2019 ACC Baseball Tourney

Squints

Helluva Engineer
Messages
1,254
I just worry about the lack of pitching depth.

The great performances by Gibson and Hughes were huge and that will help alit, but besides them, Carpenter and English.....not sure we have anyone

And in spite of @RoosterJacket ’s claims to the contrary, I still think pitching usually beats hitting in the post-season.

That was me. And what you said in that post is that "pitching ALWAYS trumps hitting" in the post season. If that was true you'd think the Braves would have won more than 1 title with Glavine, Smoltz, and Maddux. Yes I realize you probably exaggerating for effect. What I was trying to say was that the whole "good pitching vs good hitting in the postseason" thing is overstated. People have run the numbers and it doesn't hold up as well you'd think based on how often it is waved around every year.

https://tht.fangraphs.com/does-good-pitching-beat-good-hitting-in-october/

The following seems warranted:

First, great pitchers will be all right no matter what caliber of offense they face;
Second, good pitchers will still do well, but against an amazing offense they will have their difficulties;
Third, don’t throw mediocre pitchers up there against good offenses—just don’t;
Fourth, while the phrase “good pitching beats good hitting” is largely true, it does not hold so strongly true that you should bet your bottom dollar on the team with the best pitching. Good pitching has nice chances against good hitting, but not so good that the game’s outcome is anywhere close to inevitable just because an ace is on the mound.

The phrase is useful, but not controlling or predictive of a short series; it’s more a silver nugget of baseball truth than it is a gold one. Good pitching beats good hitting … except when it doesn’t.

https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2017/...ew-york-yankees-good-hitting-vs-good-pitching

Technically, then, the adage is true: On the game level—or in this case, the best-of-seven series level—great pitching does have a leg (or arm) up on great hitting, all else being equal. But although there is some signal amid all the “great pitching beats great hitting” (and “pitching wins championships”) noise, the dictum’s predictive power lags far behind the assurance with which some state it (as Indians fans found out). For one thing, all else usually isn’t equal;

All that being said I do think our current pitching depth will be our biggest hurdle to overcome.
 

MWBATL

Helluva Engineer
Messages
6,530
That was me. And what you said in that post is that "pitching ALWAYS trumps hitting" in the post season. If that was true you'd think the Braves would have won more than 1 title with Glavine, Smoltz, and Maddux. Yes I realize you probably exaggerating for effect. What I was trying to say was that the whole "good pitching vs good hitting in the postseason" thing is overstated. People have run the numbers and it doesn't hold up as well you'd think based on how often it is waved around every year.

https://tht.fangraphs.com/does-good-pitching-beat-good-hitting-in-october/



https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2017/...ew-york-yankees-good-hitting-vs-good-pitching



All that being said I do think our current pitching depth will be our biggest hurdle to overcome.
good stuff, and I agree with the more generalized statement. Baseball is baseball, and it seems 'better teams' (statistically speaking) win in baseball less often than in any other sport.
 
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