I think FSU is by far the most dangerous opponent of the two.
Because they have better talent? No. The Dwags are more talented overall, though FSU is far better at QB and at WR. Because they match up better with us? No. The fonts above who say that Ugag is a team whose strengths match up quite well with our weaknesses are right. Because we won't be as efficient on O and D against the Bullpukes? No. I think we'll do fine against both teams in those departments.
It's because FSU doesn't think they are going to lose. That's, as I've said before, a terrible obstacle to overcome. Ugag has lost before this season and in their last loss to FL, they gave up on the field. I watched part of that game and they laid down and died. If we get up a score or two and are playing well, the Dwags will begin to lose heart. It's happened before, it could happen again. Besides, we nearly beat them last year with a much worse team and I'm pretty sure they remember that. The reason they won that game is now on the sidelines to boot.
FSU, oth, has come back from being behind in several games this year and has the best pro-style QB in the country to help them do it. They don't think they can lose, to us or anyone else. They will never give up on a game like Ugag did against the Lizards. Teams like that are almost impossible to whip, if they have any talent to speak of, and the Criminoles sure do have that.
In short, both games will tax us extremely to win them, but I feel better about our chances with the Dwags then with FSU.