I think Matt Rhule is a fantastic coach but let's not forget that the Baylor team he took over had gone 7-6 with Jim Grobe (formerly HC at Wake Forest) as the head coach and Rhule coached THAT team to a 1 win season. I'm not at all discounting that they were still reeling from the Briles issues. There were some mitigating factors such as a bit of turmoil at the QB spot when Anu Solomon, who had come in as a grad transfer having played a lot at Arizona, got a concussion two games into the season that ended his career. Zach Smith, a redshirt sophomore, and Charlie Brewer, a true frosh, split the rest of the season with Brewer winning the job for the following year. Though it can definitely be said that Rhule's QB situation was not bad going into his first season as the aforementioned Zach Smith had thrown almost 200 passes the previous year, completing just under 60% of them for about 1500 yards with 13 TDs and only 7 INTs. They did bring back a 1000+ yard rusher from the year before Rhule took over but he also had to replace a lot of production at the receiving spots. So you can forgive a bit of a drop-off. But going from 7-6 more than a year removed from Briles's firing to just 1 win? That's a pretty big drop. Yet I still say Matt Rhule is an excellent coach and I can understand that type of drop-off and don't hold that against him because while I disagree that Baylor was in chaos they were clearly not stable.
Collins took over from Rhule and immediately had to replace every bit of QB experience they had. The two guys left on the roster who had any experience had a grand total of 11 pass attempts between them and they had to replace a 4 year starter. He did return a really good RB in Ryquell Armstead (who had a bit over 900 yards rushing the prior year) but he was not 100% most of the year and they also lost a 1000 yard back in Jahad Thomas. A good amount of their receiving production did return so that was a positive for the QBs but neither of those guys really distinguished themselves and would lose out to r-soph Anthony Russo the following season. Despite having the replace a four year starter at QB, an almost 1000 yard rusher, have a second terrific RB be injured (but still play) most of the year, and still go 7-6 isn't terrible. They went from 10 wins to 7 wins. Baylor went from 7 wins to 1 win (remember, Rhule did NOT take over for Briles and Baylor went bowling in Grobe's only year as HC). Rhule then turned it around at a P5 program going back to 7-6. Collins went 8-4 his second year at a non-P5 program.
My read on all of that, which is all factual information, not opinion (other than saying I think Matt Rhule is a terrific coach and that the QB situation he inherited was better than the one Collins inherited... though it'll be hard to convince me I'm wrong about that) is that Collins's first Temple team could have done much worse given what they had to replace on offense but they maintained a winning record and when they finally landed on the right QB the following year things started to pick back up. The one question I have about his first year, and I need to ask my cousin who recently graduated from Temple and who is a huge sports fan, is why they didn't try out Russo his r-frosh year since the other two guys really didn't light it up at all. But my point is that I think Collins did a terrific job going 15-10 in his first two years at Temple given what they had to replace and Rhule had a lot to overcome in his first year and didn't overcome it that well but the second year did a much better job and, I suspect, will have Baylor back in the 10 win area perhaps even this year.
How does this all relate to GT? I THINK we have a better QB situation this year than Collins had in his first year at Temple in that I believe our guys are potentially more talented than what he had. Hopefully that and the fact that I do think we have some good football talent on this team will translate into some very good play on the field and more than 5 wins. But I'm also prepared for some transition time just like I was prepared when we had other coaching changes. I'm a pretty patient guy as long as I see positive things that make me feel there's reason to believe improvement is coming.