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  1. Coronavirus Thread

    The Office for National Statistics in England says that as of April 17th deaths in England and Wales due to COVID19 is undercounted by at least 54%. Official number on the date was over 14K, actual number was over 22K. Two recent polls suggest that support for stay at home measures is still...
  2. The ACC will delay the start of competition for all fall sports until at least Sept. 1

    This new Reuters/IPSOS poll has interesting numbers concerning people showing up at sporting events, concerts, movies, etc. (Note that the sporting questions were linked to professional sports so you have to decide how much they would apply to college sports)...
  3. Coaching Carousel 5 - You have to look through the rain to see the rainbow

    FWIW, the reported final 6 for Wake is Matta, Forbes, Miller, Kelsey, Amaker and Odom
  4. Merits of G-League vs. College Basketball

    5* PG Daishen Nix is spurning UCLA to go to the G-League https://basketballrecruiting.rivals.com/news/g-league-strikes-again-with-five-star-daishen-nix
  5. Coaching Carousel 5 - You have to look through the rain to see the rainbow

    Wake fans are going through the ups and downs of rumors right now. Beilein and Smart are out. Rumor is Miller is out. Another rumor that surfaced this morning (from one of the board insiders) is that Amaker is on campus today. That has their coach search thread at about defcon 4. Conflicting...
  6. Coaching Carousel 5 - You have to look through the rain to see the rainbow

    Eric's Bossi on thoughts on the timing of the Wake decision and how it could affect their coaching search is part of this article. https://basketballrecruiting.rivals.com/news/starting-five-n-c-state-off-to-hot-start-in-2021
  7. Coronavirus Thread

    Monday afternoon thoughts. First, was the right decision made to introduce stay at home orders - absolutely for multiple reasons. As of Feb 29th there was 6 confirmed deaths in the US. On March 31 there 4,522 confirmed deaths. By the end of April (with a month of mitigation measures) there...
  8. Coaching Carousel 5 - You have to look through the rain to see the rainbow

    FWIW, Beilein is no longer under consideration by Wake according to Wake sources. The names seeming to be bandied around the most right now are Steve Forbes and Wes Miller. Some Wake fans are hoping for Matta or Smart now that Beilein is off the table.
  9. Coaching Carousel 5 - You have to look through the rain to see the rainbow

    I Don't see Wojo leaving Marquette for WF. Marquette is a better job. But hey, i've been wrong before. Generally if a coach jumps from a P6 job to another P6 job it is because of some issue at the current P6 job.
  10. Coronavirus Thread

    Dr. Ioannidis is one of the professors of the Stanford study that has been widely criticized over the last week for having a biased sample, simple math errors and other issues. He has a solid contrarian view, but his science behind it has not been very good to this point and littered with errors...
  11. Coronavirus Thread

    I had the opportunity to talk to my neighbor who is a nurse at lunchtime (his wife was at the hospital working in ICU today). Asked him how things are at work - they both work at the same large Atlanta hospital. He says it hasn't slowed down at all, it has actually gotten worse. The hospital has...
  12. Coronavirus Thread

    They don't show up because their numbers were so insanely low until 2 weeks ago. They basically stopped it very quickly at the beginning. But then the breakout in the dormitory style living broke out. Their deaths is still really low - 12 total. Their positive cases per 1M is now up to 11th in...
  13. The ACC will delay the start of competition for all fall sports until at least Sept. 1

    The other thing I look at in terms of sports is what is happening with other large events. If concerts aren't happening, sports isn't happening. If large festivals aren't happening sports aren't happening. They all have the same basic setup - a large number of people in close quarters. This is...
  14. Coronavirus Thread

    That is a great visual. I've been trying to come up with a way to describe it and that is perfect. Steep drop with a long slow recovery. Talking to some individuals in the financial services industry they won't say this in public yet but privately they are thinking 2022 before we get back to...
  15. Coronavirus Thread

    Absolutely. Both poor data and fake data. US intelligence estimates the numbers in Brazil are underreported by at least 15 times. They also have been briefing the Fed Government on their estimates of China's numbers since early January being way underreported by a magnitude of multiple times.
  16. Coronavirus Thread

    I agree about very cautiously opening and different areas should be able to open at different rates, but that does mean we need to limit travel otherwise areas that haven't seen any real issues will see them. If we do this right it is going to take over a year to get close to where we were in...
  17. Coronavirus Thread

    FWIW, Here are the Top 10 countries in terms of deaths per capita. (This leaves out a couple of very small city-states) Deaths per 1M Belgium 576 Spain 482 Italy 423 France 335 UK 276 Netherlands 250 Sweden 213 Switzerland 179 Ireland 161 US 152 FWIW #11 is Portugal at 84, so there is a large...
  18. Coronavirus Thread

    What's happening in Singapore right now suggests the idea that heat is going to make it magically go away is pretty unlikely. Singapore is having their worst outbreak right now and their highs are in the 90's and their lows are in the upper 70's to low 80's. Temperature is not going to keep it...
  19. Coronavirus Thread

    Worldmeters had this in their USA section in their daily report yesterday "New York State Governor Cuomo said that preliminary findings from an antibody study conducted on 3,000 people at grocery stores across New York State found a 13.9% had coronavirus antibodies, suggesting a 13.9% actual...
  20. Coronavirus Thread

    Last word for me on undercounting. The Governor of NY today mentioned in his PC that they know they are undercounting. The current estimates by statisticians is around 60% for NY. Nate Silver's twitter feed has excellent discussion on looking at undercounting world wide. Also, the Georgia...
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