Braves Offseason

THWG

Helluva Engineer
Messages
4,224
I keep hearing they want to avoid 3rd year of CBT. Then go after it again next season.
We are about $20 million under the CBT though. It seems like we could get a player for less than that AAV and have some wiggle room left over at the trade deadline. I'm still expecting us to make one splash move.
 

gtbeak

Ramblin' Wreck
Messages
562
I don't think AA went into the off-season with the plan to get below the 1st CBT threshold, but that may be what ends up happening. He went out of his way back in November to move salary (not CBT hit, but salary) out of 2025 into 2026. He picked up Reynaldo Lopez's 2027 team option 2 years before he needed to in exchange for Lopez moving 2025 salary into 2026, and he picked up Aaron's Bummer's 2025 and 2026 team options in exchange for Bummer reducing his 2025 salary from $7.25M to $3.5M and agreeing to a $9.5M salary in 2026. Neither of those moves helped the CBT at all, but they did move a total of $7M from 2025 to 2026. And, as THWG pointed out, they are sitting $24M below the 1st threshold right now, plenty of room to make a decent pickup and still leave in-season wiggle room to stay below the 1st threshold. Either there is a payroll crunch for 2025 that hasn't been publicized (I doubt this is the explanation), or my belief is that AA had someone(s) targeted back in November, but he was unable to close out those deals.
 

THWG

Helluva Engineer
Messages
4,224
And we get Jurickson Profar!! Big get imo. Stabilizes the outfield at a relatively cheap cost. Now we just need to get a starter and a reliever. Arcia can stay at SS for his defense since the outfield hole has been properly addressed.
 

Golden Tornadoes

Ramblin' Wreck
Messages
883
Does anybody else realize that Profar isn't worth $14M AAV? The man has spent 11 years in the league and finished with a BA over .270 twice. I'd forgive the BA if he had a decent slugging percentage, but even that is sitting at .395 for his career. He has a career OPS under .750 which is considered league average. In fact, he has only ever finished a season with a positive WAR 6 times in 11 years and two of those times his WAR was under 1. Bar far his defense is his best value as he sports a .986 fielding percentage in the OF where he will be primarily used.

Oh, and don't even bother looking up his postseason numbers. He conveniently disappears when it matters most. He is coming off a career year and managed to bank that into a good contract for him, but I don't think this solves much. I hope I am wrong, I really do, but the numbers behind this guy aren't that great. Or maybe I just don't understand the numbers behind a good ballplayer.
 

stinger78

Helluva Engineer
Messages
5,332
Does anybody else realize that Profar isn't worth $14M AAV? The man has spent 11 years in the league and finished with a BA over .270 twice. I'd forgive the BA if he had a decent slugging percentage, but even that is sitting at .395 for his career. He has a career OPS under .750 which is considered league average. In fact, he has only ever finished a season with a positive WAR 6 times in 11 years and two of those times his WAR was under 1. Bar far his defense is his best value as he sports a .986 fielding percentage in the OF where he will be primarily used.

Oh, and don't even bother looking up his postseason numbers. He conveniently disappears when it matters most. He is coming off a career year and managed to bank that into a good contract for him, but I don't think this solves much. I hope I am wrong, I really do, but the numbers behind this guy aren't that great. Or maybe I just don't understand the numbers behind a good ballplayer.
Maybe we’re not seeing the numbers that count?
 

THWG

Helluva Engineer
Messages
4,224
Does anybody else realize that Profar isn't worth $14M AAV? The man has spent 11 years in the league and finished with a BA over .270 twice. I'd forgive the BA if he had a decent slugging percentage, but even that is sitting at .395 for his career. He has a career OPS under .750 which is considered league average. In fact, he has only ever finished a season with a positive WAR 6 times in 11 years and two of those times his WAR was under 1. Bar far his defense is his best value as he sports a .986 fielding percentage in the OF where he will be primarily used.

Oh, and don't even bother looking up his postseason numbers. He conveniently disappears when it matters most. He is coming off a career year and managed to bank that into a good contract for him, but I don't think this solves much. I hope I am wrong, I really do, but the numbers behind this guy aren't that great. Or maybe I just don't understand the numbers behind a good ballplayer.
You might be right. There's always a risk in signing an inconsistent player like Profar. However, some players take time to figure things out (look at Charlie Morton, Whit Merrifield, and Brent Rooker for the A's) and I believe Profar has figured it out. What I really like about the signing though is that he has plate discipline. He walks a lot and does not strikeout a lot. We desperately need that in the lineup because even if he hits below .250 he is going to get on base at around .350. That is extremely valuable to a lineup that has a ton of swing and miss in it. I'm still really hoping that we sign Ha-Seong Kim as well for the same reason.
 

kg01

Get-Bak! Coach
Featured Member
Messages
15,531
Location
Atlanta
You might be right. There's always a risk in signing an inconsistent player like Profar. However, some players take time to figure things out (look at Charlie Morton, Whit Merrifield, and Brent Rooker for the A's) and I believe Profar has figured it out. What I really like about the signing though is that he has plate discipline. He walks a lot and does not strikeout a lot. We desperately need that in the lineup because even if he hits below .250 he is going to get on base at around .350. That is extremely valuable to a lineup that has a ton of swing and miss in it. I'm still really hoping that we sign Ha-Seong Kim as well for the same reason.

Yeah, they need some diversity at the plate. Not everybody swinging for the fences every time in every situation.
 
Top