There are a mixed bag of data going around right now.
On the positive side after getting a bunch of new data the model that Univ of Washington has the avg # deaths went down by over 10,000 - From 93,000 to 81,000 with a smaller confidence interval of 49,ooo-136,000. On the negative side avg projected deaths for both GA and FL increased while the majority of other states went down.
they actually have a great update article that explained all the new data and how it impacted their model. They have data to use from alot more sources (like some Western European countries), They have much better numbers in terms of what they believe they will need in terms of beds, icu and ventilators. They also have alot of new data in terms of hospital stays for different types of patients. How long avg stays are before a patient dies, before they can be discharged between those needing and ICU bed and those who don't.
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
Spain and Italy both look like they have reached the peak. Now we get a chance to see how quickly it potentially can go back down after peak.
France still appears to be climbing as well as UK, US and many other countries that were hit later.
The biggest negative news is that Singapore is going into a 1 month lockdown tomorrow and Japan is going into a state of emergency this week. They were ones that largely fought off the 1st wave well. It suggests that if you rev back up too fast it can potentially start to grow too quickly - so figuring out how to open things back up is going to be really important as we get closer to a time period when we can start to seriously consider starting to have more people work.
