WTF, GT is only favored by 1 over UCF??

MountPGT1990

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Shocked to see that line from Veags!!
GT at -1 to -2. Maybe we truly aren't as good as I was thinking. I thought minimum line would be GT -6, but was expecting more like -11 type line.

at -1, Vegas knows something I sure don't . Maybe it is in our best interest to have this game canceled. Lose this one and I have a hard time seeing us make it to a bowl game this year
 

smathis30

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UCF has a good defense and a soft bye week before us. It's in the road too. My computer analytics have us as a 6 point favorite so the spread isn't terribly wrong
 

slugboy

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http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaa
GT is 73rd percentile and number 33.
UCF is 47th percentile and number 68. But, we're playing there, at least as of now.
Lots of pre-season bias still in there.
In Sagarin, we're #26 (predictor: 80.51, 79.03 recent ) vs. #55 UCM (predictor: 71.3, 71.4 recent).

Should be about a 4 point spread. Guess JSU is scaring people.
 

FredJacket

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jZ8N3_s-200x150.gif
 

AlabamaBuzz

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I like it. Would not hurt my feelings if we were dogs in the matchup. Guys, if you haven't figured it out by now, with our defense (and this is not new), there is NO sure win we can count on.

Now, I want to make it perfectly clear that I believe our guys are giving maximum effort on D. I am just saying we are not big and we are not exceptionally fast. That makes blocking our defenders not ridiculously difficult.
 

jeffgt14

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I like it. Would not hurt my feelings if we were dogs in the matchup. Guys, if you haven't figured it out by now, with our defense (and this is not new), there is NO sure win we can count on.

Now, I want to make it perfectly clear that I believe our guys are giving maximum effort on D. I am just saying we are not big and we are not exceptionally fast. That makes blocking our defenders not ridiculously difficult.
Maximum effort? Maybe. Not big and fast enough? Yes we are. We are definitely not a very good defense but we are plenty talented and there are plenty of times when we have shown we can be good. Not being big and fast enough isn’t the reason we are slow to react, make the wrong reads and go the wrong direction.
 

Yaller Jacket

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My two cents: 2015 cost us greatly. We were viewed favorably starting the year. Had we had a so-so year, say 8-5, I think we might have hung in. But that awful year put us right back into oblivion. The good news is we can restore it pretty fast with another good year this year.

Also, I am not of the opinion that the polls will take care of themselves and it is a good thing to be underrated.
 

FredJacket

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I do not understand why folks get so worked up over where their team's "lines" are. If you really believe we're that disrespected or underrated... or more to the point, if we "truly" ARE wrt to the odds-makers, then you should be making tons of money on Tech's games. I don't gamble... but I assume Vegas knows what its doing and nobody can quit their day jobs and make a living betting on Ga Tech.

No bookie will be laying a block or defending a pass in Orlando Sat. In fact, they could not care less about how good or bad our team is...and they mean no disrespect. They want 50% of the money on both sides of the line. How can one take it "personally"?
 

MikeJackets1967

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I do not understand why folks get so worked up over where their team's "lines" are. If you really believe we're that disrespected or underrated... or more to the point, if we "truly" ARE wrt to the odds-makers, then you should be making tons of money on Tech's games. I don't gamble... but I assume Vegas knows what its doing and nobody can quit their day jobs and make a living betting on Ga Tech.

No bookie will be laying a block or defending a pass on in Orlando Sat. In fact, they could not care less about how good or bad our team is...and they mean no disrespect. They want 50% of the money on both sides of the line. How can one take it "personally"?
You make a very good point Fred!(y) I remember in 1990 how everyone was picking Duke to bring GT "back down to earth";)
 

dressedcheeseside

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My two cents: 2015 cost us greatly. We were viewed favorably starting the year. Had we had a so-so year, say 8-5, I think we might have hung in. But that awful year put us right back into oblivion. The good news is we can restore it pretty fast with another good year this year.

Also, I am not of the opinion that the polls will take care of themselves and it is a good thing to be underrated.

Polls have zero affect on winning the division/conference.
 

AlabamaBuzz

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Maximum effort? Maybe. Not big and fast enough? Yes we are. We are definitely not a very good defense but we are plenty talented and there are plenty of times when we have shown we can be good. Not being big and fast enough isn’t the reason we are slow to react, make the wrong reads and go the wrong direction.

Agree to disagree. Our talent level at D is still bottom half of division 1, at best. With that said, you may be right about reads and wrong directions, but I think we have difficulty stopping a good throwing QB with weapons, no matter, because our pass rush is weak, even when we send extras.
 

Deleted member 2897

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I do not understand why folks get so worked up over where their team's "lines" are. If you really believe we're that disrespected or underrated... or more to the point, if we "truly" ARE wrt to the odds-makers, then you should be making tons of money on Tech's games. I don't gamble... but I assume Vegas knows what its doing and nobody can quit their day jobs and make a living betting on Ga Tech.

No bookie will be laying a block or defending a pass in Orlando Sat. In fact, they could not care less about how good or bad our team is...and they mean no disrespect. They want 50% of the money on both sides of the line. How can one take it "personally"?

I made a comment about disrespect earlier, so let me clarify. Vegas Lines are essentially crowd sourced opinions. So when I say disrespect, I mean all the people betting on the game (which essentially determines the lines).
 

GTRX7

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UCF has a good defense and a soft bye week before us. It's in the road too. My computer analytics have us as a 6 point favorite so the spread isn't terribly wrong

Road games are hard to win. Period. And UCF won their only game so far 61-17. And we lost to a mediocre Tennessee team due to some weaknesses, despite displaying obvious other strengths. -1 sounds about right to me. I would not have been totally shocked if we were +1.
 
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