Game 1 #FSUvsGT Predictions

[AUFC]

Some quick math because we are a nerd school - sportsbooks are putting us around a 20% chance to win this game. Before crunching the numbers, I was gonna suggest we probably win this game 2 times out of 10. 37% of users on r/cfb are giving us the nod which may to some degree suggest that the country is taking notice that CBK is building something special.

 

[TechPhi97]

Some quick math because we are a nerd school - sportsbooks are putting us around a 20% chance to win this game. Before crunching the numbers, I was gonna suggest we probably win this game 2 times out of 10. 37% of users on r/cfb are giving us the nod which may to some degree suggest that the country is taking notice that CBK is building something special.

Or they all hate FSU as much as we do.

 

[roadkill]

I was looking for game previews, and they’re all gambling previews—not much on who to watch or why.

FSU
Is D.J. Uiagaleilei the underachiever from Clemson, or the Oregon State guy who put up numbers? My guess is something in between.
Running Back: Trey Benson was the guy last year. The main replacements are seniors who didn’t beat out Benson.
OL: it’s stout. This is one of our two biggest matchup challenges
TE and WR: they lost talent here, too. Their TE’s aren’t amazing, but are they a matchup issue for us?

DL: they reloaded. Patrick Payton and Marvin Jones Jr are tough, and they have great DTs. Our OL will have their hands full.
LB: DJ Lundy is apparently the guy—third in tackles for them last year. Lots of turnover here
DBs: they’re really good. They were one of the best pass defenses in the country last season. Some turnover, but they brought in good replacements

The critical piece is how does our front six perform against their OL and TEs? Santucci, Pope, and Simpson will need to coach their tails off in this game.

I pulled up last year’s Duke v FSU game to get a taste of what this year’s game could be. Jordan Travis took over that game


I don’t think DJU is Jordan Travis, who would have been a Heisman leader if he hadn’t broken his leg. I also think our offense is better than Duke’s was last season.

I’m gonna say GT 31-FSU 24.

That barely puts my pick into the 7-13 range

Just watched those Duke v. FSU highlights. It didn't show how early on, Duke was shutting down FSU's offense. The final score was deceiving. Duke had the lead and wins that game if not for a couple of critical mistakes - allowing a kickoff return for a touchdown followed immediately by throwing a pick; then FSU knocking Riley Leonard out of the game in Q3. After that, FSU shut down Duke's offense and Duke's defense was completely gassed by the fourth.

So many possible ways our game could go. If our Haynes (both of them) have good games, move the ball, and limit turnovers, I like our chances. But if I'm FSU I'm not only handing the ball to my running back but also doing a lot of read-option runs with my 250# QB. I think we win in a squeaker but I'm not predicting the final score.

 

[Thwg777]

34–17 GT has a nice ring to it. We’re ‘Dublin’ their score.

 

[slugboy]

Just watched those Duke v. FSU highlights. It didn't show how early on, Duke was shutting down FSU's offense. The final score was deceiving. Duke had the lead and wins that game if not for a couple of critical mistakes - allowing a kickoff return for a touchdown followed immediately by throwing a pick; then FSU knocking Riley Leonard out of the game in Q3. After that, FSU shut down Duke's offense and Duke's defense was completely gassed by the fourth.

So many possible ways our game could go. If our Haynes (both of them) have good games, move the ball, and limit turnovers, I like our chances. But if I'm FSU I'm not only handing the ball to my running back but also doing a lot of read-option runs with my 250# QB. I think we win in a squeaker but I'm not predicting the final score.

I think that’s a game strategy for them

1. Knock King out of the game
2. Get a big play on special teams (their special teams are good)
3. Win the turnover battle
4. Wear us out in the second half

We can’t have a quarter with no offense. We need to have a high floor on offense and a high ceiling, too. We need to be fresh in the fourth quarter.

 

[Silk3]

Tech in a blowout

 

[Northeast Stinger]

I think that’s a game strategy for them

1. Knock King out of the game
2. Get a big play on special teams (their special teams are good)
3. Win the turnover battle
4. Wear us out in the second half

We can’t have a quarter with no offense. We need to have a high floor on offense and a high ceiling, too. We need to be fresh in the fourth quarter.

You’ve gone and said it out loud.

I think I have to go bury a dead cat under a full moon or grind up some eye of newt now.

 

[TampaBuzz]

I think that’s a game strategy for them

1. Knock King out of the game
2. Get a big play on special teams (their special teams are good)
3. Win the turnover battle
4. Wear us out in the second half

We can’t have a quarter with no offense. We need to have a high floor on offense and a high ceiling, too. We need to be fresh in the fourth quarter.

That has the FSU plan since the Joe Hamilton days...

 

[WraleighWreck]

FSU just had 10 guys drafted. Ten! Last time that happened was 2015 during their last good run. Included in the draftees was Travis who was the difference making type dual threat qb that gets teams to lots of wins. I don’t think ukelele is that kind of player. If you look at their scores from last year, they blew out a few average teams(Syracuse, VT) but only beat early season Clemson by 7, beat Miami by 7 and UF by 9. And struggled past UL with their backup qb in the CG. Something to be said for running the table, but their only real signature win was first game against LSU. Replay that game later in the season and LSU wins. Their recruiting over the past 5 years has been ok(average ranking in low 20s), good not great like it was back in the teens, so I don’t really think their recruited talent is stepping in the fill those voids. So, I really think the team from last year was not as good as they have been made out to be, most of the top level talent from that team is gone so they are relying on their supposed transfer reload to keep things going. Their transfers look good on paper but they are like mostly guys that weren’t getting run at their former schools. So, I just don’t see a decided roster advantage. They are breaking in way more new guys then tech is and it’s the first game of the season, which we see from their beatdown of lsu last year can go any which way. All that being said, i can’t make a prediction for fear of a hex….but i like our odds.

 

[awbuzz]

Hopefully for a BIG GT win in a blow out.
Voted GT < 7

FSU 17
GT 20

 

[roadkill]

I think that’s a game strategy for them

1. Knock King out of the game
2. Get a big play on special teams (their special teams are good)
3. Win the turnover battle
4. Wear us out in the second half

We can’t have a quarter with no offense. We need to have a high floor on offense and a high ceiling, too. We need to be fresh in the fourth quarter.

Please delete this post within the hour.

 

[ThatGuy]

Wouldn’t be surprised if they blew us out, we blew them out, or anything in between. This game is tailor made for having no idea what to expect.

- 13 win team that looked shaky at the end of the season, lost a ton of production, and backfilled with one-year rentals.

- 7 win team that looked really good at the end of the season, returned a lot of production, have established chemistry.

- Week 0 game.

- International game.

- GT defense was terrible but has decent talent and a new DC.

- FSU offense was great but QB and WRs are now major question marks and their OC is suspended.

I think both teams will want to focus on the run. So shorter, lower scoring game. I’ll go 27-17 GT. Because why not.

Don't forget the one other bullet:

- It's an FSU-GT game.

Remembering the recent history in those games...well, anything can happen.

 

[bigrabbit]

I picked us losing a close game, we do better when I think that way so hope it helps.

 

[slugboy]

You’ve gone and said it out loud.

I think I have to go bury a dead cat under a full moon or grind up some eye of newt now.

I don’t think it’s a secret. Geep Wade has a big job this week.

That has the FSU plan since the Joe Hamilton days...

Since at least the early 1990’s.

 

[Northeast Stinger]

I don’t think it’s a secret. Geep Wade has a big job this week.



Since at least the early 1990’s.

It’s not keeping it a secret that’s the issue, it’s speaking it into existence.

 

[Richland County]

Pain, a$$ beating, a$$ kicking, beat down, good guys come home 1-0 and 1-0 in conf. THWFG Bust Their A$$

 

[Richland County]

I don’t think it’s a secret. Geep Wade has a big job this week.



Since at least the early 1990’s.

He has had a big job since day one. That line was embarrassing before his arrival.

 

[UgaBlows]

F$U 69 - GT 3

 

[Tech Lawyer]

FSU just had 10 guys drafted. Ten! Last time that happened was 2015 during their last good run. Included in the draftees was Travis who was the difference making type dual threat qb that gets teams to lots of wins. I don’t think ukelele is that kind of player. If you look at their scores from last year, they blew out a few average teams(Syracuse, VT) but only beat early season Clemson by 7, beat Miami by 7 and UF by 9. And struggled past UL with their backup qb in the CG. Something to be said for running the table, but their only real signature win was first game against LSU. Replay that game later in the season and LSU wins. Their recruiting over the past 5 years has been ok(average ranking in low 20s), good not great like it was back in the teens, so I don’t really think their recruited talent is stepping in the fill those voids. So, I really think the team from last year was not as good as they have been made out to be, most of the top level talent from that team is gone so they are relying on their supposed transfer reload to keep things going. Their transfers look good on paper but they are like mostly guys that weren’t getting run at their former schools. So, I just don’t see a decided roster advantage. They are breaking in way more new guys then tech is and it’s the first game of the season, which we see from their beatdown of lsu last year can go any which way. All that being said, i can’t make a prediction for fear of a hex….but i like our odds.

I like your analysis. The big surprise coming is that we have a salty DL that has salty depth. All those veteran FSU OL have been held out in much of their scrimmages , but 3 of the 5 were listed "questionable" on their injury report. One of the media guys on Wake UP Warchant rated FSU's 2023 OL a 5.5 (out of 10). The center and both tackles return. The two transfer guards weren't elite players either according to this analyst. We WILL WIN OUR DEFENSIVE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE. Jackets 30 Seminoles 13.

 

[MountainBuzzMan]

GT 38 FSU 21


We keep it close in the first half and get a TD lead in the third. they have a turnover and we get a FG going into the 4th to stretch it. then their QB starts trying to make plays and we start picking him off a lot and separate. We win by 18-20 points.