Georgia Tech (-3.5) @ Louisville

AUFC

AUFC

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Surprised we are favored. There's no such thing as an easy game on the road in ACC play. I think Louisville will come out angry and focused after blowing their lead against Florida State too. I'm 5/5 in my week-of predictions so far this year and unfortunately I've pinned this one as a loss. Hope it's my first miss.
 
DaltonJacket

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GTNavyNuke said:
Close to Atomic ratings. Bottom line is 5 wins is most likely. I hope for 6 or 7 or 8, but only 2 are for sure. http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_9.html

Until we beat a real team on the road, I have to assume we won't. L'Ville is beatable. VT on Thursday night is not. And UNC is beatable too but not expected if we can't be L'Ville on the road.



Also VT fans. Anyone other than UGAg who beats ND gets my support.
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nope...I like ND. I cheer for them anytime they aren't playing GT.
 
GT_05

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AUFC said:
Surprised we are favored. There's no such thing as an easy game on the road in ACC play. I think Louisville will come out angry and focused after blowing their lead against Florida State too. I'm 5/5 in my week-of predictions so far this year and unfortunately I've pinned this one as a loss. Hope it's my first miss.
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I’m hoping they’re deflated instead of angry. I can only imagine the kind of vile crap that has been tossed their way on social media after that blowup at the end of Saturday’s game.

Who knows? Petrino may quit this week by taping a four-sentence laminated note on the locker room door. #loserleavesloserville

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bobby_Petrino


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MikeJackets1967

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GT_05 said:
I’m hoping they’re deflated instead of angry. I can only imagine the kind of vile crap that has been tossed their way on social media after that blowup at the end of Saturday’s game.

Who knows? Petrino may quit this week by taping a four-sentence laminated note on the locker room door. #loserleavesloserville

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bobby_Petrino


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That would pretty much be the way Lame Kiffin left Tennessee but with less class if that's possible;) I think Bobby Petrino will be coaching at North Carolina,Kansas or UNLV in 2019.
 
Techster

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Copying and pasting from my post in another thread for my weekly matchup from a recruiting angle:

2018
GT (54): AVG: 0.8476, 4 Star - 2
UL (30): AVG: 0.8702, 4 Star - 4

2017
GT (48): AVG: 0.8389, 4 Star - 1
UL (34): AVG: 0.8556, 4 Star - 3

2016
GT (60): AVG: 0.8322, 4 Star - 0
UL (38): AVG: 0.8456, 4 Star - 2

2015
GT (44): AVG: 0.8446, 4 Star - 0
UL (33): AVG: 0.8540, 4 Star - 3

Total 4 Stars
GT - 3
UL - 11

On average, UL recruits 2 bands better than we do (30's vs 50's). IMO, anything within 1 band is a toss up, and goes to coaching/having a special playmaker/mistakes. Anything beyond 1 band gives the other team a 7 point edge (in my super scientific research...and by "super scientific" I mean my opinion :)).

I think Petrino and CPJ are about equal coaches. Both are VERY good for what they do. It's a toss up here.
Both teams have made a lot of mistakes against FBS opponents. It's a toss up here.

IMO, Louisville has some really good playermakers on both sides that could be a factor.

Let's also remember, GT hasn't won a road game since 2016, and the game is at Louisville on a nationally televised night game. The environment will not be conducive how we've been playing.

As bad as Louisville has been playing, at some point Petrino's team will figure it out. My hope is they don't figure it out until after we leave Kentucky.
 

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Techster said:
Copying and pasting from my post in another thread for my weekly matchup from a recruiting angle:

2018
GT (54): AVG: 0.8476, 4 Star - 2
UL (30): AVG: 0.8702, 4 Star - 4

2017
GT (48): AVG: 0.8389, 4 Star - 1
UL (34): AVG: 0.8556, 4 Star - 3

2016
GT (60): AVG: 0.8322, 4 Star - 0
UL (38): AVG: 0.8456, 4 Star - 2

2015
GT (44): AVG: 0.8446, 4 Star - 0
UL (33): AVG: 0.8540, 4 Star - 3

Total 4 Stars
GT - 3
UL - 11

On average, UL recruits 2 bands better than we do (30's vs 50's). IMO, anything within 1 band is a toss up, and goes to coaching/having a special playmaker/mistakes. Anything beyond 1 band gives the other team a 7 point edge (in my super scientific research...and by "super scientific" I mean my opinion :)).

I think Petrino and CPJ are about equal coaches. Both are VERY good for what they do. It's a toss up here.
Both teams have made a lot of mistakes against FBS opponents. It's a toss up here.

IMO, Louisville has some really good playermakers on both sides that could be a factor.

Let's also remember, GT hasn't won a road game since 2016, and the game is at Louisville on a nationally televised night game. The environment will not be conducive how we've been playing.

As bad as Louisville has been playing, at some point Petrino's team will figure it out. My hope is they don't figure it out until after we leave Kentucky.
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We have something like 9 guys on defense rated 4-star by at least 1 agency...sophomore or younger. Those agencies must be a scatter plot between Rivals, ESPN, 247 if the agency you picked for this has us at 3 in the last 3 years.
 
Techster

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bwelbo said:
We have something like 9 guys on defense rated 4-star by at least 1 agency...sophomore or younger. Those agencies must be a scatter plot between Rivals, ESPN, 247 if the agency you picked for this has us at 3 in the last 3 years.
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I go by 247 since they have a "composite" rating model that incorporates the other major recruiting services. I think the way 247 does it is probably the most "neutral" way to look at recruiting. Not enough time in the day to see who ESPN/Rivals/Scout/247 ranks 4/5 stars and who they don't.

FYI:

https://247sports.com/college/appalachian-state/Article/247Sports-Rating-Explanation-81574/

The composite index equally weights this percentage among the services that participate in a ranking for that specific prospect.

A composite strength meter, indicated by red bars, illustrates the total number of industry services that have ranked the prospect. A full strength meter indicates the prospect has been ranked by all industry services participating in the composite.

All industry services have a different philosophy on number of "stars" distributed with each class. The 247Sports Composite Rating assigns stars based on an approximate average distribution of stars from the industry.

The "composite" ranking is probably the most fair and objective measure, IMO.
 

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Techster said:
I go by 247 since they have a "composite" rating model that incorporates the other major recruiting services. I think the way 247 does it is probably the most "neutral" way to look at recruiting. Not enough time in the day to see who ESPN/Rivals/Scout/247 ranks 4/5 stars and who they don't.
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247 does their own ratings too, so you can still end up with squirrly data. For example, Rivals and ESPN both list Tre Swilling as a 4-star. But 247 says he's a 3-star, and then their composite says 3-star...you know, because apparently their votes count 3x everyone else. :D
 
Techster

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bwelbo said:
247 does their own ratings too, so you can still end up with squirrly data. For example, Rivals and ESPN both list Tre Swilling as a 4-star. But 247 says he's a 3-star, and then their composite says 3-star...you know, because apparently their votes count 3x everyone else. :D
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I mean, it goes both ways. 247 has Jaylon King as a 4 star and ESPN has him as a low 3 star. That's where the composite rating is most fair measure, IMO.
 

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Techster said:
I mean, it goes both ways. 247 has Jaylon King as a 4 star and ESPN has him as a low 3 star. That's where the composite rating is most fair measure, IMO.
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Not trying to pick a fight with you (I promise), but 247 in their own ratings lists Jaylon King as a 4-star, as does Rivals. So that makes sense (at least to me) to be a composite 4-star too.
 
Techster

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bwelbo said:
Not trying to pick a fight with you (I promise), but 247 in their own ratings lists Jaylon King as a 4-star, as does Rivals. So that makes sense (at least to me) to be a composite 4-star too.
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You're kinda making my point.

I think the difference is 247 actually assigns a number grade. How 247 converts a Rivals or ESPN 4 star to their grade I have no clue, but they're pretty cut and dry on the end designation.

100 - 98 = Five-star prospect. One of the top 30 players in the nation. This player has excellent pro-potential and should emerge as one of the best in the country before the end of his career. There will be 32 prospects ranked in this range in every football class to mirror the first round of the NFL Draft.

97 - 90 = Four-star prospect. One of the top 300 players in the nation. This prospect will be an impact-player for his college team. He is an All-American candidate who is projected to play professionally.

89 - 80 = Three-star prospect. One of the top 10% players in the nation. This player will develop into a reliable starter for his college team and is among the best players in his region of the country. Many three-stars have significant pro potential.

79 - below = Two-star prospect. This player makes up the bulk of Division I rosters. He may have little pro-potential, but is likely to become a role player for his respective school.

Basically, what I'm saying is, if you want to take over the weekly recruiting snapshot of our matchups with other teams...have at it! :)

Until you do, I'm using 247's composite score.
 

Skeptic

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Techster said:
Copying and pasting from my post in another thread for my weekly matchup from a recruiting angle:

2018
GT (54): AVG: 0.8476, 4 Star - 2
UL (30): AVG: 0.8702, 4 Star - 4

2017
GT (48): AVG: 0.8389, 4 Star - 1
UL (34): AVG: 0.8556, 4 Star - 3

2016
GT (60): AVG: 0.8322, 4 Star - 0
UL (38): AVG: 0.8456, 4 Star - 2

2015
GT (44): AVG: 0.8446, 4 Star - 0
UL (33): AVG: 0.8540, 4 Star - 3

Total 4 Stars
GT - 3
UL - 11

On average, UL recruits 2 bands better than we do (30's vs 50's). IMO, anything within 1 band is a toss up, and goes to coaching/having a special playmaker/mistakes. Anything beyond 1 band gives the other team a 7 point edge (in my super scientific research...and by "super scientific" I mean my opinion :)).

I think Petrino and CPJ are about equal coaches. Both are VERY good for what they do. It's a toss up here.
Both teams have made a lot of mistakes against FBS opponents. It's a toss up here.

IMO, Louisville has some really good playermakers on both sides that could be a factor.

Let's also remember, GT hasn't won a road game since 2016, and the game is at Louisville on a nationally televised night game. The environment will not be conducive how we've been playing.

As bad as Louisville has been playing, at some point Petrino's team will figure it out. My hope is they don't figure it out until after we leave Kentucky.
Click to expand...
I got a feeling that prime time might be the best thing to happen to this team and to the coach. Turn up the lights and see how they play.
 

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I keep waiting for the Memes about Friday Night high school offense football. :D
 
Techster

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Skeptic said:
I got a feeling that prime time might be the best thing to happen to this team and to the coach. Turn up the lights and see how they play.
Click to expand...

As good a time as any to see CPJ roll Petrino for 500+ yards and 40+ points, and for CNW's crew to finally click keep Petrino's offense limping.

We need a W for our guys to get over that mental hump of winning road games. Friday night prime time sounds good to me!
 
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