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  1. If you are asking WHY

    Just re-posting above to make sure I'm following the conservation correctly. Based on OP's (@year_of_the_swarm) points, particularly #1 under "Recruiting - Current", it would not be OK from a W/L perspective if CGC can't pull in good recruits, but would be expected based off the subsequent...
  2. If you are asking WHY

    I gathered from past discussion that recruiting services 1) heavily rely on who the football factories are looking at to reduce their workload, and 2) rate recruits from the perspective of how well they would perform in the conventional position. If true, then those recruiting ratings would seem...
  3. A Message our Players (Reposted from the other site.)

    ... they don't look anywhere close to the same. Roughly, one plot shows a horizontal line and the other is a step function centered at halftime. My point from the beginning was to address your question about what the difference between this year's Duke game and previous years. If I were to...
  4. A Message our Players (Reposted from the other site.)

    I would upload a screenshot, but I don't think attachments are supported here. From a desktop browser, on the left column below the "Game Leaders" box, there's a box titled "Win Probability". Those are the plots I've been talking about since my first post in this thread.
  5. A Message our Players (Reposted from the other site.)

    You're pulling my leg, right? Just in case again, 2019: https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401112480 2017: https://www.espn.com/college-football/game?gameId=400937522
  6. A Message our Players (Reposted from the other site.)

    Are we looking at the same plots for 2019 & 2017? In 2019 the win % was in Duke's favor the entire game, although that's strange since GT was the first to score a TD. In 2017, GT had the higher win probability for the entire 1st half and then it tanked pretty drastically starting the 2nd half...
  7. A Message our Players (Reposted from the other site.)

    During recent years, ESPN game summaries have a win probability graph throughout the duration of the game. It conveys a general sense of how this year's Duke game was different from the previous. 2019: https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401112480 2018...
  8. If you are asking WHY

    If true, good for the GT students. Maybe played some part in nearly doubling the graduation rate.
  9. Apples and Oranges

    Saw the thread title Clicked expecting some comedic irony Didn't disappoint
  10. Willie Fritz and the spread option

    Are you saying the statement that "GT is harder to keep athletes on track for a degree" is false? I would think it's pretty obvious, unless you're nitpicking details; e.g. it may be harder for Cal Tech to keep its Div 3 basketball athletes on track for a degree.
  11. Willie Fritz and the spread option

    I'm reading that the big boys means the football factories. So you're hoping that the football factories do a half job at what they've prioritize, while you expect GT whose priority is academics (funny that for a university) to beat them at their game?
  12. Georgia Tech @ Duke (-17.5)

    Skimming the year-by-year conference ranking via [1], I would say GT=VT>Duke. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Atlantic_Coast_Conference_football_standings
  13. Disappointment

    There's only so much time and energy available and not much overlap between the two efforts.
  14. Production from last year

    I use absolute value because that's the only thing that matters for the purpose of discovering patterns, i.e. a correlation coefficient of -x gives the same meaning for our purpose as +x. I personally wouldn't say ~60% correlation is pretty good; I'd evaluate it as inconclusive (i.e. not very...
  15. Production from last year

    Am I misreading something, or is that link (which I have seen referenced elsewhere on this board, so not just picking on you) claiming correlation coefficients with values such as 0.324, 0.234, 0.168, 0.153, 0.404, 0.377, 0.325, 0.324, 0.299, 0.269, 0.250, 0.250, and 0.228 mean anything? Because...
  16. Production from last year

    I did a quick correlation coefficient calculation of win percent vs ofei based on your first plot and only got a value of 0.6141, which doesn't strike me as particularly strong; absolute correlation coefficient ranges from 0 (weakest) to 1 (strongest). However, I didn't have your exact OFEI...
  17. Production from last year

    Based on the year to year ranking of production via the sports-reference link, it looks to me that there was a regular change-up of player names amongst the higher contributors from season to season in the offense and defense; at least there doesn't seem to be a glaring model to be drawn of...
  18. Is college football near the end as we know it.

    In the interest of making the lines clearer, can we also create a separate major dedicated to that sport of interest? Actually, how about we just separate the sports league from college and form a minor league? College sports can return to being intramurals. Then, we wait another several decades...
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