Beating Kentucky in basketball is like beating Georgia in football. Who cares that they’re in a “down year”? It’s still a big win over a big-name opponent. But, that doesn’t wipe off the 2 very bad losses that this team has already suffered. Those 2 losses shrink the margin of error tremendously if this team wants to make the tourney. And if CJP doesn’t take this team to the Dance, I don’t think he’ll ever take one.
Including preseason exhibitions, Pastner is 3-7 against teams from the state of Georgia. 2 of his wins were exhibitions against Shorter and Georgia College, Division 2 schools. That means he’s 1-7 against D1 teams from Georgia including exhibitions, and 1-6 in the regular season. The lone win was against Kennesaw in 2018. For a program that was once head and shoulders above the rest of the state, that is atrocious. Especially for a guy with a pretty weak recruiting history since he’s been at Tech. Granted he’s improved there, but how can you sell GT basketball to Georgia recruits when you’ve arguably been one of the worst teams in the state the last 5 years. And everyone knows it doesn’t just stop with GSU and Mercer this year. He’s also lost to Ball State, Gardner Webb, Grambling State, Wright State, and Ohio at home. I get it. Upsets happen. Basketball is much more like baseball than football in that any team can win any given game. But Pastner’s teams consistently get beat by inferior teams on their own court. It’s like clockwork every year. If CGC loses to Northern Illinois and Kennesaw next year will he get the benefit of the doubt if he beats Notre Dame, Georgia, or Clemson?
I think that we can celebrate the win, and hope it propels the team froward on a trajectory we thought they might’ve had at the beginning of the year. A trajectory that lands Tech in the top 1/2 of the conference with a NCAAT bid. But we can also be critical of the body of work Pastner has laid out over his time at Tech. This win would look so much better if it was taking Tech to 3-0, or even 2-1, than to 1-2. A 3-0 Tech team with a win over Kentucky probably receives some votes (but doesn’t get in) for the top 25. A 1-2 Tech team with a win over Kentucky is talking about turning the season around.
Pastner isn’t going anywhere this year unless he doesn’t win another game. That means everybody should be behind him. But this Kentucky win does nothing to prove that CJP is actually the right man for the job, long term.