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  1. roadkill

    Clemson favored early spread

    Although I like our strategy (tiring out opposing defenses), what works against the average P5 defense may not work so well against elite defenses that have an abundance of quality depth. Clemson usually has a lot of depth on D, but I'm not sure about this year. Uga typically subs a lot on...
  2. roadkill

    Clemson favored early spread

    Agree with everything you said, but wanted to add that the Miami game was largely played in a tropical rainstorm. It adversely affected both QBs, particularly early game. We also didn't have Dontae.
  3. roadkill

    Clemson game preview stats

    The 5-point win for Clemson is the closest stat-based prediction I've seen yet.
  4. roadkill

    Clemson favored early spread

    So, Clemson’s largest margin of victory this season was 17 points against Syracuse. They beat Wake by 5 at home. Yet models say they should beat us by 16? I think we are better than Syracuse and Wake, especially now. What gives? Edit: I posted before I saw @ibeattetris post. The FEI margin...
  5. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    On offense, we showed what we are capable of when we have all our weapons at our disposal, against an average D. For the second game in a row, we scored almost as many points in the second half as the first, another encouraging sign. On defense, some of the improvement was undoubtedly a...
  6. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    According to the play-by-play, Birr handled the first three kickoffs in the UVA game. They weren't great. Then we went back to Stewart. I wonder if Stewart has a nagging injury that might be cause for holding him out? Or maybe it's an accuracy vs. distance thing - Stewart has been getting...
  7. roadkill

    Haynes King Update: How Do We Feel About Him?

    Looks Like Haynes was in some elite QB company on Saturday. I wondered where he would land in QBR if our receivers didn't have some uncharacteristic drops on what otherwise would have been high EPA plays, but he couldn't get much better than 95 anyway.
  8. roadkill

    GT 45-UVA 17 #GTvsUVA postgame

    UVA perspective on our offense's performance Saturday:
  9. roadkill

    GT 45-UVA 17 #GTvsUVA postgame

    Singleton is extremely fast - I remember commenting on his ridiculous speed in his recruiting thread. But Haynes King is no slouch either. He outran UVA defenders - twice. Haynes has deceptive speed.
  10. roadkill

    Clemson favored early spread

    Having trouble buying the 34-19 score predicted by SP+. For one thing, Clemson’s average opponent score is 21, and we have one of the best offenses they have faced. Not saying we should win this one by any means, but come on. If we protect the football and do what we can to slow down their run...
  11. roadkill

    Haynes King Update: How Do We Feel About Him?

    One of King's distinguishing attributes is his running ability. The NFL doesn't tend to value that as much as college teams unless you are Cam Newton or Lamar Jackson level. Elusiveness definitely helps, but the NFL can be hard on running QBs. Regardless, if he continues to put up numbers...
  12. roadkill

    2023 ACC News & Discussion

    Whenever our D gets our opponent in 3rd and forever, my first thought is, "They've got us just where they want us." I'm hoping for the day when I can actually feel good about an opponent in 3rd and long.
  13. roadkill

    GT 45-UVA 17 #GTvsUVA postgame

    I think it's telling that, except for our QB, we don't have a single player on offense whose production is in the top tier in either rushing or receiving, yet our yards per game is outstanding. Edit to add: My only concern is that Seither's stats are slipping. His one reception failed to score...
  14. roadkill

    GT 45-UVA 17 #GTvsUVA postgame

    Haynes has stated a couple of times that our strategy is to go wide to make the defense run sideline-to-sideline and wear themselves out. This makes some sense in terms of trying to improve our performance in the second half, although it may not be effective early. We've done better in the...
  15. roadkill

    Haynes King Update: How Do We Feel About Him?

    This was posted before Saturday's game: I'm not sure if our records count bowl games as part of the "season". If they do, breaking the record is quite likely. If they don't, it's still not a stretch but he would need to do it against a couple of elite defenses.
  16. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    Not to rain on the Offense stat parade, but realistically we should expect some drop-off by end-of-season after we play a couple of top-ranked defenses in Clemson and uga. Syracuse is average, and that's after factoring in the pre-ACC games that they won easily. We should be able to rack up...
  17. roadkill

    Haynes King Update: How Do We Feel About Him?

    @slugboy can probably give you a better answer, but according to ESPN's definition, Total QBR attempts to rate QBs based on how much credit the QB should be given for the success of each play, adjusted for strength of defense. So in theory it should somewhat level the field regardless of the...
  18. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    In terms of average, we have gone from 17.2 ppg to 33.2 ppg, an improvement of 16 ppg. Not sure if any team's year-over-year improvement has been better.
  19. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    Yeah after yesterday's game, our offense looks even better in terms of ranking, which is awesome. Up to 14th in total offense. The defense improved a little but is still near the bottom. I haven't seen special team stats on things like punting and field goals but my gut tells me they are...
  20. roadkill

    GT 45-UVA 17 #GTvsUVA postgame

    We almost did this, finally, although UVA did score first. Maybe we have finally turned the corner?
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