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That’s the gamble. None of those numbers are that high compared to the NFL, even regular season NFL. A lot of people are betting on consolidation around programs doing well today, assuming numbers will just keep going up if they keep doing what they’re doing, and that shooting themselves in the...

Yeah I’ll bet 20 bucks that if you dropped football you’d lose X revenue where X is > all football revenue. Possibly even a solid chunk of non-athletics donations. It’s “shut the whole damn sports thing down time” at that point, which some places have done, but would be a major change from what...

Sports will be very valuable to streaming because you can't skip the ads or watch on tape-delay and get the same experience. I saw some stuff a while back about how much money a "with ads" subscriber to some streaming services brings in vs a "without ads" one, it was stark how lucrative those...

Yeah ever since the Bally and especially PAC 12 developments I’ve rapidly gone from worried that the ACC was in a suicide pact where everyone else would be making 100M more by 2036 to thinking that the ACC is in a pretty solid position with the long term contract to wait out the storm. If the...

Honestly since none of the other sports bring in money the same way football does for even regular-season games, it'd probably be a good time to split football conferences out from all-other-sport conferences.

FSU saw UGA have success recently and so decided that the lesson to take from that is “bark more” I guess. Nitpick: FX and Hulu are with Disney (though Comcast (who owns NBC) still has a non-controlling stake for now). Those came as part of the Disney/Fox deal, while broadcast Fox and FS1...

Mentioned this a bit before, and still Not a Lawyer, but if FSU peaced out like “just sue us” I’d be immediately suing FSU, the new conference that took them, and the media companies with a deal with that conference. And two of those aren’t based in FL in the first place. Seems like your have...

I would love to see two minute drill effectiveness stats since the 2 minute Johnson offense was quite different than the usual one but often effective (probably a good change of pace?). I remember a drive late @Wake with Washington that I think was mostly passes, plus some of those others mentioned.

Borrowing against assumed future 2031 tv deal revenues is not as insane as a PE deal to borrow half a bill for FSU but… hmmmmmmmm Failing to spot an inflection point is a classic way to go bankrupt. Edit: Rutgers took a similar “borrow big since the future big ten payout is coming full...

We’ve had years, turns out it takes competence even more than that

If teams go to the SEC it seems like a particularly fun lawsuit bonanza with ESPN potentially being caught in the middle if they paid the SEC instead of the ACC for those games etc etc. Gonna be a train wreck if any of this is true.

Non-lawyer question: so what’s the sequence of events here? FSU says “bye” ACC sues? Or maybe ACC doesn’t sue at first until FSU is in a new conference? Presumably the ACC would file their suit in not-Florida - like, maybe NC - would North Carolina judges have to move the venue to FL in order...

if the Spurs get in trouble they can go through bankruptcy and get sold off etc as a private business. What would be the equivalent of that for an athletic department at a public university? And is there some sort of collateral or anything? edit: it’s also hard for me to imagine that a public...

Borrowing half a billion dollars or whatever to get out of the ACC and move to the sec/Big 10 in a world where the money for new TV deals might be drying up is a bold move.

I think Fritz and Chadwell were both more reasonable options than Collins/Whisenhunt but they aren’t ones that suggest we’re flush with cash. (Not exactly news, of course.) If Key was the default fallback because nobody could agree on anyone slightly more expensive, and nobody could pony up...

IMO being too controlled by certain donor stakeholders is just a fancy way of saying “broke” if none of them are single-handedly putting up money to hire a top-of-market-coach but still want veto power.

I’m not sure there are that many people on the west coast who don’t currently care about CFB who are going to be more compelled by UCLA-Michigan than by UCLA-Cal. UCLA/USC are more historic names where that might have more national appeal boost than in Los Angeles itself, but the growth path for...

Kinda/sorta. It's been half a decade or so since I was closer to the sports media industry, but here's my best guess of the various factors that would complicate this (especially in terms of "turning that audience into revenue": A fair number of Big 10 games will still be on cable - so "I want...

I wonder if this is how outsiders felt about GT leaving the SEC. :|

FSU's soul ain't worth half a billion anymore. :D