GT over/under set at 6 wins for 2018

Discussion in 'Georgia Tech Football' started by CuseJacket, May 15, 2018.

  1. CuseJacket

    CuseJacket Administrator Staff Member

    Messages:
    8,389
    Same as 2017. Here are the odds for the ACC in 2018: Link

    Keeping track of past years:

    2014
    • Over/under: 6.5
    • Actual wins: 10
    2015
    • Over/under: 7.5
    • Actual wins: 3
    2016
    • Over/under: 6.5
    • Actual wins: 8
    2017
    • Over/under: 6
    • Actual wins: 5 (with a cancellation)

    Last year's preseason thread on the subject for your misery or entertainment: Vegas sets GT season wins over/under at 6
     
    GTNavyNuke likes this.
  2. Gold1

    Gold1 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    439
    Lol man this program has been set back
     
  3. bwelbo

    bwelbo Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    4,840
    So looking at the history, nobody that makes these predictions ever knows.
     
    GTNavyNuke and GT_05 like this.
  4. Blumpkin Souffle

    Blumpkin Souffle Bidly Biddington III

    Messages:
    1,264
    These are Vegas lines not predictions.
     
  5. bwelbo

    bwelbo Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    4,840
    Vegas lines are crowd sourced predictions.
     
  6. jeffgt14

    jeffgt14 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    4,570
    Certainly looks like Vegas knows how to kick *** and take some names to me.
     
  7. iceeater1969

    iceeater1969 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    3,465
    At least in 18 we are tied w duke.
    home coming used to be a sure win.

    We are way better than S cuse!
     
  8. slugboy

    slugboy Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    952
    FSU's 2017 over/under was 9.5 games. They went 6-6 regular season (kinda), and 3-5 in the ACC. Somehow, their forecast seems worse than ours was.
     
    AE 87 likes this.
  9. bravejason

    bravejason Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    211
    Don’t like it, but can’t argue with it.
     
  10. tmhunter52

    tmhunter52 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    785
    It’s an even year. We should be over.
     
    MidtownJacket and GTNavyNuke like this.
  11. RyanS12

    RyanS12 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    2,276
    I’ll put $500 on us to cover 6 wins
     
  12. GTNavyNuke

    GTNavyNuke Helluva Engineer Featured Member

    Messages:
    5,666
    I seem to recollect this discussion a few times before ........ o_O

    6 is a very reasonable estimate based on recent history. One of these days I'll update for 114 Years of GT Football. The only consistency we have is being inconsistent.
     
    Whiskey_Clear likes this.
  13. bwelbo

    bwelbo Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    4,840
    Nailed it. And that’s basically what this is - predicting at the average.
     
  14. Blumpkin Souffle

    Blumpkin Souffle Bidly Biddington III

    Messages:
    1,264
    Predicting the average or averaging the predictions?
     
    bwelbo likes this.
  15. dressedcheeseside

    dressedcheeseside Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    11,006
    You guys should be salivating over outside-the-program low expectations. I am. Nothing is more fun than sneaking up on folks and taking them to the woodshed. That said, our competition is too smart to be snuck up on. They know all too well what will happen if they take us lightly.

    What I like about it is extra motivation for the players. I know the shouldn't need it, but they are 18 - 22 yr olds.
     
    MidtownJacket likes this.
  16. dressedcheeseside

    dressedcheeseside Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    11,006
    Keep in mind I’m not a gambler, but if I put 100 bucks on the over today what’s my pay out assuming we win 7+ games?
     
  17. herb

    herb Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    160
    Given the odds posted in the link, you would have to bet $130 to win $100 if you took the over. If you took the under, you would have to bet $100 to win $100
     
  18. Lavoisier

    Lavoisier Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    406
    Opening lines aren't crowdsourced. The top Vegas books pay a lot of money to oddsmakers to maximize their profit. The lines move according to how people bet so that the book can keep the same amount of money on both sides which minimizes the risk. They make money by paying out the same as they take in and keeping the vig.
     
    Blumpkin Souffle, GT_05 and GT14 like this.
  19. herb

    herb Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    160
    For the most part yes, but vegas makes bets too. Sometimes you will see that most of the money is coming in on one side, yet the line moves in their favor. Hint: stay away from those
     
  20. MikeJackets1967

    MikeJackets1967 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    7,182
    GT is going to surprise people this season and i hope Las Vegas and the bookies lose their shirts;) I remember everyone in 1990 was predicting GT to go 8-3. Playboy in their College Football predictions for 1990 i do believe predicted GT to go 8-3 and be ranked in the #15-#20 range
     
    bwelbo, OldJacketFan and GT_05 like this.

Share This Page