Pretty good strawmen set up there, but I'll play. Consistent top 25 is the domain of P5 programs, so your question is somewhat contradictory if I read it right, but I'll answer regardless.... Clawson comes to mind, as does Sonny Dykes, who did pretty well at SMU and seems to be translating OK to Power 5 level. Liepold also comes to mind. Luke Fickell as well. Yes, for every one of them, there are 5, 10, or even 20 who flame out. Who is the next? no idea. I think a Chadwell could be. Heck, lots of folks talk about Malzahn, but why not look at Rhett Lashlee? Lashlee is basically Malzahn circa15 years ago. Don't know if he pans out or not... and he's probably already making more at SMU than we want to pay, but there's a name.
We don't need to stay in the 40-50 recruiting range (YOU SAID THAT, NOT ME), but history is kind of hard to ignore, ain't it? I think we can improve (and we should try) but I don't believe we are going to be recruiting in the top 20, either. So now its your turn.... How high do we have to jump in recruiting to see sustained top 25 results? What's our target? Has any Tech coach achieved said target? What coach out there today can achieve said target AT TECH today?
I'll end with this, even though I know you were being snarky - we will indeed catch lightning in a bottle if we find sustained success with anyone in the next 3-4 years. Whether we are chasing top ten recruiting classes or the schematic white knight riding the shiniest unicorn of a system... We're entering into a 4+ year plan, and we can't afford for it to fail at the end. With that as my mindset, I feel like an unproven coach selling me high school commitments is a house of cards. I'll get on board with whoever we bring in, but please give me a real coach, with real credentials, who is ready to overcome our recruiting challenges.