8 seed california bakersfield vs 6 seed gt in the final 4 of the nit

OG-T

OG-T

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The most consecutive games that GT has won all year is 3 — they've done it twice in reg season. This NIT run is the third 3-game win streak, on our way to 5? If so, Pastner/Staff/SAs exceed the highest of high expectations in regards to the goal of finishing the year better than we started. The most fun ride in over a decade.
 
slugboy

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Favored by 1 to 2 ain't a lot. I think our 3-pt defense has gotten a lot better over the season. Early on, it was atrocious. Now, I feel pretty good about it.

Here's Cal State's stats page on ESPN: http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/2934.

Because it was mentioned that they foul a lot earlier, here's a stat page for that: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/personal-fouls-per-game. They have 21.4 personal fouls/game, where we have 16.1. That made me ask whether CS Fullerton's fouling strategy could get their opponents fouling more per game. There's a stat for opponent fouls/game: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/opponent-personal-fouls-per-game. We get 18 fouls/game. CS Fullerton gets 20/game. They're above average, but not way above average. I'm hoping that our guys don't get into foul trouble. If you look at opponent fouls/possession, they're right in the middle: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/stat/opponent-personal-fouls-per-possession.

The TeamRankings site is kind of cool--you can do stat comparisons like this one https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/matchup/roadrunners-yellow-jackets-2017-03-28/splits. For the last 3 games, we're definitely the hotter team. For the season, it's more even. They've been very hot at 3 point shooting lately, but we've been extra good at two point shooting lately. If recent play is a better guide, we look really good (like MikeJackets said, "we're on a roll"). I think rest helps us, too
 

MikeJackets

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ESPNjacket said:
Basketball stat nerds will generally use Free Throw Rate, which is one of the "four factors" according to Dean Oliver's work. The formula is FTR= FTA/FGA

CSB's rate is 47.3%, 340th.

GT's rate is 27.7%, 28th.

Regardless of how you count it, they foul a lot.
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GT could very well blow Bakersfield away if they have a good game at the line.
 
slugboy

slugboy

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ESPNjacket said:
Basketball stat nerds will generally use Free Throw Rate, which is one of the "four factors" according to Dean Oliver's work. The formula is FTR= FTA/FGA

CSB's rate is 47.3%, 340th.

GT's rate is 27.7%, 28th.

Regardless of how you count it, they foul a lot.
Click to expand...
Oh, no--I've found more stats.

Seriously, that's pretty cool. I'm still curious if teams that get fouled a lot retaliate a lot too. I'd think so. Can't prove it offhand right now though.

This is an interesting presentation too: http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/georgia-tech/2017.html.
If you ever wanted to see how we are offensively and defensively, these two lines say a ton:
PS/G: 67.5 (295th of 351)
PA/G: 66.4 (45th of 351)
 
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