GT (+17) vs Georgia #GTvsUGA

BCJacket

BCJacket

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Their D-line is nothing like Clemson's. They're closer to Miami on defense. Good, but not historic. We should be able to move the ball and put up some points if we play sharp- 'Good Tech'. I think we're going to need TO's power more than TQM's dancing to move the ball.

They are going to score points. We need to grind the clock, limit possessions, stick with them punch for punch, and steal some possessions. The coin flip, special teams, [SEC] officials and luck of the bounce will weigh heavily on the outcome.

I give us 1 chance in 4.

I hate to be the tin-foil hat wearer. But the SEC cannot afford for uGA to lose. Their officials are going to be even more biased than normal. The new blocking rule hasn't hurt us much this year. But I'm afraid their definition of "5 yards downfield" might be 'anywhere on the field' on 3rd down.
 

Animal02

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GT_05 said:
I considered this scenario this morning. I think Bammer would still get in but the mutts would definitely be shut out (2 losses). I would love for our guys to slam the door on their CFP hopes.


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Unless Bama got curb stomped. Cannot see a team going to the playoffs that just lost by 30 pts.
 
Towaliga

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JacketFromUGA said:
Everything I’ve seem from non Tech fans is acknowledging “tech is on fire right now”

They aren’t picking apart everyplay and mistake and “miracle bounce” of why we should have lost all the games.
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Then they must not be spending their time reading the 10% of the GTSWARM posters who are the only people on here that think they know the truth about how mediocre our team is.
 
GT_05

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Animal02 said:
Unless Bama got curb stomped. Cannot see a team going to the playoffs that just lost by 30 pts.
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You’re right but I don’t see that as a possibility. I think they could be beaten but there’s no way they get whipped. Even if they did get whipped, I’m not sure who would move into the top four (ahead of Alabama). In the scenario that we are talking about, UGA would have 2 losses and LSU would have at least 2 losses. Oklahoma will have at least 1 loss and they’ve barely squeaked by against a few unranked teams and there is a good chance that they’ll lose to West Virginia this weekend. Washington State has probably hit the glass ceiling because of their strength of schedule.

Let’s just say that if GT wins and the Mutts beat Bammer, it will be a VERY interesting time waiting for the committee to announce the top four teams.


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Techster

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I feel better about this game than I did when the season was a month old.

That said, Miami is statistically a superior defensive team to UGA (Miami DFEI of 11, UGA DFEI of 24) and we were able to move the ball on Miami. UGA's defense isn't a world beater like they were last year (2017 DFEI of#4) which helped propel them into the national championship. GT has a better chance than a lot want to give us credit for.

IMO, the bigger matchup is our defense versus their offense. They have the #4 OFEI offense this year, which is statistically better than Clemson's (OFEI #17). We know how that ended with Clemson, but we are a better defense than we were. Our defense will need to play its best game of the season if we're gonna make it 3 in a row in Athens.
 

JorgeJonas

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Uga has become a team for whom the bookies cannot make a spread big enough. I think the last team they didn’t cover against was Missouri, and that was a push.
 

684Bee

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33jacket said:
we will have to play nearly one too.
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Yep. The gap in talent between us and the Clemsons and Ugas is pretty dang wide.

It takes winning turnover margin, penalties, special teams, and forcing them to kick fgs.

Can it happen? Yes, but it’s not something I’d go in expecting.
 

33jacket

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Techster said:
I feel better about this game than I did when the season was a month old.

That said, Miami is statistically a superior defensive team to UGA (Miami DFEI of 11, UGA DFEI of 24) and we were able to move the ball on Miami. UGA's defense isn't a world beater like they were last year (2017 DFEI of#4) which helped propel them into the national championship. GT has a better chance than a lot want to give us credit for.

IMO, the bigger matchup is our defense versus their offense. They have the #4 OFEI offense this year, which is statistically better than Clemson's (OFEI #17). We know how that ended with Clemson, but we are a better defense than we were. Our defense will need to play its best game of the season if we're gonna make it 3 in a row in Athens.
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Jake fromm is an out route specialist. Its darn near all he throws (not really, but he does it a ton). Its the one thing our D has SUCKED at this year. Partially because in 3 deep the two outside CBs have deep 1/3s and have to cover deep route. So often they are too loose, or looser on the under coverage. Its a bit by design, but the concept is that is a hard throw to make and you hope the pressure gets there faster...if we can time it and sit on some of this its an INT. I just think our DBs are too young and inexperienced and don't have the full confidence yet on how to read that. So we are stinking in the one area UGA is really good at. Oh and their running game is awesome. So for me, its what you call a bad matchup.
 
RamblinCharger

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I thought after VT that this team was on its way to becoming the physical team we had in 2014, but it hasn't happened. We've stuck with Marshall and run more misdirection that work for TQM. I imagine Tobias will get a chance, but he'll have to score to stay out there. I think we need to have that physical style and run a ton of clock to have a shot, because they have a fast defense, we won't have much success running counters etc, but we will see. I think we'll keep it close.
 
GTJake

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RamblinCharger said:
I thought after VT that this team was on its way to becoming the physical team we had in 2014, but it hasn't happened. We've stuck with Marshall and run more misdirection that work for TQM. I imagine Tobias will get a chance, but he'll have to score to stay out there. I think we need to have that physical style and run a ton of clock to have a shot, because they have a fast defense, we won't have much success running counters etc, but we will see. I think we'll keep it close.
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Totally agree with this, play physical, draw them in and then burn them with a couple long pass completions.
IMO, the pressure is all on UGAG ... I think we got a shot!
 
GT_05

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GTJake said:
Totally agree with this, play physical, draw them in and then burn them with a couple long pass completions.
IMO, the pressure is all on UGAG ... I think we got a shot!
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We need to play aggressive but not to the point of stupidity. I’m hoping that CPJ and CNW have a few “special” plays/schemes for this weekend that nobody has seen. UGA has everything to lose and nothing to gain this weekend so I doubt they are looking forward to this game.


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ramblinwreck1378

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RamblinCharger said:
I thought after VT that this team was on its way to becoming the physical team we had in 2014, but it hasn't happened. We've stuck with Marshall and run more misdirection that work for TQM. I imagine Tobias will get a chance, but he'll have to score to stay out there. I think we need to have that physical style and run a ton of clock to have a shot, because they have a fast defense, we won't have much success running counters etc, but we will see. I think we'll keep it close.
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I actually disagree here a little bit. If you go back and look at the game from 2016, we ran a lot of triple early on and had a lot of success attacking the edge, specifically using the pitch man. As the game wore on, this really opened up counters and shots down field. I think they're going to be too good to run right at - I don't see Tobias' "QB sweep" being as effective this week. If we're able to set the tone with some triple, I think that opens up a lot for us. The best person to do this in my opinion is TQM.

TQM is best when he's decisive and confident (like most anybody). I'd like to see Johnson give him some easy reads to start the game to get him in a rhythm, and then start to open things up - I'd script it very similar to how we started the Clemson game. CPJ tends to get too cute with counters and sometimes outthinks himself - I think if we stick to the base and throw in some wrinkles every so often we'll have a shot.
 
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