dressedcheeseside
Helluva Engineer
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True, but that’s true for 95% of college football.Close game wins are usually the only way that we have "good" seasons.
True, but that’s true for 95% of college football.Close game wins are usually the only way that we have "good" seasons.
Fair. Still, its applicable to us given the season that we've had so far.True, but that’s true for 95% of college football.
Add one for "our luck has changed" and u get the right answer =8.Ok, I estimated win likelihood based on my current PPDvPWR5 projections (see that thread):
WF .8
CU .5
uva .7
vpi .7
DU .7
ga .3
That totals 3.7, so I'm projecting 4 more wins and a total of 7.
Are you saying that skipping the game with UCF cost us 4 wins this year?Whether this season ends up like 2014, 2015 or 2016 remains to be seen.
We've had our heartbreaker x2 already.
We've crushed lesser opponents (though 2 of them were on winning streaks against us).
We haven't had our inexplicable loss yet (and for those of you who will say that was TN, I say brand new QB, BB, K in bowl-type atmosphere against SEC opponent).
We almost had our upset of a top 10 (which turned into one of our heartbreakers).
The defense is better than it has been in awhile. In my opinion this is undeniable. Giving up a winning drive or having a bad half doesn't mean our D hasn't improved. It has.
If we had played the UCF game and won it, we would've been ranked going into this UM game. Losing like we did on a miracle after winning the whole game would've kept us in at around 25, I'm guessing.
As it stands, we're off the radar again. And we have a tough road ahead. But how is that different than 2014 after we started hot then dropped Duke and UNC and everyone said we were done? Or last season when we started 3-3, and were sitting at 5-4 after getting demolished by UNC and missing JeT going up to VT?
I'm upset we lost this weekend. It was a great opportunity and we blew it. I don't think it's time to pack it in, though. Wish we had that UCF game back. I still think this was a 9 win team before we lost that one.
Are you saying that skipping the game with UCF cost us 4 wins this year?
I had posted the expected win poll after our UCF game was cancelled. https://gtswarm.com/threads/updated-regular-season-wins-poll.12963/ Median expectation was 8 wins.
Since then we have won and lost a game. So at 3-2, the best we can do is 9-2.
I'll hang with 6 wins ..... we beat WF, UVa and Fluke. But lose big to Clemson and closer to VT and UGAg.
Atomic had us at 7 wins before the UM game and now has us at 6 wins. http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_9.html
Would 6 wins be a good season for most? I would think not. But if we can beat UGAg, that would make it a good season. That is now the most important game left on our schedule, including any bowl we go to.
Whether this season ends up like 2014, 2015 or 2016 remains to be seen.
We've had our heartbreaker x2 already.
We've crushed lesser opponents (though 2 of them were on winning streaks against us).
We haven't had our inexplicable loss yet (and for those of you who will say that was TN, I say brand new QB, BB, K in bowl-type atmosphere against SEC opponent).
We almost had our upset of a top 10 (which turned into one of our heartbreakers).
The defense is better than it has been in awhile. In my opinion this is undeniable. Giving up a winning drive or having a bad half doesn't mean our D hasn't improved. It has.
If we had played the UCF game and won it, we would've been ranked going into this UM game. Losing like we did on a miracle after winning the whole game would've kept us in at around 25, I'm guessing.
As it stands, we're off the radar again. And we have a tough road ahead. But how is that different than 2014 after we started hot then dropped Duke and UNC and everyone said we were done? Or last season when we started 3-3, and were sitting at 5-4 after getting demolished by UNC and missing JeT going up to VT?
I'm upset we lost this weekend. It was a great opportunity and we blew it. I don't think it's time to pack it in, though. Wish we had that UCF game back. I still think this was a 9 win team before we lost that one.
Ok, I estimated win likelihood based on my current PPDvPWR5 projections (see that thread):
WF .8
CU .5
uva .7
vpi .7
DU .7
ga .3
That totals 3.7, so I'm projecting 4 more wins and a total of 7.
I'm more concerned about Mitchell then Benson. We have good depth at BB, but not so much at LB. And, yes, Wake will be a challenge.
And, yes, I'm really missing Dedrick Mills right about now.