And VT and Pitt are bottom two in Coastal where they belong. Can't lose those series!
And BC is bottom of Atlantic. Gotta go 2-1 everywhere...it’s nice that our remaining series aren’t NC State ish teams and that we’ve already played Louisville, UNCheat, Virginia... we have built the foundation for this season and now just need to take care of business.
uGA and Auburn have everything to lose. Any further wins against them are gravy. If we want to host, we’ve gotta take another one here and there though.
As does our bullpen.
http://web1.ncaa.org/stats/StatsSrv/ranksummaryhttps://data.ramblinwreck.com/stats/baseball/2019/teamcume.htm
Current stats for GT. I wonder how that compares to other teams? Are we in the mix? Or will pitching be our downfall.
I'm attributing this to James Ramsey. I love the new approach and I have more faith in our offense than previous years. We use to just solely rely on the home run, but now guys are working counts, getting on base, taking what the pitcher gives them, and we have more clutch hitting. I also love that we will probably only lose 3 guys (English, Murray, and McCann) from the offense. We should really see the benefits of the new approach next year.Our offense gets on base & scores very consistently against good competition. Unlike previous seasons... there was usually something that really stuck out as a major statistical problem.
ACC did a bit better mid-week. But still solidly in 4th conference RPI.
Tuesday - 9 of 11. We lost and so did @ND to Mich State.
Wednesday - 7 of 9. @NCState's horseshoe dropped out of the location it was lodged when Coastal hit a 2 run HR T9 to win by 1. And @ND lost 12-2 to Western Michigan.
NC State is still clearly the best in the ACC. ND doesn't have the depth to compete.
State also has a horrid SOS so far. Only 4 of their 34 games have been against Top 50 RPI teams. In contrast to 16 of our 33 opponents being Top 50.
I predict that UNC will sweep ND. Why? No solid reason, just a gut feel that as the season wears on that UNC is getting better and ND...not so much. Other than that, I really agree with all your other picks. I think UVa is better than Miami and they are at home. I think Duke is better than VT and again they are at home. And I think Louisville is the best team I have seen so far this year.Weekly ACC guesses:
- #17 GT (13 rpi) @BC (74 rpi). GT 2-1 or better. I am trying to not get my expectations too high. But seeing D1 Baseball Eric Soreneon picking GT in the 8 for Omaha this week is not helping keep my expectations down.
- #20 L'Ville (10) @#3 NC State (21). L'Ville 2-1. This is the marquee Atlantic game without question. NC State has just dropped two in a row (@BC & Coastal) and lost the horse shoe jammed up an orifice. Somewhat of an upset pick given @NC State where they are 16-3 this year. But they have lost most of their 5 games at home. (I can use stats to justify whatever I want.)
- WF(96) @Pitt (210). WF 2-1 or better. Pitt is bad. The crappy Pitt field should help them but they are 2-7 @ home. WF is coming on & has a good pitching staff.
- #21 UNC (18) @ND (124). UNC 2-1. Hard to sweep ND.
- #16 Clemson (19) @ FSU (97). Clemson 2-1. This will be close. I think it's ironic Martin's last season coaching is probably going to end without an NCAA bid for the first time. Looking at his record is amazing; even given the talent he had. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Martin_(baseball_coach)
- VT (40) @Duke (79). Duke 2-1. This is an upset pick. @Duke swept a bad Pitt team last week, although one game was a 2-0 and another 10 inning win. Mostly from how VT has been dropping close games. They stop being the Chokies could easily win the series. I enjoy looking down on both these Coastal teams (in more ways than one).
- Miami (32) @ UVa (88). UVa 2-1. Another upset pick. Young Miami talent versus UVa coaching @home (16-4 @ home this year). This is probably more an aspirational pick since I want UVa to win; since it's so close I'd rather pick UVa and be wrong than pick Miami and be wrong.
Weekly ACC guesses:
- #17 GT (13 rpi) @BC (74 rpi). GT 2-1 or better. I am trying to not get my expectations too high. But seeing D1 Baseball Eric Soreneon picking GT in the 8 for Omaha this week is not helping keep my expectations down.
- #20 L'Ville (10) @#3 NC State (21). L'Ville 2-1. This is the marquee Atlantic game without question. NC State has just dropped two in a row (@BC & Coastal) and lost the horse shoe jammed up an orifice. Somewhat of an upset pick given @NC State where they are 16-3 this year. But they have lost most of their 5 games at home. (I can use stats to justify whatever I want.)
- WF(96) @Pitt (210). WF 2-1 or better. Pitt is bad. The crappy Pitt field should help them but they are 2-7 @ home. WF is coming on & has a good pitching staff.
- #21 UNC (18) @ND (124). UNC 2-1. Hard to sweep ND.
- #16 Clemson (19) @ FSU (97). Clemson 2-1. This will be close. I think it's ironic Martin's last season coaching is probably going to end without an NCAA bid for the first time. Looking at his record is amazing; even given the talent he had. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Martin_(baseball_coach)
- VT (40) @Duke (79). Duke 2-1. This is an upset pick. @Duke swept a bad Pitt team last week, although one game was a 2-0 and another 10 inning win. Mostly from how VT has been dropping close games. They stop being the Chokies could easily win the series. I enjoy looking down on both these Coastal teams (in more ways than one).
- Miami (32) @ UVa (88). UVa 2-1. Another upset pick. Young Miami talent versus UVa coaching @home (16-4 @ home this year). This is probably more an aspirational pick since I want UVa to win; since it's so close I'd rather pick UVa and be wrong than pick Miami and be wrong.
I mean, our RPI is #13 - we should have high expectations. Think for a minute - out of like 33 games, how many bad baseball games have we played? I think the Richmond game was bad, our 4 error game against ND was bad, our first game against UNCheat was bad, and our game this week against uGA was bad. We've really only played 4 bad games all year in my view. I know we've given up some leads at the end, but I would say we've had a few bad innings, but not that many bad games. All baseball teams have bad innings...and bad games too.