Ok, so what is our ceiling? Frankly, I don't know.
We have hashed over the obstacles lying in the way of football recruiting at Tech for years and all here are aware of them. Soooo … the question is can we overcome them? (And, now that we are playing a conventional offense, we had better try hard to.) The academics are there and that won't change. Nobody who could do it wants to, usually for very good reasons. Some other factors - a small alum base, relatively low attendance (and thus ticket revenue), a limited curriculum - aren't likely to change either. So what can?
Some here seem to think that a "cultural change" will make a difference. That can help with curiosity about the program, at least at first, but it is a very slim reed indeed to cling to, especially when (I hate to say this) we are unlikely to improve our record anytime soon. If we start to win, Collins's innovations will look great. If we keep losing, we'll look like (again, I hate to say this) fools or amateurs. (See Liberty's recent post about how others in his area see us for a possible precursor.) So, again, what can change?
Money. Period. This is something Tech fans can alter and that could have a drastic effect on our recruiting infrastructure. If Collins gets the money for the recruiting program he has in mind, we can go places. If he succeeds, I wouldn't be surprised to see us ending up like Iowa, a program that flirts with a top 15 ranking every now and then and is usually in the talk for top 25. But that'll depend on a massive effort in the face of what promises to be another 3 - 4 win year next season. I hope we break out, but we'll have to pony up in the mean time. We'll have to see.