Postseason Chances?

MWBATL

Helluva Engineer
Messages
6,530
My own guess is that while we may beat Pitt in a tight game, that we get beaten easily by Virginia because:
  1. they will be rested and we won't be;
  2. it's been a long season for our best players; and
  3. we are pretty well known now and won't sneak up on anyone, and our strategies aren't surprises anymore
At some point, talent dictates results....coaching can cover up issues in the regular season some of the time, but at tourney time, I think it become more about point guard play and talent, as the coaching (usually) equalizes once you get past weaker teams. Just mho.

NIT bound, I think.
 
northgajacket

northgajacket

Banned
Messages
1,150
CuseJacket said:
Lowest RPI at-large bid ever was in the low 70's, if I remember correctly. I posted it a while back somewhere. I think there's been less than a handful of teams with RPI's in the 70's that have ever received an at-large.

Here's one article published February 23, 2017:


This article from CBS Sports was published February 26, 2016:




Interesting that the RPI's used for USC in 2011 were different... perhaps timing based on when the RPIs were calculated. Either way, an RPI in the 90's or 80's for that matter has never been an at-large. I'm not sure there's been a team with an RPI in the 90's or 80's with our quality wins though, and clearly that's why we're in the bubble discussion albeit outside looking in.
Click to expand...

Tech wasn't in the Tourney in 2008
 
CuseJacket

CuseJacket

Administrator
Staff member
Messages
19,554
northgajacket said:
Tech wasn't in the Tourney in 2008
Click to expand...
Initially I was surprised because I thought the article was suggesting Tech got in. The stats are tough to follow in the article. I think that one needs to be taken at face value i.e., I guess all they're saying is that's the highest RPI rating a team has achieved with a losing conference record, regardless of whether they made the tourney or not. Probably not a lot of value in seeing that. The stat also follows a couple statistics about teams getting left out.
 
northgajacket

northgajacket

Banned
Messages
1,150
CuseJacket said:
Initially I was surprised because I thought the article was suggesting Tech got in. The stats are tough to follow in the article. I think that one needs to be taken at face value i.e., I guess all they're saying is that's the highest RPI rating a team has achieved with a losing conference record, regardless of whether they made the tourney or not. Probably not a lot of value in seeing that. The stat also follows a couple statistics about teams getting left out.
Click to expand...

Oh I see, the article should probably state that.
 

Texwood

Jolly Good Fellow
Messages
139
On ESPN last night, Joe Lunardi said that the selection committee has been prioritizing quality wins in recent years. Currently, the only teams with more RPI top-25 wins than GT are FSU, UNC, Duke, and Kansas.
 
ESPNjacket

ESPNjacket

Helluva Engineer
Messages
1,531
Texwood said:
On ESPN last night, Joe Lunardi said that the selection committee has been prioritizing quality wins in recent years. Currently, the only teams with more RPI top-25 wins than GT are FSU, UNC, Duke, and Kansas.
Click to expand...

I think that is why he has us in the first four out. It is really all we have going for us.
 

RyanS12

Helluva Engineer
Messages
5,084
Location
Flint Michigan
That's a winninble bracket. Interesting game with CofC. Wonder what Bobby will do? Rhode Island is very beatable in rd 2. Cal would be a tough match up. Long west coast trip and they have some talent. Remembering last years trip to SDSU. The NIT is a different event. Some teams just look like they flat out don't care to be in it and some might be the higher seed and have a scheduling conflict and have to play on the road. You never know what you're going to get in this thing.
 

RamblinRed

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
5,862
I'm not expecting us to get an NIT bid, so it will be a pleasant surprise if we do.
Last year the lowest P5 team to get an at-large was VT at 89. Lowest at-large bid for NIT period was Creighton at 100.

A 16-15 record and 105 RPI does not scream post-season.
 
Peacone36

Peacone36

Helluva Engineer
Messages
10,500
Location
Maine
RamblinRed said:
I'm not expecting us to get an NIT bid, so it will be a pleasant surprise if we do.
Last year the lowest P5 team to get an at-large was VT at 89. Lowest at-large bid for NIT period was Creighton at 100.

A 16-15 record and 105 RPI does not scream post-season.
Click to expand...

IMG_1132.JPG
 

RamblinRed

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
5,862
Here are the main NIT brackets

Dratings.com - updated 10:39 am this morning. GT a 7
http://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/

NYC Buckets - this updated last night at 10 pm - 4 seed
http://www.nycbuckets.com/current-nit-bracketology/

Bracket Matrix -hasn't updated since Sunday - 4 seed
http://bracketproject.blogspot.com/

Also, in response to a poster above - Bobby doesn't coach at CoC anymore. He is retired.

So I guess in but very bubbly.

if we get in at all I doubt we get a home game.
 

RyanS12

Helluva Engineer
Messages
5,084
Location
Flint Michigan
I made the Bobby comment. More sarcastic than anything. Just thought it was interesting to have a possible match up with CofC and both schools most prolific coach is the same guy.
 
orientalnc

orientalnc

Helluva Engineer
Retired Staff
Messages
9,907
Location
Oriental, NC
I think our quality wins helps us get in. Clearly, if you just look at our record and RPI, Red is probably correct. Bubbly is a good description of our situation. I we get left out, I will be disappointed. However, we won't have a case for arguing against the non-selection.
 
Top