Josh Okogie to hire agent and stay in NBA Draft

orientalnc

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As much as i would have liked him to return I wish Josh lots of success. His showing at the combine certainly sealed the deal.
I've seen 5 full mock drafts since the combine and 3 have him in the late 1st round, a fourth has him at #32 and SI is the outlier at #42.

If you look at his measurements and performance at the combine he compares favorably to 3 other prospects who he would be competing with for a draft spot and who are all seen as 1st rounders right now (i'll post those numbers in a separate message).
I hope it was not mock drafts or ESPN analysts that convinced him to leave GT, but I feel he heard enough to convince him it was the right decision. He seems like a fine young man & I will be pulling for him to succeed.
 

RamblinRed

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Here are Josh's numbers from the combine compared with a few other prospects who are seen as mid-to-late 1st rounders in most mock drafts.

Measurements (body fat%, Hand length and width, height w/o and with shoes, weight, wingspan, standing reach, birthdate)
J. Okogie - 5.20, 9.00, 9.75, 6'3, 6'4 3/4, 210.8, 7'0, 8'6", 9/1/98
Z. Smith - 6.05, 8.75, 8.25, 6'2 3/4, 6'4, 198.6, 6'9 3/4, 8'4", 6/14/99
D. Divencenzo - 5.00, 8.25, 9.00, 6'3 1/2, 6'4 1/2, 200.6, 6'6, 8'1 1/2, 1/31/97
J. Robinson - 6.05, 9.00, 10.00, 6'4, 6'5, 188.4, 6'7 1/4, 8'2", 2/22/97

Due to Okogie's huge wingspan he has a higher standing reach than any of the 4. He is also the second youngest with only Zhaire Smith being younger. He also has larger hands and is the most well built.

Next are the agility numbers - note that Robinson did not take part in any of these. numbers are either in seconds or inches

(lane agility, shuttle run, 3/4 sprint, standing vertical leap, max vertical leap) - placement among all tested players in parentheses
J. Okogie - 11.08 (20), 3.03 (8), 3.04 (1), 33.0 (4), 42.0 (1)
Z. Smith - 11.02 (16), 3.15 (24), 3.05 (2), 33.0 (4), 41.5 (3)
D. Divencenzo - 10.72 (6), 3.12 (20), 3.11 (10), 34.5 (1), 42.0 (1)

Okogie tests as well as or better than Smith and Divencenzo. He is top 8 or better in every category except lane agility. You can make a strong argument that these are the top 3 athletes at the combine. Definitely the top 3 jumpers. Okogie was also first overall in the 3/4 sprint.

Shooting - only Josh and Divencenzo took part in the shooting drills - both Smith and Robinson skipped them.
in each spot the player takes 5 shots with the percentage made from 0% to 100%.
The shooting spots are - NBA Break Left, NBA Break right, NBA corner left, NBA corner right, NBA Top key,
second set is 15' break left, 15' break right, 15' corner left, 15' corner right, 15' top key
J. Okogie - 40, 80, 60, 60, 80 - 100, 100, 80, 80, 100
D. Divencenzo - 40, 80, 40, 60, 80 - 100, 80, 100, 100, 80

You can see that the 2 hit almost exactly the same percentages across the board. They hit exactly the same number of shots from 15 feet and Josh hit one more from NBA range

Finally, here are the college stats for each player for their careers. Note that other than the shooting % they are based on a per 100 possession number to mitigate differences in tempo.
I also included full college career for FTM-FTA and 3FGM-3FGA
FG%, 2 FG%, 3FG%, 3FGM-3FGA, 3FGA per 100 poss, FT%, FTM-FTA, FTA per 100 poss
Okogie - 43.7, 45.4, 38.2 (66-173, 5.0), 77.7 (313-403, 11.8)
Smith - 55.6, 57.4, 45.0 (18-40, 2.2), 71.7 (91-127, 7.1)
DD - 46.9, 57.3, 37.8 (130-344, 6.4), 70.5 (134-190, 3.5)
Robinson - 45.0, 48.8, 37.6 (159-423, 7.7), 75.5 (308-408, 7.5)

Josh has the lowest 2FG% of the 4, it's his one big weakness - finishing at the rim. Smith has the highest 3FG% but it is on very few shots, so whether it would continue is questionable. Josh has the best FT% and also the most attempts per 100 poss. Divencenzo does not get to the line much. Smith's game is that of a driver right now. Also note that both Josh and Jerome Robinson were primary options while DD and Smith were not. So Smith and DD would face lesser defenders and be able to pick their spots more on offense.

finally, other stats on a per 100 possession basis
Total rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, TO and then the offensive and defensive career ratings.
Okogie - 10.2, 3.5, 2.6, 1.5, 4.0, 109.3, 99.1
Smith - 10.3, 3.7, 2.3, 2.3, 2.3, 128.7, 95.1
DD - 9.3, 5.5, 2.1, 0.5, 3.7, 117.5, 99.7
Robinson - 6.3, 5.4, 2.1, 0.4, 4.7, 104.6, 107.8

smith has both the highest offensive and defensive ratings - though his offensive one is affected positively by his low shot totals. Smith and Okogie are strong rebounders as is DD, Robinson is not.
DD and Robinson are good passers. Robinson is a poor defensive player.

Overall, you look at all these various numbers and you can make an argument for taking Josh first among them. If you take Smith you are taking a pure gamble on a great athlete who might develop.
Robinson is largely an offensive shooter. He is thinly built and doesn't play good defense. DD is a very good offensive player who has the potential to be a solid defender as well. Okogie has the best measurements for being a strong defender given the combination of his size and athleticism. His offensive stats, especially his 38% college 3FG% and his 78% FT give you potential for being a solid offensive option as well.
 

YlJacket

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That sucks. You know he is bouncing off the walls wanting to go work out for teams and can't do it.

Good news is he didn't have an ACL or anything major that would really affect his status.
 

CuseJacket

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One whose stock is arguably just as high if not higher... Donte DiVincenzo announced he's staying in the draft. Similar height/weight to JO, though the differentiator is DD is more of a CG.
 

brandon_cox

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ESPN has a new mock draft out:

27. Boston Celtics
i


Josh Okogie
Georgia Tech

Age: 19.7
SG

Height: 6-foot-4 | Weight: 195

The Celtics have a tough decision in front of them with Marcus Smart entering restricted free agency and Terry Rozier eligible for an extension, and they might need to find a less expensive backcourt option to avoid luxury-tax issues.

Okogie has the type of length, toughness and multipositional defensive versatility the coaching staff covets, and he has put himself firmly in the first-round mix with a strong pre-draft process, including an excellent showing at the combine.

Starting salary: $1,640,400

http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/sto...-deandre-ayton-luka-doncic-trae-young-lottery
 

D-man44

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I like Collin sexton more than trae young. I know I'm in the minority there but I just don't see young holding up very long and being consistent.
I got a hot take for ya. I like Melton from USC more than 6'1 Sexton and Young and think he may end up the best of the 3.
 

alagold

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We really needed JO to stay and help in a transition yr (w/0 Lammers) to show recruits progress.Now it will be an uphill battle for JP to show progress to the recruits he wants and we need. It may even be a fatal blow long term to him added with all that crap this yr.
 
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