Special Ed Conference

Boomergump

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
3,281
Upate After Week 3:

vs NON PWR 5 FBS: SEC 11-3, ACC 6-3
vs FCS: SEC 4-0, ACC 10-1
vs BIG10: SEC 0-1, ACC 2-1
vs PAC 12: SEC 2-0, ACC 0-1
vs BIG 12: SEC 1-1, ACC 0-1
HEAD to HEAD: ACC 3 wins, SEC 2 wins

So: against FBS power 5: SEC 5-5, ACC 5-5

Give the SEC credit for scheduling more non power 5 FBS games and fewer FCS than ACC.
Give ACC credit for a winning record vs SEC
Update after week 4:
vs NON PWR 5 FBS: SEC 14-3, ACC 11-3
vs FCS: SEC 5-0, ACC: 11-1
vs BIG10: SEC 0-1, ACC 3-1
vs PAC 12: SEC 2-0, ACC 0-1
vs BIG 12: SEC 1-1, ACC 0-1
HEAD to HEAD: ACC 3 wins, SEC 2 wins

So: all totaled against PWR 5 (includes ND): SEC 5-5, ACC 7-5

Give the SEC credit for scheduling more non PWR 5 FBS teams than ACC and fewer FCS games thus far. Give ACC credit for a winning record head to head AND scheduling two more games vs PWR 5 opponents and winning them. At this point the mighty SEC has no claim to anything other than being another average conference in CFB. If forced to choose, I would select the ACC resume.

Just as I was gleefully getting ready to pencil in another L for the SEC, Vandy wiggled off the hook against WKY. It was joyful times for me following the UGA-MISS score on my phone. You think we have problems? Imagine if it was 45-0 for us against a 1-2 team.
 

COJacket

Ramblin' Wreck
Messages
794
Location
Colorado Springs, CO
Update after week 4:
vs NON PWR 5 FBS: SEC 14-3, ACC 11-3
vs FCS: SEC 5-0, ACC: 11-1
vs BIG10: SEC 0-1, ACC 3-1
vs PAC 12: SEC 2-0, ACC 0-1
vs BIG 12: SEC 1-1, ACC 0-1
HEAD to HEAD: ACC 3 wins, SEC 2 wins

So: all totaled against PWR 5 (includes ND): SEC 5-5, ACC 7-5

Give the SEC credit for scheduling more non PWR 5 FBS teams than ACC and fewer FCS games thus far. Give ACC credit for a winning record head to head AND scheduling two more games vs PWR 5 opponents and winning them. At this point the mighty SEC has no claim to anything other than being another average conference in CFB. If forced to choose, I would select the ACC resume.

Just as I was gleefully getting ready to pencil in another L for the SEC, Vandy wiggled off the hook against WKY. It was joyful times for me following the UGA-MISS score on my phone. You think we have problems? Imagine if it was 45-0 for us against a 1-2 team.
And what about ND? They have some jimmies and Joes and yet their D is nonexistent
 

Boomergump

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
3,281
Agreed. Sagarin ranks the SEC East as the weakest division in the Power 5. Take Alabama out, and even the mighty SEC West looks pedestrian.

http://www.sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm
WHile I wouldn't argue against the findings of that article, we must recognize that Sagarin rankings don't mean much without more data. It is one of my favorite poll devices, but only after about 2/3 of the way through the schedule and on. I guess all polls are garbage before the first half is over anyway.
 
Last edited:

GT03&05

Georgia Tech Fan
Messages
49
WHile I wouldn't argue against the findings of that article, we must recognize that Sagarin ranking don't mean much without more data. It is one of my favorite poll devices, but only after about 2/3 of the way through the schedule and on. I guess all polls are garbage before the first half is over anyway.

No arguments. Sagarin clearly becomes more accurate with more games / more objective data. Early in the season, I don't know what he uses to supplement that (maybe national rankings, last year, recruiting rankings?).

That said, once a trend establishes itself (even an early one, like week 4), it usually holds up for the most part. I'd bet that the top 25 in Sagarin as of today will be 75% the same by season's end, but maybe not in the same order.
 

GTNavyNuke

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
10,064
Location
Williamsburg Virginia
Yesterday was a glorious CFB day. First time I can remember really rooting for Fluke.

An update from below on 6 Sept, JHowell has the SEC Power Ranking improving to .676 (a .007 increase) as of yesterday's games due to their OOC games. The ACC has climbed to .627 (a .015 increase) and is now the #3 conference. http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cf2016.htm

GT is at #38 up from #46.

So what we'll see over the years is conferences going up or down depending how they do OOC. Really no other way to do it. By the end of the season, it won't matter much as that year's W/L and SOS will determine who goes to the final four (hopefully 16 soon).

OK, there is bias in these numbers below since they incorporate last year's results too. But not counting last night, JHowell has SEC #1 at Power Ranking of .669 and ACC #4 at .612. {Bottom of http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cf2016.htm .... it'll be interesting to see how the one game last night changes things. Shouldn't be much since both were highly ranked and the higher ranked home team won.}

But that is a decrease in one week of .009 for the SEC and an increase of .006 for ACC. Bottom line is that when you win tougher games OOC, the conference gets better, when you lose the conference goes down. Playing cupcakes hurts. So just win baby.

We are at #46.
 

Boomergump

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
3,281
BTW, to add fuel to my argument, the SEC, despite their average resume, came into the week with the highest ranked 0-loss team, the second highest ranked 1-loss team, and the highest ranked 2-loss team. Give me a break! Let's see where things fall tonight when the new polls come out.
 
Messages
13,443
Location
Augusta, GA
BTW, to add fuel to my argument, the SEC, despite their average resume, came into the week with the highest ranked 0-loss team, the second highest ranked 1-loss team, and the highest ranked 2-loss team. Give me a break! Let's see where things fall tonight when the new polls come out.
Because of their infatuation with the SEC, the new polls probably won't be much different
 

CuseJacket

Administrator
Staff member
Messages
19,555
Another slice of the data by David Hale:

Breaking down the out-of-conference records for each league...
 

ATL1

Helluva Engineer
Messages
7,377
LSU burns the road up out of Baton Rouge.
Van Gorder booted out of ND.

I think I read Miles had the highest winning percentage of any LSU coach
 

FightWinDrink

Helluva Engineer
Messages
2,341
LSU burns the road up out of Baton Rouge.
Van Gorder booted out of ND.

I think I read Miles had the highest winning percentage of any LSU coach
He is if you sort out the guys who coached like 20 games or less. There are a few early 1900s guys that would be ahead of him that did like 8 games but yea he had a 77.8% win rate which is ahead of Saban's 75.0% win rate at LSU
 
Top