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  1. roadkill

    CFP Discussion

    For GT, a victory over Vandy on opening day would be better than a loss to UGA on opening day. If a human assumes Vandy and UGA are not equal at the beginning of the season, they have a bias toward using historical data. That doesn't mean they would be wrong. Colley's is strictly based on...
  2. roadkill

    CFP Discussion

    That's not how Colley's ranking works. In his first week's ranking, you can see that all teams start at 0.500, except for a handful that played early games. But if you can explain how his has a bias, I'm listening. Otherwise, I adhere to it being bias-free as stated. Its also why his ranking...
  3. roadkill

    CFP Discussion

    Extra points to you for throwing this into the discussion.
  4. roadkill

    Backdoor ACC Championship Game?

    I think UNC and Miami are both good teams, but Miami has been turnover-prone. UNC's defense is improved from last year, but they did not play like an elite team against Miami in my opinion. They beat Miami by 10 points at home. Considering Miami fumbled in the process of scoring a TD, as...
  5. roadkill

    CFP Discussion

    Colley's doesn't use any arbitrary criteria - that's why I thought its current ranking was interesting. Georgia hasn't beaten anyone of note, and aside from unranked Kentucky, they haven't really dominated the teams they've beaten. Several of their wins required come-from-behind second-half...
  6. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    By way of explanation, Colley's ranking is a formula based strictly on W-L. It was the subject of a mathematical paper by Wes Colley, Ph.D. It contains no human biases, such as "It Just Means More", "Eye Test", or "They were really good last year". It assigns a value to your wins and losses...
  7. roadkill

    CFP Discussion

    Where would you place them at this point in the season?
  8. roadkill

    CFP Discussion

    Just posted this in the Stat/Rankings thread but thought it may be useful in this discussion. After week 7, Colley's (https://www.colleyrankings.com/currank.html) is starting to converge on a fairly decent alignment with the AP for the top 8 teams. This poll is not predictive but it tends to...
  9. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    After week 7, Colley's (https://www.colleyrankings.com/currank.html) is starting to converge on a fairly decent alignment with the AP for the top 8 teams. This poll is not predictive but it tends to have very good agreement with the AP by the end of the season. There is some notable divergence...
  10. roadkill

    Game Winning Drive - Most Impressive Throw?

    #1. From my post in the postgame thread: "We had five linemen plus our RB blocking four rushers for Miami. The outside rushers get pushed past the pocket and Haynes steps up, just as you would want. But the other two rushers almost get home. One takes a swipe at Haynes’ arm just as he is...
  11. roadkill

    Stats models and rankings

    Maybe it's just a coincidence, but this ranking has us in almost exactly the same spot: https://www.colleyrankings.com/currank.html Colley's is kinda the opposite process in that it ignores margin of victory. Also, it thinks we have the 17th toughest SoS.
  12. roadkill

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    It's good to hear this confirmation, given all the controversy around the fumble call. Of course, DRad had to step in and say "Maybe the standard needs to be reevaluated." Gimme a break.
  13. roadkill

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    You can watch the video frame-by-frame and see that his "feet" (plural) were never "first". His body posture was such that his torso was upright until he was well into the end zone. So he did not meet the criteria for either a real or fake slide. I believe the review was to check to make sure...
  14. roadkill

    Upcoming Boston College game

    Not sure what to think about BC’s resume so far this year. In some ways it's similar to ours. They narrowly survive a scare against FCS Holy Cross, then turn around and nearly upset FSU. They haven’t put up a lot of points in any games – and oddly, two of their three wins and one of their losses...
  15. roadkill

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    Yeah at the instant the photo in question was taken, he was not in a feet-first slide. Look closely at his left foot - it appears to have caught the turf, thus causing him to his balance. At that moment his body and the ball are forward of his feet. Miami fans are going to be dragging up...
  16. roadkill

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    I’ve seen the clip of our final drive a few times, but the last time I watched it, I paused the second pass (completion to Rutherford) to see how close it was to being tipped by the defending DB. It was very close but the video was too blurry to see detail of the ball’s flight. Anyway, when I...
  17. roadkill

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    Are we sure it was a deliberate slide and not just a slip on the wet turf? Does that make a difference since it's a running back and not a QB? I honestly don't know how that works, but it seems like if it's an accidental slip, his knee or elbow would need to be down before the ball crosses the...
  18. roadkill

    NIL, Transfers, and Stratospheric Salaries. What Is the Future of GT Football and College Football in General?

    I believe this is just the NCAA changing the rules to officially allow what has already been happening. Nothing to see here, move along folks.
  19. roadkill

    Upcoming Boston College game

    We have yet to have a game where all 3 components of the team performed up to their standard for all four quarters. It's what Key has said he wants, and also what I'm looking for with BC. If that happens, we should win.
  20. roadkill

    Conference Realignment

    My bad - didn't notice the date of the tweet.
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