CFP Discussion

[Southern psu fan]

Louisville and OSU would be less chaos than FSU and Texas.

I don’t believe Iowa, Louisville or Oklahoma St gets in if they win. I’m pulling for all the underdogs. I believe the teams I want in are underdogs anyway except Oregon. Can you imagine 3 conference champs getting left out? I want 3 conference champs to get left out to show what kind of scam we got going on with the CFP committee.

 

[CEB]

Let’s go Tide, Louisville, Oklahoma St, Oregon and Iowa…total chaos baby

I actually believe that results in Oregon, Bama, UGA and Washington… can’t say I’d be thrilled with that.

 

[jeffgt14]

Again, this is the only sports forum on the entire planet that believes UGA is out with a loss.

 

[JacketOff]

Again, this is the only sports forum on the entire planet that believes UGA is out with a loss.

They are lol. But they have to lose first.

 

[BleedGoldNWhite21]

Again, this is the only sports forum on the entire planet that believes UGA is out with a loss.

Dude, look at Vegas. The odds on betting UGA to make the playoffs are basically identical to betting on them to beat Alabama which means the consensus belief is they need to win to get in. Unless the folks at Vegas frequent this board, I’d say you are mistaken.

 

[Northeast Stinger]

Easiest chaos scenario:

Texas wins
Alabama wins
Washington wins
FSU wins
Michigan wins

That puts Washington, FSU and Michigan in the playoffs and committee has to decide between Ohio State, Texas, Alabama and Georgia.

Logic would say Alabama because they are a conference champ and they beat the number one team. But Texas and Ohio State can also make credible arguments. Ohio State had the best loss and Texas “won” the SEC.

 

[Backstreetbuzz]

Washington will get destroyed in the playoffs.

 

[jeffgt14]

Dude, look at Vegas. The odds on betting UGA to make the playoffs are basically identical to betting on them to beat Alabama which means the consensus belief is they need to win to get in. Unless the folks at Vegas frequent this board, I’d say you are mistaken.

-215 to beat Bama and -500 to make playoffs are not identical

 

[FredJacket]

Again, this is the only sports forum on the entire planet that believes UGA is out with a loss.

I don't think anyone thinks UGA is out with a loss as a binary. Other games' outcomes must fall a certain way.

And all acknowledge the committee would have to agree that UGA falls behind these teams (a pretty specific scenario):
Wash 13-0
Mich 13-0
FSU 13-0
Alabama &/or Texas 12-1

UGA can certainly lose a get in... but there is a legitimate path for them to be out of [committee's] top 4.

 

[yeti92]

Shows how much I'm paying attention, apparently the PAC 12 championship was last night - makes more sense why the tickets were so cheap. Washington won again, so they have locked in a spot in the CFP.

 

[slugboy]

P

I don't think anyone thinks UGA is out with a loss as a binary. Other games' outcomes must fall a certain way.

And all acknowledge the committee would have to agree that UGA falls behind these teams (a pretty specific scenario):
Wash 13-0
Mich 13-0
FSU 13-0
Alabama &/or Texas 12-1

UGA can certainly lose a get in... but there is a legitimate path for them to be out of [committee's] top 4.

Saban and Sankey have both made comments in the last day that the SEC champion should be in the championship regardless of who wins their Championship game.
If they thought the SEC bid was safe, why would they feel like making a statement? The SEC commissioner thinks there’s a risk they get left out—that’s why he’s campaigning.

Texas over Alabama in CFP? SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey quotes 'Dumb and Dumber'

The College Football Playoff has never excluded the SEC, and SEC commissioner Greg Sankey doesn't believe it will happen in 2023, Texas be damned.

www.statesman.com

(If UGA wins, they’re in. Otherwise, they’re hoping for a loss by someone).

 

[Oldgoldandwhite]

Shows how much I'm paying attention, apparently the PAC 12 championship was last night - makes more sense why the tickets were so cheap. Washington won again, so they have locked in a spot in the CFP.

I thought it was today also.

 

[bobongo]

P


Saban and Sankey have both made comments in the last day that the SEC champion should be in the championship regardless of who wins their Championship game.
If they thought the SEC bid was safe, why would they feel like making a statement? The SEC commissioner thinks there’s a risk they get left out—that’s why he’s campaigning.

Texas over Alabama in CFP? SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey quotes 'Dumb and Dumber'

The College Football Playoff has never excluded the SEC, and SEC commissioner Greg Sankey doesn't believe it will happen in 2023, Texas be damned.

www.statesman.com

(If UGA wins, they’re in. Otherwise, they’re hoping for a loss by someone).

Inconceivable that the SEC be left out? It's also inconceivable that P-5 undefeated conference champion be left out.

If Michigan, FSU, Texas, and Alabama win today, there will be no room for a one-loss SEC champ because one-loss Texas will have beaten Alabama, and one-loss Alabama will have beaten one-loss Georgia. There's no way Georgia gets in ahead of Alabama and no way Alabama gets in ahead of Texas. And an undefeated FSU (or Michigan or Washington) won't be left out of the mix.

On top of all that, this is a rare year where the ACC outperformed the SEC overall, with a 6-4 record. In the above scenario, there would be absolutely no logical argument to support putting Alabama or Georgia in the CFP ahead of FSU, based on the stated criteria of the committee.

If Georgia wins, they're in for sure, obviously.

 

[Oldgoldandwhite]

Pulling for Bama, FSU, and Michigan to win. That means they will all lose.

 

[Papa Foxtrot]

In the above scenario, there would be absolutely no logical argument to support putting Alabama or Georgia in the CFP ahead of FSU, based on the stated criteria of the committee

Then the committee won't use logic. I would love to see your scenario come to pass, but I(if I were a betting man) would bet the house on an $EC team(or two) being in the playoff still. It's a farce driven by TV ratings and E$PN.

 

[leatherneckjacket]

Then the committee won't use logic. I would love to see your scenario come to pass, but I(if I were a betting man) would bet the house on an $EC team(or two) being in the playoff still. It's a farce driven by TV ratings and E$PN.

I would also bet on a one loss SEC champion over an undefeated FSU.

 

[stinger78]

I would also bet on a one loss SEC champion over an undefeated FSU.

I hope not, but I suspect so.

 

[bobongo]

Then the committee won't use logic. I would love to see your scenario come to pass, but I(if I were a betting man) would bet the house on an $EC team(or two) being in the playoff still. It's a farce driven by TV ratings and E$PN.

Will Alabama or Georgia (or both) drive ratings yet again? I would think some refreshing (relatively) new teams in the playoffs would drive ratings better than the same old same old.

 

[leatherneckjacket]

Will Alabama or Georgia drive ratings yet again? I would think some refreshing (relatively) new teams in the playoffs would drive ratings better than the same old same old.

You would be wrong.

 

[jeffgt14]

I still fully believe FSU is on the outside looking in. They'd be in easily with Jordan Travis but I think the committee is going to (wrongfully) take that into account.