Wrecked
Ramblin' Wreck
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- 590
Not in MarylandCan you get a haircut?
Not in MarylandCan you get a haircut?
My wife refuses to shave my head. I don’t think she understands the alternative of me shaving my own head.
Or you could just go to the nets and find out how to trim your beard yourself. That's what I did and it worked. Not for a real trim - you need another eye for that - but for getting rid of the strays, it's fine.If I were a hair cutting person, I'd have set up a business in Facebook targeting ads to all the neighborhood pages and offering drive in service. Both parties wear a face mask, etc. You're not violating the stay at home or work order because you're at home. They're not violating the order because they left home to work. They get money, you stop looking like Tom Hanks in Cast Away. Win Win.
So apparently there was a big anti stay at home protest in Michigan today designed to grid lock the city near the capitol. This also blocked traffic from ambulances going to the hospital.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/po...wn-protestors-swarm-michigan-capitol-n1184426
Im not sure what positive outcome anyone was hoping for here.
So apparently there was a big anti stay at home protest in Michigan today designed to grid lock the city near the capitol. This also blocked traffic from ambulances going to the hospital.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/po...wn-protestors-swarm-michigan-capitol-n1184426
Im not sure what positive outcome anyone was hoping for here.
Good story, I didn’t read about any ambulances being blocked. It’s in the constitution that we have a right to freely assemble. 1,000 people is a tiny fraction of what normal daily traffic looks like there. (Half a million people live on that area alone). This obnoxious “people touched gas station handles!” nonsense is too much. I mean the Governor did state that gathering to protest her orders was lawful.
So … how about supply chains? See:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...ur-ability-to-make-things-including-vaccines/
538 does it again. What's most scary about this to me is that we still haven't used the DPA to force production on industries. Why? Anybody's guess.
Sadly, yesterday was another up day in the US for new cases, and looks to be heading that way again. It’s totally confounding to me. We’re at 25,000 cases today and still have quite a few hours left, especially on the west coast.
While I certainly don’t like that cases aren’t trending down, I’m more interested in hospitalization rate and case fatality rate.
Sadly, yesterday was another up day in the US for new cases, and looks to be heading that way again. It’s totally confounding to me. We’re at 25,000 cases today and still have quite a few hours left, especially on the west coast.
What's most disappointing about this is not the number of new positive cases, its that compared to last week testing is down 30% and the number of cases is still increasing.
simply put, we don't really have this under control on a national level yet.
We still have no plan on a Federal level to get through this which is going to negatively impact how quickly we can move forward.
Unfortunately, I'm not Solomon knowing how to split the baby.
It’s mind boggling to me how we can be getting this level of transmission during a shut down.
Coronavirus is a crazy contagious virus. I saw a new study last week that suggested an R0 of 5.7. I can't imagine it is truly that high, but even something in the mid to high twos is going to be really difficult to control once it is spreading.
We still are basically blind in this country because we don't have the testing necessary yet to get in front of it at all. Until we do, it is unlikely we can bring it down much unless we go to a much stricter form of mitigation. The mitigation measures we are employing are generally among the most lax of the countries with big outbreaks. We aren't requiring people to stay in their homes, fining or imprisoning those who do not. We still have a decent amount of people going into workplaces. If you look at the Google mobility reports for US vs most European countries, our reduction in movement isn't nearly as much. As American's we tend to see what we are doing as a huge change (and it is), but having conversed with a number of European's online and comparing measures, they feel Americans aren't even close to the shelter in place restrictions they have in some Euro countries.
At the end of the day we have to get the testing working, until then nothing in terms of numbers is going to change all that much. Apparently on the call President Trump had with some of the business executives today, their biggest message to him was until we had robust testing and tracing, they were not going to be able to re-open much of anything.
Based on results from other countries until we are testing at a level where the positive cases are under 10% and preferrably in the 6-7% positive range, we aren't testing enough to control the virus without extreme mitigation. US has consistently been testing between a 20-25% positive rate for weeks. That level of positive suggests we haven't moved out far enough from just testing those who are already showing symptoms. The Morgan Stanley timeline document suggested we need to be testing 500K/wk by the end of April and 1M/wk by the end of May with widespread antibody testing available by early June in order for a first wave of workers to return sometime in June.
The good news is at least we aren't rising at an exponential rate anymore, but we may still be weeks on a National level before there is any significant decline. NY is leveling off and will hopefully start to decline soon, but other areas (like GA) are just starting to skyrocket and will do so for at least the next couple of weeks. The goal for the next couple of weeks is to keep the numbers flat and then hope in May you start to see decline. Based on trends from other countries, it takes longer for the decline to happen than the rise. I've seen articles where Epidimeologists believe that the one public model we get to see, IHME, seriously underestimates the tail on this so it makes it look like it is going to fade alot faster than is likely to actually happen.
Sadly, yesterday was another up day in the US for new cases, and looks to be heading that way again. It’s totally confounding to me. We’re at 25,000 cases today and still have quite a few hours left, especially on the west coast.
Coronavirus is a crazy contagious virus. I saw a new study last week that suggested an R0 of 5.7. I can't imagine it is truly that high, but even something in the mid to high twos is going to be really difficult to control once it is spreading.
We still are basically blind in this country because we don't have the testing necessary yet to get in front of it at all. Until we do, it is unlikely we can bring it down much unless we go to a much stricter form of mitigation. The mitigation measures we are employing are generally among the most lax of the countries with big outbreaks. We aren't requiring people to stay in their homes, fining or imprisoning those who do not. We still have a decent amount of people going into workplaces. If you look at the Google mobility reports for US vs most European countries, our reduction in movement isn't nearly as much. As American's we tend to see what we are doing as a huge change (and it is), but having conversed with a number of European's online and comparing measures, they feel Americans aren't even close to the shelter in place restrictions they have in some Euro countries.
At the end of the day we have to get the testing working, until then nothing in terms of numbers is going to change all that much. Apparently on the call President Trump had with some of the business executives today, their biggest message to him was until we had robust testing and tracing, they were not going to be able to re-open much of anything.
Based on results from other countries until we are testing at a level where the positive cases are under 10% and preferrably in the 6-7% positive range, we aren't testing enough to control the virus without extreme mitigation. US has consistently been testing between a 20-25% positive rate for weeks. That level of positive suggests we haven't moved out far enough from just testing those who are already showing symptoms. The Morgan Stanley timeline document suggested we need to be testing 500K/wk by the end of April and 1M/wk by the end of May with widespread antibody testing available by early June in order for a first wave of workers to return sometime in June.
The good news is at least we aren't rising at an exponential rate anymore, but we may still be weeks on a National level before there is any significant decline. NY is leveling off and will hopefully start to decline soon, but other areas (like GA) are just starting to skyrocket and will do so for at least the next couple of weeks. The goal for the next couple of weeks is to keep the numbers flat and then hope in May you start to see decline. Based on trends from other countries, it takes longer for the decline to happen than the rise. I've seen articles where Epidimeologists believe that the one public model we get to see, IHME, seriously underestimates the tail on this so it makes it look like it is going to fade alot faster than is likely to actually happen.