Game 7 #GTvsUVA Predictions

[takethepoints]

31-17

UVA is too one dimensional to get the love they getting. Passing numbers are inflated due to passing 50x just like our rushing numbers in the TO

Big day on the ground for Gibbs

Hmmmm. And both the TO and passing a lot can win consistently. Oth …

 

[Ibeeballin]

Hmmmm. And both the TO and passing a lot can win consistently. Oth …

A lot of things “can” happen. That doesn’t make the exception the rule

 

[tmhunter52]

Game starts at 7:30? I’m afraid a lot of us will be channel-surfing before 8:00…

 

[Jmonty71]

I really don't feel good about this game. I think we get our bell rung. UVA 48 GT 24. I really hope I am wrong... But, not feeling very confident about a W. UVA passes better than Pitt and Pitt destroyed us...

 

[Heisman's Ghost]

A lot of things “can” happen. That doesn’t make the exception the rule

Not that it really matters in the final analysis but college football news in their weekly ACC picks predicted UVA to win and cover...just barely with a predicted score of 33-24. The silver lining is that this is the kind of game score that gives us a chance to steal it in the fourth quarter much like we did against Duke. But as you posted "A lot of things "can" happen" and with the Yellow Jackets it usually does for good or for bad. I am predicting Tech to win in the fourth quarter in a mild upset breaking the current W - L - W pattern. IIWII.

 

[Heisman's Ghost]

If I knew for sure, how many turnovers we would get and give away and if I knew for sure that we would sack Armstrong a half a dozen times I would feel confident about Tech getting a mild upset. If Coach Thacker sits back in a soft zone and drops 8, Armstrong will eat us alive. UVA to win but not cover. I can also see Tech winning in a mild upset or UVA blowing us right off the field. We will see. An interesting matchup all the way around.

Changed my mind. I am predicting now, until I change it again after the fact, for the Jackets to win in a mild upset pulling it out in the fourth quarter. My reasoning is that UVA is SO one dimensional that it will enable Coach Thacker to bring enough heat to get to Armstrong. This is my story and I am sticking to it...unless Armstrong has all day and passes until his arm falls off in which case I reserve the right to disclaim any financial losses incurred by gamblers on this forum who would be foolish enough to bet money on what I post. IIWII

 

[Buzzbomb]

Looks like right now, we have predicted only a 13.2% chance of a GT win.
Forecasting a close loss, maybe I’ve succumbed to our lack of consistency.

 

[bobongo]

Changed my mind. I am predicting now, until I change it again after the fact, for the Jackets to win in a mild upset pulling it out in the fourth quarter. My reasoning is that UVA is SO one dimensional that it will enable Coach Thacker to bring enough heat to get to Armstrong. This is my story and I am sticking to it...unless Armstrong has all day and passes until his arm falls off in which case I reserve the right to disclaim any financial losses incurred by gamblers on this forum who would be foolish enough to bet money on what I post. IIWII

In order to win we have got to bring the heat, Tenuta style.

 

[Ibeeballin]

I really don't feel good about this game. I think we get our bell rung. UVA 48 GT 24. I really hope I am wrong... But, not feeling very confident about a W. UVA passes better than Pitt and Pitt destroyed us...

Where do you get your info from? UVA passes more but not even close to better

Player	G	Cmp	Att	Pct	Yds	Y/A	AY/A	TD	Int	Rate
1	Kenny Pickett	6	143	205	69.8	1934	9.4	11.3	21	1	181.8

1	Brennan Armstrong	7	210	329	63.8	2824	8.6	8.9	19	6	151.3

 

[g0lftime]

They will test up deep unless there is pressure which we haven't shown to be very good at under or current DC. Their strength is against our weakness. Our corners and safeties will be tested. We have to score a lot of points to have any chance at all.

 

[AugustaSwarm]

They will test up deep unless there is pressure which we haven't shown to be very good at under or current DC. Their strength is against our weakness. Our corners and safeties will be tested. We have to score a lot of points to have any chance at all.

Agreed - IMO, this is a big opportunity game for our defense. If we harass the QB like we did vs UNC, we could come away with the upset road win. If not, it'll be a Pitt style blowout.

I don't know that UVA has the defense to really stop us - and I honestly feel that we will able to make our destiny on offense. We'll be more likely to stop ourselves with miscues and mistakes. As it always is, it'll be crucial to limit turnovers and penalties - otherwise we will get blown out.

 

[Ibeeballin]

They will test up deep unless there is pressure which we haven't shown to be very good at under or current DC. Their strength is against our weakness. Our corners and safeties will be tested. We have to score a lot of points to have any chance at all.

Honestly, we would rather them go over top rather than to dink and dunk

 

[Sheboygan]

Honestly, we would rather them go over top rather than to dink and dunk

IMO, they will do both, unfortunately. Dink and dunk sets up over the top very nicely. Safeties who tend to "overplay " their position , get burned frequently.

 

[g0lftime]

Mendenhall has liked to throw deep sideline routes in the past. If they get single coverage they will air it out unless we can get pressure. Their QB does pretty good at scrambling left and finding his receivers if flushed. I hope Sims and Gibbs have big days. Will need to for us to have any chance.

 

[first&ten]

I predict Tech to win < 7. If we lose by 14 or 21 Tech will be lucky to win 2 more games this season.

 

[CuseJacket]

 

[slugboy]

Is that shish kebab a UVA pick?

 

[CuseJacket]

I sincerely like the overwhelming doom and gloom. Hear me out...

I look at Vegas spreads like the stock market. Lines are in some ways influenced by perception of each team. As it stands right now, it would be fair to conclude that perception of UVA is the highest its been all year. For us, possibly the lowest, save for post-NIU.

So what? In the stock market, you're looking for the edge to know when to buy low (and sell high). If the spread is the widest it could be based on the perception of both teams, then it's an opportunity to pounce i.e., we will be more competitive than people think, if not outright win.

The caveat is if both teams are truly on meaningful trajectory that warrants the perception (for example, significant players back, new scheme, etc.). But I don't think that's the case tomorrow. If anything, our bye should give us the small edge there. Reality is both teams are average football teams at best right now, and there is no meaningful separation. Let's see if the sharps agree with the late action tomorrow.

 

[Kennethshannon20]

I predict Tech to win < 7. If we lose by 14 or 21 Tech will be lucky to win 2 more games this season.

If we lose by 21 we will not win 2 more. We would be lucky to win 1 more. However, I have us winning this one.

 

[bobongo]

I sincerely like the overwhelming doom and gloom. Hear me out...

I look at Vegas spreads like the stock market. Lines are in some ways influenced by perception of each team. As it stands right now, it would be fair to conclude that perception of UVA is the highest its been all year. For us, possibly the lowest, save for post-NIU.

So what? In the stock market, you're looking for the edge to know when to buy low (and sell high). If the spread is the widest it could be based on the perception of both teams, then it's an opportunity to pounce i.e., we will be more competitive than people think, if not outright win.

The caveat is if both teams are truly on meaningful trajectory that warrants the perception (for example, significant players back, new scheme, etc.). But I don't think that's the case tomorrow. If anything, our bye should give us the small edge there. Reality is both teams are average football teams at best right now, and there is no meaningful separation. Let's see if the sharps agree with the late action tomorrow.

Put down $100 and get $300 back on the money line. Seems like good odds to me. So does the +7 spread.
I'm with you - I think it will be a close one. We should be relatively healthy and champing at the bit.