GT (+17) vs Georgia #GTvsUGA

GT_05

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Weird. Thanks for the correction. I guess I hadn’t been quite as good at following the spread as I thought.

I only looked because I didn’t think UGA covered against UMASS this weekend. Regardless, in addition to UGA being 6-5 ATS, GT is 5-6 ATS this season so I think the 17 point spread is nothing more than a guess. If I was a betting man, I’d take GT and the points.


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okiemon

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  • Virginia 26-21 over Virginia Tech
  • Miami 24-20 over Pitt
  • Duke 17-10 over Wake Forest
  • NC State 49-31 over North Carolina
  • Kentucky 42-10 over Loserville
  • Clemson 42-17 over South Carolina
  • Florida 38-21 over Florida State
  • Boston College 24-21 over Syracuse
  • Georgia Tech 30-28 over Georgia
MikeJackets, I always enjoy your posts, but I think you're drinking the Kool-Aid on this one. While I'd love for you to be right, I don't think positive thinking will influence the outcome. Just sayin'.
 

gtg936g

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Jake fromm is an out route specialist. Its darn near all he throws (not really, but he does it a ton). Its the one thing our D has SUCKED at this year. Partially because in 3 deep the two outside CBs have deep 1/3s and have to cover deep route. So often they are too loose, or looser on the under coverage. Its a bit by design, but the concept is that is a hard throw to make and you hope the pressure gets there faster...if we can time it and sit on some of this its an INT. I just think our DBs are too young and inexperienced and don't have the full confidence yet on how to read that. So we are stinking in the one area UGA is really good at. Oh and their running game is awesome. So for me, its what you call a bad matchup.


This is going to be an interesting test for Nate. Fromm proved last year that he can pick us apart if he has time, and the run game will keep you on your heels if you sit back. If I am Nate, I am selling out to stop the run and pressure the QB to see if we can steal a possession or two. I would bring pressure from the corner spots and see if we could disrupt Fromm early. This is high risk though as you are a missed tackle away from a touchdown.

One key thing to watch will be how they handle #90. If Adams can demand a double team, our LBs can key off the pulling guards to know whether or not UGA is going play action. If the center can handle Adams without a double team, it will be a long game.

What would be your strategy 33jacket? Edge pressure is really the only way I know of to keep the run support fits and hurry the QB unless our DL can get penetration, which is a big ask.
 

Deleted member 2897

Guest
Over the last 6 years, I think georgia is +38 in 1 category, we're +45 in another, and we're +2 in a third.

The first is number of players arrested (they have about 40).
The second is the percentage of football players that graduated (86% to 41%).
The third is number of wins at their place in COFH (2).

THWg
 

Sparkybob

Georgia Tech Fan
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67
I think we need two things.
1) Be at least +2 in turnover margins
2) Have at least 2 plays on offense that go for 55+ yards (optimistically TD plays)

The first one is self-explanatory. The second point is I don't trust this offense to grind out TD drives on UGA's defense without making a mistake that kills a drive. I am worried that we will get 2-3 first downs and then whiff on a block on a play and end up having 2nd and forever which leads to a punt. Georgia's defense is athletically enough to have a drive ruining TFL.
 

4shotB

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This is the hard part given the differential in athleticism. It can happen. Atomic has us with a 10.8% chance to win. If we win, it will be glorious like it was two years ago. But I have no illusions; baseball is coming.

10.8% is enough to get me more than interested. I love playing them there instead of BDS. I wonder what Atomic said our chances were in '16 and '14? I'm not saying it's probable. but I don't believe it is unthinkable either. Go Jackets...let's get 3IAR (in eve years o course).
 

4shotB

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I think we need two things.
1) Be at least +2 in turnover margins
2) Have at least 2 plays on offense that go for 55+ yards (optimistically TD plays)

Agree with you. I will take the 3-4 passing and 1td like we had against UM. We need to hit some throws Sat.
 

gtg936g

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I am more optimistic than last year. I actually think the hard nosed game we played last week helps get us ready. They are good, but I don’t think they have beaten anyone that we could not have beat with the way we are currently playing.
 

GTNavyNuke

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Williamsburg Virginia
I think we need two things.
1) Be at least +2 in turnover margins
2) Have at least 2 plays on offense that go for 55+ yards (optimistically TD plays)

The first one is self-explanatory. The second point is I don't trust this offense to grind out TD drives on UGA's defense without making a mistake that kills a drive. I am worried that we will get 2-3 first downs and then whiff on a block on a play and end up having 2nd and forever which leads to a punt. Georgia's defense is athletically enough to have a drive ruining TFL.

+2 turnovers, a safety, two 2 point conversions and a punt return for a TD were just enough to take UVa to overtime. That's because Bronco is a great coach and understood that he had to win the time of possession; which they did as well as yards per play. Fortunately our ST bailed out the O this last game.

We need divine intervention (again) against UGAg.

We need long death marches that end in TDs and UGAg turnovers. If we don't have a single play over 15 yards but score TDs (like at VT), we have a chance. We don't want to score quick at all. The best D is having the ball.
 

AlabamaBuzz

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Now down to 16 on most boards - saw it at 14.5 on one. Late better going to GT to cover. I would NOT be betting on that. I do believe we can score some points, but just can't see our D stopping them even once, without them stopping themselves.
 
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