Sooooo … what else is new?
In this case, however, there are reasons behind the pick. We are in a coaching transition and those don't always work out so well. (Tech's did last time, but that was different. TL : DR) Otoh, we do have good talent coming back and, if it is used carefully on O and the D picks up as I expect it will, then there's no reason why we can't do well in the coming season. How well is a question; there will be a gracious plenty of games with teams that are our equals in talent. Our coaches, however, seem to know what they are doing, something I think this assessment leaves out.
I'll be surprised if we finish last in the Coastal. I picked us for 6 - 6 awhile ago and I still think that's feasible. We could do better if the ball bounces our way. Let's hope it does.