Agree that it's very unlikely. I'm seeing more and more data to that as well. The new CDC direction seems a bit alarmist, but I'll take it over "Everything is fine," when it clearly isn't. But, I'm also 100% with you that they have ventured into overly cautious a few times recently which is just discouraging. People are smart and will put up with a lot if you are clear and show them the light at the end of the tunnel.
Luckily I saw today that they are planning to walk back the "you should not travel" guidance, which makes sense.
The best part about the vaccine is that it puts this whole situation into one where the US is strongly suited to perform well.
- Pre-vaccine, the situation was one that rewarded collectivist thought/action. Stay home for others; Wear the mask as it protects the other person.
- Post-vaccine, it's "get this shot to protect yourself and your household." If the other person doesn't want the shot, that's on them. (Outside of the threat of continued spread creating variants, which is kind of a hard sell).
We're also great at shipping, logistics, and distribution, which is why our rollout has been strong, especially in the past two months.
By the way, thanks for having a civil debate/discussion on this.