5-3 vs 3-5 is one game. FSU FG on the last play of the game. UNC a 60+ yard TD run with 16 seconds left. NCST misses a FG with 3 seconds left. Any one of those goes slightly wrong and we are not a 5-3 team.
You fail to make any case why you think GT is much better than any of the 3 peer teams. Make a case if you have one.
EDIT to supersede the below: it seems like, Root, you think I’m saying “they play down to their competition” as some sort of good thing about the team? Like I’m overly optimistic? An inflated sense of how good the team is? It’s not. It’s a bad thing. I hope you’re right, frankly, because then things can be fixed by the talent Key is bringing in. I think there are some persistent deeper coaching failures that could continue to cost the team if Key can’t fix them.
It’s… two games? Not 1? Unless you’re only counting the head to head ones, but that would be silly.
My claim was “GT plays down to the level of the opponent” so the closeness of those UNC and NCST games tells us nothing about if GT was actually much better than those two. “They don’t play down, they just aren’t that good, because they didn’t beat them by much” is circular.
So we have to look at the other games UNC and NCST played. Because those games being close is built into both of our claims.
And they look… not great. Neither team had any wins suggesting as high a ceiling as GT’s best win (or even close to GT’s best loss). Both teams had worse losses than GT.
If you don’t want to take my eye test’s word for it, FPI has GT 6th in the ACC and UNC 12th, NCST 13th. Similar story by overall efficiency.
https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/group/1
Still waiting to hear why your “but the overall record is close!” wouldn’t also apply to Duke/UGA if it applies to GT/UNC blindly. Replace Charlotte and JMU with ND and UGA for UNC and get back to me on that too. Replace NIU with UGA for NCST. You’re using overall record because it fits your argument, but it has some holes.