Coronavirus Thread

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dtm1997

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THWG said:
I just want to know what the hell he has on him..... on second thought, maybe not.
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I thought through it, having the same question. I think it's marshmallow fluff.

Meanwhile, I don't know what all of this means, but of course, I'm gonna post GT-related CV19 info. I do know that I should stay tf away from Arizona.

 

Jim Prather

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dtm1997 said:
I thought through it, having the same question. I think it's marshmallow fluff.

Meanwhile, I don't know what all of this means, but of course, I'm gonna post GT-related CV19 info. I do know that I should stay tf away from Arizona.

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Nicely put together chart, but the assumptions are so simplistic that the actual diagnostic/predictive value is nearly 0... Assuming that there are 10 undiagnosed cases for every 1 diagnosed is a real WAG... Assuming that every diagnosed case could represent someone mobile who could be in a crowd greatly oversimplifies the contributions to the COVID count from nursing homes and retirement communities ...
I've seen similar charts that were put together simply from statistical first principles that were more valid...
 
LibertyTurns

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Florida cases down, hospitalizations up but we just had the holiday weekend. Hang onto your hats because Thurs, Fri and Sat’s going to be wild. 14k anyone? 15k?
 
TechPreacher

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dtm1997 said:
I thought through it, having the same question. I think it's marshmallow fluff.

Meanwhile, I don't know what all of this means, but of course, I'm gonna post GT-related CV19 info. I do know that I should stay tf away from Arizona.

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➡️ Yesterday, the percent of Arizona's COVID-19 cases that are hospitalized fell AGAIN to 5.02%.

● On 6/11, this number was at 11.00%.

➡️ Yesterday, the total mortality rate in Arizona slightly increased to 1.83%.

● On 6/1, this number was at 4.43%.

➡️ And Arizona reported another high number of daily COVID-19 related discharges - 424.

● Since June 1, Arizona has discharged over 7,400 COVID-19 patients from hospitals.

➡️ Last month, the CDC estimated that the U.S. may only be identifying 1/10 of positive COVID-19 cases.

● IF that estimation is applied to ARIZONA, the percent of positive COVID-19 cases hospitalized would be .50%;

● and the total mortality rate would be .18%.
 
dtm1997

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TechPreacher said:
➡️ Yesterday, the percent of Arizona's COVID-19 cases that are hospitalized fell AGAIN to 5.02%.

● On 6/11, this number was at 11.00%.

➡️ Yesterday, the total mortality rate in Arizona slightly increased to 1.83%.

● On 6/1, this number was at 4.43%.

➡️ And Arizona reported another high number of daily COVID-19 related discharges - 424.

● Since June 1, Arizona has discharged over 7,400 COVID-19 patients from hospitals.

➡️ Last month, the CDC estimated that the U.S. may only be identifying 1/10 of positive COVID-19 cases.

● IF that estimation is applied to ARIZONA, the percent of positive COVID-19 cases hospitalized would be .50%;

● and the total mortality rate would be .18%.
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That's nice. I'm still planning on not going to Arizona.
 
RonJohn

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TechPreacher said:
WSB radio just reported it.
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What was their announcement based on?

The Georgia DPH releases data at 3:00 every day. Today it was released at 2:50. They show the data based on when the symptoms first began in people with confirmed cases. You have to wait 14 days to know what today's total actually is on that chart. The AJC takes that data and shows it in the same way, and they also show it based on reported cases per day. Reported cases was dropping rapidly from Thursday thru yesterday. However, today reported cases made a huge spike.

I don't know where WSB could have gotten different information. The official source if the Georgia DPH. Their data showed a steady decline for 4 days, and then a huge spike today. If WSB is using the DPH information, they could have reported that cases are down until today's data but no longer. If they aren't using the DPH information, it would be interesting to know what information they are using.
 

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LibertyTurns said:
Florida cases down, hospitalizations up but we just had the holiday weekend. Hang onto your hats because Thurs, Fri and Sat’s going to be wild. 14k anyone? 15k?
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SC cases down nearly 50% from yesterday. Probably a holiday travel blip. Would be nice if it holds, but I’m not counting on it. Charleston County down 70%.
 
LibertyTurns

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bwelbo said:
SC cases down nearly 50% from yesterday. Probably a holiday travel blip. Would be nice if it holds, but I’m not counting on it. Charleston County down 70%.
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It’s just human nature. Nobody’s screwing up their holiday to go take a C19 test. Wait until Mon or Tues and then go in. It’s what’s happening at my workplace. We had 6 call in yesterday and 19 this morning. We’re going to double our cases by the end of the week & next week we’re going to be setting records. I had 25% of my Team traveling over the holiday. We still got some on vacation but most are back.. Hopefully after that we’ll all settle down.
 

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LibertyTurns said:
It’s just human nature. Nobody’s screwing up their holiday to go take a C19 test. Wait until Mon or Tues and then go in. It’s what’s happening at my workplace. We had 6 call in yesterday and 19 this morning. We’re going to double our cases by the end of the week & next week we’re going to be setting records. I had 25% of my Team traveling over the holiday. We still got some on vacation but most are back.. Hopefully after that we’ll all settle down.
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I also think a lot of doctors offices and other locations were closed for the holidays.
 
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