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Updated Season Win Expectations

Discussion in 'Georgia Tech Football' started by GTNavyNuke, Oct 15, 2017.

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How many regular season wins will GT get?

Poll closed Oct 21, 2017.
  1. 3

    1 vote(s)
    0.8%
  2. 4

    3 vote(s)
    2.4%
  3. 5

    6 vote(s)
    4.9%
  4. 6

    30 vote(s)
    24.4%
  5. 7

    42 vote(s)
    34.1%
  6. 8

    31 vote(s)
    25.2%
  7. 9

    10 vote(s)
    8.1%
  1. RedPete

    RedPete Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    928
    After going only 3-2 in the "soft" half of the schedule, our prospects over the second half look downright ominous. (And yes I include Miami as "soft" because they were banged-up coming off a tough game, while we were fresh off a bye.)

    Wake - looking good and coming off a bye, while we have several injuries.
    @ #x Clemson - coming off a bye AND angry from a humiliating loss.
    @ #x Virginia - on a roll and likely ranked at 7-1 when we roll into the Charlottesville house of horrors.
    #x VT - always tough and looking for payback over last year.
    @Duke - our first un-ranked opponent in over a month, but they'll be coming off an extra week of option practice vs Army.
    #x Georgia - looking like the toughest team from Athens since 2012.

    The chips are stacked against us in EVERY game in one way or another. Whether our boys competed well so far or not, it turns out they *needed* to cash-in with 5 or 4 wins going into the toughest gauntlet in the country. Lord help us if Benson misses time or we get any more injuries to this patchwork O-line. Could a dominant and opportunistic team overcome this tough schedule and win 4 or 5 out of 6? Sure. But is this year's Yellow Jackets that good or that lucky?
     
    katlong likes this.
  2. first&ten

    first&ten Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    639
    All this woulda been/ shoulda been doesn't mean b.s. Tech is 3&2 with for sure 3 losses left. Win the others and we are 6&5 plain and simple.
     
  3. AE 87

    AE 87 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    13,284
    If you didn't have CU as a sure loss for Syracuse, then I'll accept this as a reasonable post.
     
  4. Techster

    Techster Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    10,575
    Never fails every year: GT will win a game we weren't suppose to win, and lose a game we shouldn't have lost.

    Hopefully, Tennessee is that game we shouldn't have lost this year. Let's beat Clemson (and VT, and UGA)!!!
     
  5. stech81

    stech81 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    4,560
    Good thing you are not a player or coach on the team.
     
  6. Whiskey_Clear

    Whiskey_Clear Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    13,192
    No easy games remaining. Two very tough games. I ain't scared of any of them. There is a very good chance uga will come to BDS with a perfect record. And we will have the opportunity to utterly and completely break their hearts and cause incredible mental anguish. I'm almost starting to pull for the mutts just so we can rip their hearts out in a loss they will never, ever, forget the pain of.
     
    alentrekin likes this.
  7. bke1984

    bke1984 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,890
    Games against Clemson and uGA are tough to predict going in our favor. Clemson actually feels more winnable at this point than uGA, sadly...

    Can we win the other four? Sure... tall order though. Even if we pick up one of those first two, we could easily drop one of these other four. 7-4 or 6-5 seems right, now. Such a bummer too...seems so much like 2012, but I don't think we will backdoor into the ACCCG with probations this time...only way in is to get to 7-1 or 6-2 and hope for a tiebreaker.
     
  8. bke1984

    bke1984 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,890
    Sure seems to be the norm. I know which one I'd pick to win for sure! Maybe we can still beat a team ranked #2
     
  9. GTNavyNuke

    GTNavyNuke Helluva Engineer Featured Member

    Messages:
    6,749
    Agree we have very little chance for the ACCCG, Miami is by far the favorite having beaten FSU. Their hardest game is at home versus VT. That they are only 65% likely to win. The rest of the ACC games are in the 80% range. So even if we win out, Miami has to lose 2 ACC games for us to get by them. http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_10.html

    On the VT side, I'm glad they play Miami the week before us. Even if VT pulls out a win against Miami, they still have to beat us at home. And VT will not have focused at all on us.

    Now in the ACCCG, Miami will get rolled by Clemson assuming Clemson doesn't Clemson again.
     
  10. Jean-Baptiste Rochambeau

    Jean-Baptiste Rochambeau Banned

    Messages:
    2,077
    Virginia Tech is coming off their bye this week and face North Carolina, Duke, at Miami, and then Georgia Tech in Atlanta. Back to back Hokie road games helps us. If they beat Miami, it might put us back into the picture, if we haven't already picked up two more losses. I think we are at the point where we need Virginia Tech to lose twice, too.
     
  11. jeffgt14

    jeffgt14 Tobias Please

    Messages:
    5,326
    We're need to be big fans of teams located in North Carolina for the rest of the year (unless they are playing us obviously).
     
  12. RedPete

    RedPete Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    928
    All y'all sleeping on Virginia. After beating BC and Pitt they'll be 7-1, ranked and vey capable of playing spoiler


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  13. jeffgt14

    jeffgt14 Tobias Please

    Messages:
    5,326
    Virginia sucks
     
  14. GTNavyNuke

    GTNavyNuke Helluva Engineer Featured Member

    Messages:
    6,749
    We lose to UVa and we don't/shouldn't go to a bowl and aren't a good enough team to beat Clemson, UGAg or VT. The t GT team I have seen all year is better than UVa. Maybe I'm sleeping on UVa, but if we are better than the bottom of the ACC, we beat them. UVa could well beat BC (favorite) and then Pitt (toss up). But UVa should lose their last four games. http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_13.html
     
  15. RedPete

    RedPete Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    928
    No no you missed the point. I'm just saying Virginia is another team who can surprise Miami and put GT back into the picture for the Coastal
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2017
    GTNavyNuke likes this.
  16. iceeater1969

    iceeater1969 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    6,341
    Red I love your thinking. I think u are saying atomic is wrong in that u v a beats Miami and not ga tech .
     
  17. tech_wreck47

    tech_wreck47 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    8,450
    Yep, and Syracuse.
     
  18. GTNavyNuke

    GTNavyNuke Helluva Engineer Featured Member

    Messages:
    6,749
    I like the idea, and it is more likely than Miami getting suspended / forfeiting again. But I think Miami will beat UVa easily; just hope I'm wrong again.
     
  19. RyanS12

    RyanS12 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    3,446
    I think 6-2 is a real possibility for us with the other loss coming to Clemson or VT but unfortunately I can't see Miami losing 3 since they own the tie breaker over us. Hopefully VT UVA or UNC and they drop a game to Pitt in the snow to close out the season. They have a good team and are getting the bounces that teams get when they win 10+ games. We got ours in 2014 at Pitt (5 times) and at UGA. Just one of those things in college football...
     
    THWG likes this.

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