Coronavirus Thread

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GT_EE78

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The United States was ranked the best-prepared country in the world to handle a pandemic in late 2019 by the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (JHCHS) -- an assessment seemingly at odds with claims by Democrats that the Trump administration left the country vulnerable to the ongoing coronavirus outbreak.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us...r-pandemics-johns-hopkins-study-found-in-2019
 

LibertyTurns

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The United States was ranked the best-prepared country in the world to handle a pandemic in late 2019 by the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (JHCHS) -- an assessment seemingly at odds with claims by Democrats that the Trump administration left the country vulnerable to the ongoing coronavirus outbreak.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us...r-pandemics-johns-hopkins-study-found-in-2019
More experts sharing their expertise!
 
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Loss of taste and smell could be crucial symptoms of coronavirus
The loss of taste and smell could be crucial warning signs in “hidden carriers” of the novel coronavirus, experts have revealed.
> yes millennials - you can be a carrier when you have no symptoms

The British Association of Otorhinolaryngology — which represents ear, nose and throat specialists — says the loss of senses often appears in patients who show none of the earlier known symptoms.
. In Germany, almost two-thirds of patients have reported losing their sense of smell, while in Korea almost a third have even in “otherwise mild cases.”
https://nypost.com/2020/03/22/loss-of-taste-and-smell-could-be-crucial-symptoms-of-coronavirus/

I have had screwed up senses of taste and smell for about 10 years. The only thing my ENT specialist can point to is an allergic reaction I had to IV antibiotics about the time things started getting screwy for me. So if screwed up senses of taste and smell are a warning sign for the virus, then I would probably never know.
 

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Although it turned out that Clemson shut down the fund, rather than, as originally claimed, the NCAA, Clemson did that BECAUSE of their understanding of NCAA rules. Fortunately, according to a line in this link, Clemson and the NCAA have now restored the fund. But this was the big news earlier today ---
https://collegefootballtalk.nbcspor...ence-to-shutdown-coronavirus-fundraiser-page/

Setting up a GoFundMe with himself as the beneficiary. I’m sure the NCAA won’t care.
 

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Damn. There are over 200 confirmed COVID-19 cases in the NYPD and another 3,000 officers are out sick.
 

flounder

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A couple of hopeful signs.

There's progress being made on an antibody test. This is important because if you can test someone to see if they are immune and non-contagious, they can stop social distancing.

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/202...es-could-show-true-scale-coronavirus-pandemic

This one is pretty controversial, but a team at Oxford University has put together a model that says 50% of the UK is already infected. If so, that would mean the hospitalization rate is a lot lower than we think. I don't understand how that squares with what's going on in Spain and Italy, but if true, it would mean that they (and presumably we) are already near herd immunity. They are going to be using the new antibody tests to test this theory.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/03/oxford-study-coronavirus-may-have-infected-half-of-u-k.html
 

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Some countries like Spain are really blowing up. Switzerland is in desperate shape. At 11,000 cases, they are at a US population equivalent of 425,000. Wow. Iceland (1/(10th our population density) is at like a 350,000 equivalent. What an insidious virus.
 

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Just went through the updates around the world. Looks like most people report their numbers once a day, so these numbers are from yesterday...end of 3/24. Italy, Spain, UK, Switzerland, France, Germany...on down the list. I couldn't find a single country that had seen any curve flattening yet. South Korea continues their linear growth of about 100 new cases a day. I bet that magnitude and predictability are both infinitely easier to manage.
 

GT_EE78

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If you're looking for the highest infection rate in the world , it's at some place called San Marino at 0.55%
followed by Vatican City at 0.50 %, Hope Newt is practicing his social distancing
comparrison (the US is about 0.016% )
 

FredJacket

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Just went through the updates around the world. Looks like most people report their numbers once a day, so these numbers are from yesterday...end of 3/24. Italy, Spain, UK, Switzerland, France, Germany...on down the list. I couldn't find a single country that had seen any curve flattening yet. South Korea continues their linear growth of about 100 new cases a day. I bet that magnitude and predictability are both infinitely easier to manage.
Can we get 97% of the scientists come to some consensus and clear all this complex computating and modeling up, so I can know what is going on. More importantly... can they tell me how next month will look?
 

armeck

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The United States was ranked the best-prepared country in the world to handle a pandemic in late 2019 by the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (JHCHS) -- an assessment seemingly at odds with claims by Democrats that the Trump administration left the country vulnerable to the ongoing coronavirus outbreak.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us...r-pandemics-johns-hopkins-study-found-in-2019
That article, quite ironically for you, cites a Washington Post article that is titled, "None of these 195 countries — the U.S. included — is fully prepared for a pandemic, report says". That article goes on to say:
The United States does well in five of six preparedness categories but ranks 19th — after Australia, Canada, Singapore and more than a half-dozen European countries — in an assessment of overall risk and vulnerability to biological threats. The factors driving down the U.S. score include the risks of social unrest and terrorism, and low public confidence in government. Liechtenstein ranked No. 1 on this measure.

Here is the data results being referenced, scroll down to the sections 3 and 4 and you see that we are in those stages and are struggling there.
 

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That article, quite ironically for you, cites a Washington Post article that is titled, "None of these 195 countries — the U.S. included — is fully prepared for a pandemic, report says". That article goes on to say:

Here is the data results being referenced, scroll down to the sections 3 and 4 and you see that we are in those stages and are struggling there.

Anybody else find it hilarious that our preparedness rating for a pandemic has anything to do with polls? I mean talk about silliness.
 

MWT89

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This one is pretty controversial, but a team at Oxford University has put together a model that says 50% of the UK is already infected. If so, that would mean the hospitalization rate is a lot lower than we think. I don't understand how that squares with what's going on in Spain and Italy, but if true, it would mean that they (and presumably we) are already near herd immunity. They are going to be using the new antibody tests to test this theory.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/03/oxford-study-coronavirus-may-have-infected-half-of-u-k.html

If an important measure is deaths (or severe illness) / infections, is it better that the denominator (still unknown because of testing limitations) is small or large? A small denominator implies the virus isn't spreading quickly but a large one implies the virus may not be as dangerous as feared.
 
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