ilovetheoption
Helluva Engineer
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Which is why I said "over time". In any given year things can push up or down some, but in other years, the teams around you may have had more transfers, thus artificially inflating your recruiting numbers. For the time being, it's a small sample size, 2 classes. But the 48 is just as real to me as the 27 (and I get that you don't agree, and that's fine).Re: the 2021 class, one or two posters here did an analysis to show that we took materially more transfers than those above and around us in recruiting in 2021. I don't have the time to dig it up, but the takeaway is the difference for us was material that year. Hard for me to quantify from the memory bank though.
I'm not sure if Collins is the best recruiter we can get, and so I'm not sure what our ceiling is. I don't expect us to blast into the top 15 as a regular or even frequent visitor, if at all. Context matters too i.e., it would certainly be easier to sell a winning program that he is directing.
Let's say top 30 is near the ceiling. Where are you going with that? Regardless of scheme, to me that translates to top 5 ACC most years or thereabouts, and enough to minimally win the Coastal 1 out of every 5-6 years like the prior two regimes (not accounting for our 6-6 year where two teams ahead of us were disqualified and was basically our average GT season result). We'll still have highs and lows off that.
So, the ceiling, and where I'm going with it: What I'm establishing is the whole "scarcity of skills" thing. That is, if Collins really is an ELITE (no irony) recruiter, and if he was at UVA he'd be pulling in top 20 classes, and if he was at Clemson he'd be pulling in top 3 classes.
It's SUPER DUPER rare to get a guy who is an ELITE recruiter AND an elite x's and o's guys, and those guys don't stay at GT. They end up at Bama, or Oklahoma, or Texas, or USC or Ohio State. So, if Collins really IS the best you can hope for that'll stay at GT, which is an Elite recruiter, and a "meh" everything else, and what it's getting you is a team that doesn't look like it can find its *** with both hands, then perhaps that's not the right model for GT.
Maybe "average in the grand scheme of things recruiting combined with below average coaching" is not going to give you guys the results you want.
Maybe the cards are so stacked against recruiting at GT that it's not a viable path as the trait to go all-in on, and your best bet was your last bet, because if you cap out at "average" due to structural issues, if you do anything other achieve at the very highest level possible, you're in trouble.
Side note: I think you're going to win easily this coming weekend, but Bohannan probably thinks he's on the wrong sideline, and if he gets a chance to run it up, my bet is he will.