponents inside the top 50, they scheduled Nova and Xavier........and lost. Ultimately, we had a very weak OOC SOS, so this is the RPI's way of punishing teams that do that.

 

[jeffgt14]

Because that's how RPI works. You literally get bonus points for scheduling tough opponents, even if you lose. Ignore the fact that Wake is 0-8 against opponents inside the top 50, they scheduled Nova and Xavier........and lost. Ultimately, we had a very weak OOC SOS, so this is the RPI's way of punishing teams that do that.

Exactly. What's to stop us from going to the Kansas AD and telling them that if they schedule a yearly series with us, we'll let them win every year so that because of just scheduling them, our RPI will rise and that coupled with our ACC schedule should give us a high enough RPI to be a quality win for Kansas well.

 

[Peacone36]

There was recently a gathering between the NCAA, Sagarin, KenPom, Palm and a few of the other top analytics people in the country and they are working on coming up with a metric to replace the RPI. One of the benchmarks will be Road wins being held in higher regard than homes wins as well as doing away with the schedule reward.

 

[BeeRBee]

FWIW, KenPom currently has Clemson at 31, Wake at 35, and GT at 71. So they clearly performed above his model's expectations in general.

 

[BleedingGold]

There was recently a gathering between the NCAA, Sagarin, KenPom, Palm and a few of the other top analytics people in the country and they are working on coming up with a metric to replace the RPI. One of the benchmarks will be Road wins being held in higher regard than homes wins as well as doing away with the schedule reward.

Let's hope it happens soon. More power to Wake for scheduling tougher teams, but it's ridiculous that RPI has them at 30th in the country because of it. They're 12-9 (3-6). They've done nothing special. Looking at their remaining schedule, it won't surprise me if they don't finish above .500.

 

[CuseJacket]

Here's the article

NCAA officials to consider new metric in tourney selection process

 

[Fatmike91]

We improved (lowered) or RPI by 20 points by beating FSU. We improved 10+ after beating Notre Dame.

Having Wake and Clemson over-rated on RPI is GOOD FOR US. Just beat them and we drop 10+ per game and add another "good win" or two to our resume'...

/

 

[RamblinCharger]

The RPI is really stupid. It all comes down to "SOS" basically. There are some really bad teams ahead of us.

 

[Peacone36]

The RPI is really stupid. It all comes down to "SOS" basically. There are some really bad teams ahead of us.

It's also redundant as SOS is another metric the committee uses in the selection process

 

[orientalnc]

I know we had a weak schedule in November and December, but we needed it. And when that schedule was made nobody in the GTAA had expectations anywhere close to what this team has achieved. This where we are and it ain't too bad. Right now it looks as though we will be playing beyond the ACC Tournament, so let's enjoy it.