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Path to the Coastal

Discussion in 'Georgia Tech Football' started by FredJacket, Sep 26, 2017.

  1. Ramblin_Rick

    Ramblin_Rick Georgia Tech Fan

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    Must win this weekend, win all but one of the remaining ACC games, and that should get it done. Not Easy.

    Go Jackets! THWG
     
  2. MikeJackets1967

    MikeJackets1967 Helluva Engineer

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    Beat Miami and GT is in the Driver's seat with VT at home.
     
  3. 305jacket

    305jacket Ramblin' Wreck

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    Agree 100%. A win for them gives them a better chance than a win gives us. But if we want any shot at all, we must win. Then just win 1 of VT or Clemson.
     
  4. bke1984

    bke1984 Helluva Engineer

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    Yep. As much as I'd love to beat Clemson, the VT game is the bigger of the two...division record comes into play with tiebreakers...plus we could always beat Clemson the second time we played them :whistle:
     
    305jacket likes this.
  5. bwelbo

    bwelbo Helluva Engineer

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    12,276
    Well they got blown out by Virginia Tech last year and lost to a pretty bad Notre Dame team. So I wouldn't be surprised if that happened again. (Obviously the Notre Dame doesn't factor into ACC standings, but just sayin...) Once Miami loses once, they typically crap the bad several times after.
     
  6. GTBatGirl96

    GTBatGirl96 Helluva Engineer

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    Are you Pastner?
     
    MidtownJacket likes this.
  7. DC Bee

    DC Bee Helluva Engineer

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    Nope. Division head to head is the 1st tie-breaker. GT could beat Miami but lose to Wake & Clem and Miami would win the division if GT was their only loss.
     
  8. dressedcheeseside

    dressedcheeseside Helluva Engineer

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    Lose to Wake... good one.
     
  9. iceeater1969

    iceeater1969 Helluva Engineer

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    6,355
    You've discovered the secret plan.
    It's could be prime time from now on for the ga tech yellow jackets. All we need is A, B, C to make it happen.
     
  10. DC Bee

    DC Bee Helluva Engineer

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    560
    Hypothetical of course, Cheesy.
     
  11. tech_wreck47

    tech_wreck47 Helluva Engineer

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    GT still has a chance to make it. It's not an easy task and will need some bounces our way, but it can happen with even 1 more loss (Clemson if I had to guess) what needs to happen? Well, the easiest/hardest way would be GT winning out. That would insure the acccg with Miami losing two games. Next option would be a three way tie. We beat VT but lose to another ACC team. VT beats Miami. And Miami losses to VT and one of their other conference games. Syracuse could possibly beat Miami with their passing attack and imo would be the team with the best chance to beat Miami outside of VT. You never know though, weird things happen and you might just see Virginia, Pitt, or UNC beat Miami, we just need two of them to beat Miami. I'm not betting my money on it though, because it is no longer in our hands, we now need help. But let's support the team and trust that they still have a chance.
     
    Last edited: Oct 14, 2017
  12. Southpaw13

    Southpaw13 Helluva Engineer

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    1,099
    On paper, GT is very much in the mix for the coastal race, only 1 loss out of 1st... but the path forward to actually winning the coastal is pretty crazy.

    First, Miami has to have 2 losses in conference, since they have the H2H tie breaker on us. In other words, if we won out in ACC play and Miami only lost to, say, VT... we'd both be 7-1 and they would go to the ACCCG. So... that means to even entertain the conversation of playing for the ACCC, Miami must also lose a 2nd conference game. I doubt UNC can beat anyone... so that leaves it up to either Pitt or UVA to pull an upset.

    If that upset occurred, and Miami lost to VT, Miami would be 6-2. One path at that point would be to win out (requiring wins over both VT at home and Clemson on the road.) Possible, but unlikely. The next scenario would require us to beat VT, so a Clemson loss could be allowed and maybe we can move forward.

    If we beat VT and they win their remaining conference games, we would have a 3-way division tie at 6-2.

    If you go to the tiebreaker rules, I'm not sure how it gets prioritized. We all would be 6-2, with Miami's losses both being division losses. I think that would eliminate them. That would leave us beating VT in a head to head.... but I'm really not sure if that's the way the tiebreakers get layered. We may actually get penalized for having a lower overall win% since we missed out on the UCF game.

    If we could find a way to beat Clemson, that would go a LONG way to making the coastal seem feasible.
     
  13. BigJacket

    BigJacket Banned

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    So, you're saying there's a chance....
     
  14. Oldgoldandwhite

    Oldgoldandwhite Helluva Engineer

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    We must win out, period. Don’t see two losses getting us in with the U holding serve.
     
  15. MGTfan

    MGTfan Helluva Engineer

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    I disagree. Win our or not, we need Miami to lose two. Actually pretty sure the Clemson game means nothing for our coastal chances assuming we win our other 3 conference games.
     
    FredJacket likes this.
  16. bke1984

    bke1984 Helluva Engineer

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    Tiebreaker resets after a team is eliminated, so we’d win the thing in your three way tie scenario with a loss to Clemson and all other Ws.
     
  17. Coloradojacket

    Coloradojacket Helluva Engineer

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    We would need to run the table in the ACC as the Clemson games does count against us. The problem is I don't see anyone left on Miami's schedule except Va Tech that can beat them. And right now I am not buying Va Tech.
     
    GTNavyNuke likes this.
  18. BuzzStone

    BuzzStone Helluva Engineer

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    974
    I say to just let the chips fall and not worry to much. Way to many things will change and more would need to for us to have a chance. Lets just get ready for saturday.
     
    Whiskey_Clear and GTNavyNuke like this.
  19. GTJoeBrew

    GTJoeBrew Helluva Engineer

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    1,099
    Just win and the rest will sort itself out.
     
    JacketGirl likes this.
  20. Josh H

    Josh H Helluva Engineer

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    Worry about Clemson. If we can win out, even if Miami wins out we'll still have a chance to ruin UGA's season. There are worst fates than a New Year's Six invite.
     

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