The way I look at it is:
GT offense (#23 2017 OFEI) VS USF defense (#30 2017 DFEI)
IMO, USF defense is in for a LONG day. Sure, we didn't look elite against Alcorn State, but let's not overlook the fact that we rolled over 500 yards of offense (400 rushing) against them. The team will improve over the 1st and 2nd week. I think CPJ and our offense tried to look for a lot of big plays against Alcorn, but when CPJ wants to grind it out, there are plays where CPJ makes our offense seem like a slow water torture (aka Death March). The game is going to be called differently against USF. Can the USF defense hold up? If our defense is taking USF out within 3-5 plays with USF's "tempo" offense, their defense is gonna in a world of hurt.
GT defense (#63 2017 DFEI) VS USF offense (#41 2017 OFEI)
We're not going to pitch a shut out (or are we?), but this isn't Ted Roof's defense. I don't think the 2017 DFEI reflects what CNW's defense can do. I think we give up a few big plays (see: Kaleb Oliver's pass interference call), but the dink n dunk stuff isn't going to bleed us to death, and the screen passes are defended much better. USF is going to take down field shots, more than Alcorn, but I think our fron 7 group can get to the QB if there's enough time. I think we were in the backfield most of the day against Alcorn, but they played the short game against us which neutralized negative plays. I think we can stop USF's offense to give our offense extra possessions thus hurting USF's defense which has to hold up against our grinding offense. Good luck with that.
A lot has been made of USF's weather, but let's not forget the heat and humidity in Atlanta isn't too far off from Central Florida's. Tad bit hotter, and a tad bit more humidity, but we're not going from Denver to Tampa.
Bottom line:
GT 35
USF 24