Assuming GT Wins out, additional needed losses (ignoring possible 3-way ties):
Duke: 2 (@UNC, Syr, @Wake, Mia)
UNC: 2 (Duke, UVA, @Pitt, @NCSt)
UVA: 1 (@Lou, @UNC, VT)
Pitt: 1 (Mia, UNC, @VT, BC)
VT: 0
Mia: 0
I don't see 2 losses for Duke if they beat UNC today, so I think it will be better...