Screw job part 2: Bowl selection

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Heisman's Ghost

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GT33 said:
The misery is not over. Those refs pretty much eliminated us from Charlotte, San Diego, Orlando and Jacksonville. We’re going to be relegated to some piss poor bowl in a ****ty location, on a ****ty date against some ****ty 6-6 or 7-5 BS P4 or some worthless 1aa team. I hope we don’t get dumped down to a baseball stadium in some scummy northeast city.
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I was with relatives in Alabama and with nothing else to do we all watched as many games as we could especially Tech vs. Georgia and Alabama vs Auburn and Texas vs. Texas A&M. The consensus was that Tech was robbed by the officials and an undependable field goal kicker missing a chip shot field goal. The other iron clad conclusion was that Texas was by far the most impressive team on television last weekend. This is a hell of a team with pro type talent across the board on both sides of the football. I don't know what the odds makers will say about the UGA and Texas rematch but I would be very surprised if Texas does not run UGA right off the field. Of course, they could go the length of the field two or three times and turn the ball over in which case all bets are off. #45 for Texas should not be allowed to play with mere amateurs.
 

yeti92

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Heisman's Ghost said:
I was with relatives in Alabama and with nothing else to do we all watched as many games as we could especially Tech vs. Georgia and Alabama vs Auburn and Texas vs. Texas A&M. The consensus was that Tech was robbed by the officials and an undependable field goal kicker missing a chip shot field goal. The other iron clad conclusion was that Texas was by far the most impressive team on television last weekend. This is a hell of a team with pro type talent across the board on both sides of the football. I don't know what the odds makers will say about the UGA and Texas rematch but I would be very surprised if Texas does not run UGA right off the field. Of course, they could go the length of the field two or three times and turn the ball over in which case all bets are off. #45 for Texas should not be allowed to play with mere amateurs.
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You know Texas got their asses handed to them by the mutts earlier this year right?
 
MacDaddy2

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yeti92 said:
You know Texas got their asses handed to them by the mutts earlier this year right?
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One does have to ask, if ugag handed Texas their heads (30-15) earlier AND this is a quasi home game for Georgia, wouldn't it reason that ugag should be favored? When you look at a line and it makes no damn sense there is only one thing to do. Take the sign and bet Texas minus the 2.5, Vegas is telling you something here....
 

Heisman's Ghost

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yeti92 said:
You know Texas got their asses handed to them by the mutts earlier this year right?
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Yep and I know that their quarterback situation then was in disarray. But if you were watching both teams this weekend, who would you say has the better team? To me, the eye test is obvious Texas. Besides, how often do you see two good teams play twice in a year with one team winning both games? Tech did it against Clemson, winning in both the regular season and the ACC Championship game but it is rare. Texas and I don't think it will be all that close. Just so you KNOW I am taking the earlier game into account and dismissing it as noise and of no consequence.
 

yeti92

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Heisman's Ghost said:
Yep and I know that their quarterback situation then was in disarray. But if you were watching both teams this weekend, who would you say has the better team? To me, the eye test is obvious Texas. Besides, how often do you see two good teams play twice in a year with one team winning both games? Tech did it against Clemson, winning in both the regular season and the ACC Championship game but it is rare. Texas and I don't think it will be all that close. Just so you KNOW I am taking the earlier game into account and dismissing it as noise and of no consequence.
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The "Eye Test" is routinely wrong and possibly the worst "metric" ever used to try and justify anything.

I agree that beating the same team twice in the same season is quite difficult, but I wouldn't assume that a game that was a blowout in one direction is going to turn into a blowout in the other direction.

MacDaddy2 said:
One does have to ask, if ugag handed Texas their heads (30-15) earlier AND this is a quasi home game for Georgia, wouldn't it reason that ugag should be favored? When you look at a line and it makes no damn sense there is only one thing to do. Take the sign and bet Texas minus the 2.5, Vegas is telling you something here....
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Vegas sets betting lines with the goal of getting equal bets for each side, not to predict score outcomes. Even if that were what they were doing, -2.5 suggests a one score game, not Texas running ugag off the field.
 

takethepoints

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FightWinDrink said:

Annapolis vs Army is McMurphy’s projection
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Nooooooooo!!!

Anybody but the Black Knights this year. Nobody but ND has even slowed them down.

Update: This guy is way wrong on several counts. Boise State will be the MWC champ. Miami will get into the CFP due to Ohio State having three looses after the BIG10 championship game; they can't beat Oregon. Also, I suspect the Dawgs can't beat Texas and that'll make them a marginal team, just like Miami. And, I'll say it now: Tech in the Sun in a rematch with USC or the Gator against somebody.
 
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FightWinDrink

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takethepoints said:
Nooooooooo!!!

Anybody but the Black Knights this year. Nobody but ND has even slowed them down.

Update: This guy is way wrong on several counts. Boise State will be the MWC champ. Miami will get into the CFP due to Ohio State having three looses after the BIG10 championship game; they can't beat Oregon. Also, I suspect the Dawgs can't beat Texas and that'll make them a marginal team, just like Miami. And, I'll say it now: Tech in the Sun in a rematch with USC or the Gator against somebody.
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Ohio state isn’t playing in the big 10 title game. Penn state is against Oregon
 

Heisman's Ghost

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yeti92 said:
The "Eye Test" is routinely wrong and possibly the worst "metric" ever used to try and justify anything.

I agree that beating the same team twice in the same season is quite difficult, but I wouldn't assume that a game that was a blowout in one direction is going to turn into a blowout in the other direction.


Vegas sets betting lines with the goal of getting equal bets for each side, not to predict score outcomes. Even if that were what they were doing, -2.5 suggests a one score game, not Texas running ugag off the field.
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We will see. I think Texas will win rather comfortably. The Eye Test works a whole lot better than number crunching data when it is used to compare two teams playing at the same time. Besides, " past results is no guarantee of future performance." as many investors have discovered to their sorrow.
 
UgaBlows

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Heisman's Ghost said:
We will see. I think Texas will win rather comfortably. The Eye Test works a whole lot better than number crunching data when it is used to compare two teams playing at the same time. Besides, " past results is no guarantee of future performance." as many investors have discovered to their sorrow.
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We have shown them the way, and they won’t have to try to beat the SEC refs
 
Thwg777

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at least we can take solace that we’re not in scooter’s bowl.

they needed to make an exception to that bowl and only invite 3 win teams
 

GoJacketsInRaleigh

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Latest projections are:

McMurphy and 247 have Fenway vs Tulane
Jerry Palmhas Independence vs Army
Athletic has Birmingham vs Vanderbilt
Athlon has Sun vs Washington

Don't think anyone else's are updated.

Decent consensus amongst them that Miami to Pop Tarts, Duke to Gator, Clemson to Holiday and Syracuse to Sun (except Athlon having us there).

Duke Mayo projections are all over the place but Minnesota seems to be the Big Ten team. I've seen VT, NC State and Louisville all projected there. VT and NC State would be a ticket sales thing. After this, there is no knowledge or consensus at all.
 
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