You can’t analyze where the program stands without understanding where the program stood when Collins took over.
Let’s go back. We had an offense that was recruited for the option. 280 lb OTs are fine in the option, but they can’t pass block well enough for a balanced offense. This isn’t a knock on Johnson, he recruited what worked for his offense. The QB needs to be a runner, not a passer. WRs need to be skilled at blocking, not route running. TE’s? A backs don’t work well as TE’s.
Then there is the defense. Even the most avid Johnson apologist has to admit that the defenses weren’t good. We lost 8 starters from Johnson’s last team and the one that Collins inherited. One of the downsides of the option is that it inhibits D recruiting.
The biggest need when Collins took over was at the line of scrimmage—on both sides. We needed OL and DL, and still do. Headed into last season, Collins had 2 recruiting classes to recruit. Why? The December signing date means that a newly hired coach is stuck with what the previous coach had recruited—and on offense that was guys suited for the option. Then, you don’t win with FR and SOPHS. Further, as O’Leary said, the further you are from the LOS the sooner you can play. The portal has been a mixed bag at best. LOS talent and depth hasn’t been there, but it’s improving.
Knowledgeable observers knew that the transition would be painful. They knew it would take 4-5 years at best to get the program in order. It has taken time to get the talent we need to be competitive. The recent portal guys generally have 3-4 years of eligibility, which is a good sign, but we are still putting the pieces in place to be competitive .
Coaching wise, the staff was one of the lowest paid in P5. Our coordinators only made a little bit more than UGa’s lowest paid position coach ($425K and $450K vs. $400K per USA Today) . How many P5 teams had coordinators making less than $500K? The position coaches were paid less, and paying to live in Atlanta. I don’t believe that pay scale was Collins’ decision. Do people really believe we can be competitive with top teams without paying competitively for coaches? I believe—but don’t know—that this issue finally came to the attention of some people willing to write checks, which is why we saw such staff turnover since last year.
A head coach doesn’t need to be great at X’s and O’s or development. Dodd wasn’t. After Graves and Broyles left, his record was pretty mediocre. Dabo isn’t an X’s and O’s guy, and people made fun of him after he lost to Spurrier at SC for five straight years. How did that work out? Clemson spent money on assistants. Tech hasn’t.
People accuse me of being a Collins fan. He has recruited at a higher level, which we needed. But is he the right guy? I don’t know, but I am willing to give him time. Time, under the circumstances is 5 years-- due to COVID, the December signing date, the coaching budget, and the talent on hand when he took over. And don’t tell me about Rivals and 247 recruiting rankings as a measure of team talent. Such BS.
Then there is the schedule for 2022.
I’m being patient for two more seasons.
Gosh, there's so much here that I think is correct and just about as much that seems just plain wrong.
1. We could have won with the players Paul left. The problem is the same one that emerged at Temple when Collins took over there: he was willing to lose to do what he wanted. And, sure enough, he did. Pert of this was injuries, of course; losing Graham so early and seeing so much turnover game to game in the OL didn't help one bit. But … when that team got it together and Collins let the players do their thing - the NC State game is the best example - we looked pretty good. But the main problem was that Collins wanted an instant turnover instead of using what he had to try to win.
2. Yes, the D sucked in Paul's last year. And it only improved slightly in Collins's first year. We were slightly better in DFEI, however. In 2021, we
truly sucked.
3. Yes, the instability of the OL and DL has greatly hampered the team. But I think a lot of the is a combo for bad coaching and ill-advised conditioning. My favorite example = Kenny Cooper. As a 300 pound center he was a smasher. 25 pounds heavier he lost a good deal of the agility he had and a lot of speed. Still, given the turnover in both lines I think any coach in the country would have had a bad time putting a conventional spread O in place, much less an RPO one.
4. We heard the same thing when Paul took over. His first team in 08 had a load of OL injuries to deal with and installed a new O. They also went 8 - 3. I wasn't expecting that from Collins, but I wasn't expecting increasing mediocrity either.
5. When you are right, you are right. But this has always been a problem at Tech.
Moneyball is right: we won't win by trying to spend like other programs. We can get a bit more money, but nothing like the Gnomes of Athens. This is something we have to live with. And, btw, Dodd was a
great X and O guy. Broyles and Graves were good assistants, but the reason Dodd was such a great game day coach was his feel for how the team was working on both sides of the ball. He never missed anything and knew what to call when he took things over.
6. Again, when you are right, you are right. I wouldn't be surprised if we had a better record
without all the obstacles in the last two seasons. I'm sure Collins wasn't expecting to have his second year as head coach consumed by a world-wide pandemic of a completely new virus that we had no defense against. And he has recruited well for what we are doing. The question = does he know what to do with the talent on the team? So far, the answer has t6 be no.
7. Yes. We need to start scheduling to win.It isn't all that hard, though it might mean getting rid of the Georgia game. Times change and Tech needs to change to meet them.
8. I'm not. One more season with 3 - 4 wins and out he goes.