I don't think the game is a gimme for UNC. They have to show up and play their game, and play well.
I think they are getting 11 firstly, because of the stylistic match up between our D and their O, and secondly due to our offenses inconsistency with converting short yardage situations (and therefore making it difficult to death march).
First, fast tempo gives us trouble due to not being able to substitute, not having well-rounded DL, and not being able to get off the field. Second shotgun spread with eye candy is a poor match up for a younger back seven. Third they can throw well and we have no pass rush and a young secondary.
Our offense has been explosive but struggles to possess the ball due to trouble getting sure short yardage when needed.
All this said there is no doubt we can win this game--and barring Carolina being flat or making a ton of mistakes--we have to improve this week on both sides of the ball. And kick off return. If we can get 1-2 more stops per half, and we can confidently run inside to convert short yardage situations, we have an excellent chance to win.