NCAA Tournament & COVID-19

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mstranahan

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yup and that trickles down and hurts guys like me who write at least one wagering preview a day for 4flush, Spooky Express, and US Gambling. My current task list is completely empty and we have nothing to write about other than ESports or Casino strategy. This sucks

Wait... you're like a modern-day Jim Feist? If I call your 800#, I can get your guaranteed 5 star play? ;)
 

slugboy

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Bookies can’t even take bets on XFL or Premier League or La Liga. What’s out there to bet on?


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RamblinRed

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https://www.si.com/college/2020/03/13/ncaa-cancels-march-madness-money-revenue

Here's the article on the financial effects on the NCAA. They have an insurance policy that will recoup some but not all of the lost revenue. They had a reserve fund that had $700M in it as of 2014 but that is down to $415M now and will likely have to be tapped again to cover the shortfall from the lost Tourney revenue.

It doesn't talk about this in the article but it will almost certainly mean a little less money for schools over the next 6 years. Since no units will be handed out to conferences this year with no Tourney games played schools will effectively only get 5 years with of units rather than 6 for the next 1/2 decade.
 

slugboy

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Bookies can’t even take bets on XFL or Premier League or La Liga. What’s out there to bet on?


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I found an answer
b8733b0f7137297cd56566ef60d016eb.jpg



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RamblinRed

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I apologize for the lack of formatting of this chart. But hopefully the point is easy to understand. (I'm only showing a few countries so not to over clutter). The chart tracks positive cases for every European country and the US from the day they first hit 600. That was Feb 27th for Italy, March 9th for the US. Basically every country is showing spread around or above the rate Italy has shown.

Italy France Spain USA
2/27 3/6 3/8 3/9
650 613 674 643
888 949 1231 911
1128 1126 1695 1182
1694 1412 2277 1577
2036 1784 3126 2144
2502 2281 5232 2460
3089 2876 6391
3858 3662
4636 4500
5883
7375
9172
10149
12462
15113
17660
21157

Spain's rate of spread is actually running about twice what Italy's is.
If the social distancing doesn't slow the rate of spread the US is going to be in a crisis state in about 2 weeks.
 

whitegoldsphinx

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Bookies can’t even take bets on XFL or Premier League or La Liga. What’s out there to bet on?


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The Mexican soccer league is the only professional sports league I am aware of that has not suspended play. Not sure if there are lines on their games.
 

RamblinRed

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FWIW, the Maryland governor just signed an emergency order closing all MD casinos, racetracks and simulcast betting facilities indefinitely. The hotels adjacent to the casinos can remain open.
 

mstranahan

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If you want to do something nice for folks impacted by the current state of affairs, restaurants are getting hammered with low revenue. Consider ordering to go or delivery, if places are open. Also, buying gift cards (for later use) is a great way to give them cash flow when they need it.
 

RamblinRed

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Just read an article that said the insiders with the NBA are saying the league believes the best-case scenario for restarting the NBA season right now is mid-to-late June.

Given that is the best-case they are feeling right now that makes me believe the odds of their being no sports until after July 4th is fairly high.

As far as schools, i'm thinking the odds are pretty high that no in person teaching is done the rest of this school year. Any schooling is going to be virtual. Fortunately our one remaining child is homeschooled so this doesn't really change anything that significantly for us other than i'm not sure how he would do his in person chemistry labs.
 

chris975d

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Just received an interim guidance notification from the CDC, advising that events with 50 or more people over the next 8 weeks by cancelled or postponed. This is on the CDC website at:

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/201...vents/mass-gatherings-ready-for-covid-19.html

I interpret this as suggesting that schools remained closed until May 2020.

Doesn’t that same notice exclude schools further down, in this paragraph?


“This recommendation does not apply to the day to day operation of organizations such as schools, institutes of higher learning, or businesses.”
 

GTHomer

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Doesn’t that same notice exclude schools further down, in this paragraph?


“This recommendation does not apply to the day to day operation of organizations such as schools, institutes of higher learning, or businesses.”

Agreed however I still contend that schools will likely remained closed, at least for face to face instruction.
 

Gtbowhunter90

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I'm getting married in 9 weeks and this whole 8 weeks of "no more than 50 people in a confined space" thing has my girl on the verge of a damn nervous breakdown. I hope this shxx passes soon cause it's already affecting those who arent sick!!!
 

kg01

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I'm getting married in 9 weeks and this whole 8 weeks of "no more than 50 people in a confined space" thing has my girl on the verge of a damn nervous breakdown. I hope this shxx passes soon cause it's already affecting those who arent sick!!!

Agreed, agreed.

Now sit tight while I query my fellow warmers.

Did any o' yall get an invitation to this shindig?

No? Don't fret. Maybe he just wants us all at the bachelor party.
 

Buzzbomb

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I'm getting married in 9 weeks and this whole 8 weeks of "no more than 50 people in a confined space" thing has my girl on the verge of a damn nervous breakdown. I hope this shxx passes soon cause it's already affecting those who arent sick!!!
If she likes this idea, it was your idea. If she starts to hit you over the head with a bow, it was @kg01 ’s plan. Here it is:
1)Do a remote ceremony, with an online viewing RSVP passworded for the guests. Only live attendees are: Mr. & Mrs., Best man and woman, Ordained official, two rings or bands, all become the show. The main principals.
2)Not on a Sunday. Have all guests go through the local designated Chick-Fil-A drive thru. They drop off their presents and give a/or a few coupon(s) to the window employee and get the “reception food,” which comes with a brownie in lieu of cake.

Imagine the savings? Should leave some funds for the Bachelor Party and the new pad.
 

RamblinRed

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Here are 2 good articles on the impact COVID-19 could have on the sports world.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-coronaviruss-economic-effect-on-sports-could-be-staggering/

https://www.si.com/nba/2020/03/08/coronavirus-sports-job-losses-sponsorship-lawsuits

The loss of gate revenue and concession revenue is larger than I thought for major league sports. something to think about if this ends up running into the next college football season as the big colleges get alot more revenue from game day than a smaller school like GT. There would also likely have to be negotiations over sponsorship money and potentially even TV money.

Most leagues have in the contracts they don't have to pay players for games cancelled.
Also, the loss of revenue this year means the caps next year for professional leagues could potentially go down rather than increase.
 
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