All the next coach, whomever that may be, needs to do to unite the fan base is WIN.
You’re absolutely right. The problem is, it’s hard to WIN your first year at a new job. Meaning our already divided fanbase would be divided even further with a new coach who doesn’t WIN in year 1. Making WINNING in year 2 an even steeper task. Let’s look at some of college football’s recent new hires and their first year at a new school:
Kirby Smart - Georgia 2016: 7-5 Losses to GT and Vandy
Brian Harsin - Auburn 2021: 6-6
Shane Beamer - South Carolina 2021: 6-6
Mack Brown - North Carolina 2019: 6-6
Steve Sarkisian - Texas 2021: 5-7
Mel Tucker - Colorado 2019: 5-7
Michigan State 2020: 2-5
James Franklin - Penn State 2014: 6-6
Mike Norvell - Florida State 2020: 3-6
Neal Brown - West Virginia 2019: 5-7
Matt Wells - Texas Tech 2019: 4-8
Mike Locksley - Maryland 2019: 3-9
Greg Schiano - Rutgers 2020: 3-6
Scott Frost - Nebraska 2018: 4-8
Chip Kelly - UCLA 2018: 4-8
Lance Leipold - Kansas 2021: 2-10
PJ Fleck - Minnesota 2017: 5-7
So far this year: Brent Venables at Oklahoma is 3-3,
Tony Elliot at UVA is 2-4 with possibly the worst team in the ACC,
Brent Pry at VT is 2-4 with possibly the worst team in the ACC,
Mike Elko is doing solid work at 4-2 with Duke
Mario Cristobal is 2-3 at Miami
Lincoln Riley looks really good, 6-0 at USC
Billy Napier is meh at Florida, 4-2 with L’s to big rivals in Kentucky and Tennessee, could’ve lost to USF as well.
The point is: some of those coaches remained stinkers, some had their programs do a complete 180. What they all have in common though, they struggled their first year. A lot of those first years were steps backwards from where most of those programs were in the previous years. The average record for most first year coaches is right at 5-7. So the question is, if we have a guy who can go 6-2 in 8 games, why would we take a massive risk and a potentially huge set back to go out and hire somebody else who might not be able to match that record? If Key finishes 6-2 he would have a
ton of momentum and support from the fanbase. Hire somebody that messes that up and it could be another brutal few years.